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Author: Diaa Mohamed Noureldin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Author: Diaa Mohamed Noureldin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Author: Hoda Abdel-Ghaffar Youssef
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Inflation (Finance)
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Book Description
This paper explores how the Stability and Growth Pact may cope with the future costs of population ageing in the European Union. Clearly, population ageing has forced countries to reform their pension systems, and will continue to do so, both by reducing the generosity of pension arrangements and by switching to funding rather than relying on pure pay-as-you go pension provision. We study how such reforms affect the room for adhering to the Pact, but also how the Pact may induce or hamper the incentives for reform. In our analysis we will draw on recent literature on the Pact and on the pensions and the ageing problem. We will also calibrate a simple model for addressing intergenerational equity.
Author: Hoda Abdel-Ghaffar Youssef
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783843398015
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Author: Mr.Kenji Moriyama
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455297739
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 27
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This paper investigates the degree of inflation inertia in Egypt and its determinants using the cross country data consisting of over 100 countries. Medium-unbiased estimator of inflation inertia in Egypt is high compared to other countries, as indicated by its location around the upper quartile among the sample. The cross country analysis indicates that counter-cyclical macroeconomic policy and fiscal consolidation are a key to reduce inflation inertia and the costs of disinflation.
Author: Hoda Essam Selim
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 268
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Inflation targeting (IT) was introduced in the early 1990s. IT theory, emerged years later, and allows a response to the exchange rate, only insofar as the latter affects the inflation forecast. However, this conclusion does not seem well-adapted to EMEs who departed from the conventional IT regime by giving a large place to the exchange rate.The objective of this thesis is to revisit the role of the exchange rate under IT in EMEs. In the case of Egypt, the aim is to study whether the exchange rate would constrain IT implementation and why. In particular, the thesis empirically explores nominal exchange misalignments and exchange rate pass-through to inflation as possible rationales for exchange rate management. Additional issues are explored like the scope of sterilized intervention under floating regimes, “fear of floating” and estimating de facto exchange rate regimes.The results show that the Central Bank of Egypt continues to limit exchange changes, despite abandoning the exchange rate target in 2003. This is because nominal exchange rate misalignments tend to be persistent and the exchange rate pass-through to CPI inflation is large and increasing. This should not be an obstacle to IT since exchange rate management would be the means to low inflation. In due time, reforms and credibility gains should lead to a low inflationary environment, improve the workings of the flexible exchange rate regime and be conducive to less erratic exchange rate fluctuations with adverse domestic repercussions.
Author: Doaa Akl Ahmed
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN: 9783659534966
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 68
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Inflation targeting is a monetary policy framework that attracted many countries in the 1990s as a result of the disappointing performance under other regimes, mainly exchange rates targeting or monetary aggregate targeting. Due to its success in many developed and developing countries, the Central Bank of Egypt announced its intention to introduce inflation targeting regime to anchor its monetary policy when the basic prerequisites are satisfied. The book outlines the theoretical justification behind choosing inflation targeting and discusses its advantages and disadvantages, as well as compares it with other monetary regimes. The core of the book is to investigate the applicability of inflation targeting regime in Egypt by examining the extent to which the conditions of that regime are met.
Author: Shiref Fahmy Mohamed Shabana
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Egypt
Languages : en
Pages : 238
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Author: Maha Emad Khaled
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Inflation (Finance)
Languages : en
Pages : 156
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Author: Sarah Samy Farid
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Inflation targeting
Languages : en
Pages : 246
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Author: Doaa Akl Ahmed Sayed Ahmed
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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The thesis focuses on the potential adoption of the inflation targeting (IT) regime in Egypt. Basically, it aimed at answering the following questions. (1) Should the central bank of Egypt shift to IT or continue with the current monetary policy framework, monetary aggregate targeting (MAT). (2) What the optimal policy horizon (OPH) should central bank choose to target inflation, (3) Does modelling inflation using models that allow for time-varying conditional variance, skewness and kurtosis helps in better understanding of inflation uncertainty? The main results of the thesis show that: (1) To answer the first question, the stability of velocity of money in circulation and money multiplier has been analysed using variance ratio tests and found unstable. Therefore, we could conclude that the current MAT framework cannot achieve its ultimate goal of price stability and it is believed that shifting to IT framework is highly recommended. (2) Concerning the OPH, the results show that the OPH is largely dependent on the nature of the shock and on a central bank's preferences over goals. Thus, for different kinds of the shocks, even if they are generally classified of the same type, the concern of the central bank about other policy objectives affects the policy horizon. With respect to shock persistence, the results demonstrate that the horizon increases with the persistence of the shock as persistent shock distributed over many period in comparison with transitory and less persistent shocks. (3) To answer the third question, the methodology proposed by Leon, Rubio, and Serna (2005) for modelling nonconstant conditional second, third and fourth moments is applied. The results indicate that models with nonconstant second, third and fourth moments are superior to models with time invariant volatility, skewness and kurtosis.
