Strategies Based on Momentum and Term Structure in Financialized Commodity Markets PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download Strategies Based on Momentum and Term Structure in Financialized Commodity Markets PDF full book. Access full book title Strategies Based on Momentum and Term Structure in Financialized Commodity Markets by Adam Zaremba. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Adam Zaremba
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 16
Get Book Here
Book Description
The aim of this paper is to investigate the impact of the financialization of commodity markets on the profitability of strategies based on momentum and term structure. The performance of an array of portfolios from double-sorts on non-commercial traders' participation, historical returns and term spreads are tested against a risk model. The analysis covers the listing of 26 commodities in the period 1986-2013. First and foremost, the paper provides a fresh evidence for the validity of strategies based on momentum and term structure investing in commodity markets. Secondly, it proves that term structure strategies generate significantly higher performance results in non-financialized markets. Moreover, it supports the thesis that market financialization adversely affects momentum profits. The results are important in terms of tactical and strategic asset allocation in commodity markets. They imply that investors who implement momentum or term structure based strategies should also consider the composition of market participants.
Author: Adam Zaremba
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 16
Get Book Here
Book Description
The aim of this paper is to investigate the impact of the financialization of commodity markets on the profitability of strategies based on momentum and term structure. The performance of an array of portfolios from double-sorts on non-commercial traders' participation, historical returns and term spreads are tested against a risk model. The analysis covers the listing of 26 commodities in the period 1986-2013. First and foremost, the paper provides a fresh evidence for the validity of strategies based on momentum and term structure investing in commodity markets. Secondly, it proves that term structure strategies generate significantly higher performance results in non-financialized markets. Moreover, it supports the thesis that market financialization adversely affects momentum profits. The results are important in terms of tactical and strategic asset allocation in commodity markets. They imply that investors who implement momentum or term structure based strategies should also consider the composition of market participants.
Author: Ana-Maria Fuertes
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 41
Get Book Here
Book Description
This article demonstrates that momentum, term structure and idiosyncratic volatility signals in commodity futures markets are not overlapping which inspires a novel triple-screen strategy. We show that simultaneously buying contracts with high past performance, high roll-yields and low idiosyncratic volatility, and shorting contracts with poor past performance, low roll-yields and high idiosyncratic volatility yields a Sharpe ratio over the 1985 to 2011 period which is five times that of the S&P-GSCI. The triple-screen strategy dominates the double-screen and individual strategies and this outcome cannot be attributed to overreaction, liquidity risk, transaction costs or the financialization of commodity futures markets.
Author: Stephen Satchell
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119599326
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 448
Get Book Here
Book Description
A one-of-a-kind reference guide covering the behavioral and statistical explanations for market momentum and the implementation of momentum trading strategies Market Momentum: Theory and Practice is a thorough, how-to reference guide for a full range of financial professionals and students. It examines the behavioral and statistical causes of market momentum while also exploring the practical side of implementing related strategies. The phenomenon of momentum in finance occurs when past high returns are followed by subsequent high returns, and past low returns are followed by subsequent low returns. Market Momentum provides a detailed introduction to the financial topic, while examining existing literature. Recent academic and practitioner research is included, offering a more up-to-date perspective. What type of book is Market Momentum and how does it serve a range of readers’ interests and needs? A holistic market momentum guide for industry professionals, asset managers, risk managers, firm managers, plus hedge fund and commodity trading advisors Advanced text to help graduate students in finance, economics, and mathematics further develop their funds management skills Useful resource for financial practitioners who want to implement momentum trading strategies Reference book providing behavioral and statistical explanations for market momentum Due to claims that the phenomenon of momentum goes against the Efficient Markets Hypothesis, behavioral economists have studied the topic in-depth. However, many books published on the subject are written to provide advice on how to make money. In contrast, Market Momentum offers a comprehensive approach to the topic, which makes it a valuable resource for both investment professionals and higher-level finance students. The contributors address momentum theory and practice, while also offering trading strategies that practitioners can study.
Author: Ana-Maria Fuertes
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Get Book Here
Book Description
This paper examines the combined role of momentum and term structure signals for the design of profitable trading strategies in commodity futures markets. With significant annualized alphas of 10.14% and 12.66% respectively, the momentum and term structure strategies appear profitable when implemented individually. With an abnormal return of 21.02%, a novel double-sort strategy that exploits both momentum and term structure signals clearly outperforms the single-sort strategies. This double-sort strategy can additionally be utilized as a portfolio diversification tool. Interestingly, the abnormal performance of the double-sort portfolios cannot be explained by a lack of liquidity or data mining and is robust to transaction costs and to different specifications of the risk-return trade-off.
Author: Thomas J. Dorsey
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470179082
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 210
Get Book Here
Book Description
Praise for Commodity Strategies "I have read many books on Point & Figure charting, but this is the first in its category-on the application of the time-tested methodology of Point & Figure charting, in particular, the concept of 'relative strength,' to pick outperforming commodities as well as to achieve diversification of non-correlated assets. If you are looking for a profitable and comprehensive methodology to making money from the commodity and currency markets and ETFs, look no further-you have found it. This book has it all." -Fred Tam, MPhil, CFTe, MSTA, lecturer in technical analysis at University Malaya and Open University Malaysia "Tom Dorsey is a market wizard who continues to stimulate the investor's mind. Commodity Strategies is powerful from start to finish with charts and many interesting insights. It's a clear guide for anyone looking to expand their investment horizon." -Joseph Barrato, EVP of Investment Strategies, Arrow Funds "This book and Dorsey's commodity strategies provide a much-needed, disciplined, and risk-managed framework for when and how to incorporate commodities into a portfolio. His investment methodologies along with the evolution of ETFs into alternative asset classes like commodities and currencies are a match made in heaven." -H. Bruce Bond, President and CEO, PowerShares Capital Management
Author: Georgios Rallis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Wilma de Groot
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 51
Get Book Here
Book Description
This study examines novel momentum strategies in commodities futures markets that incorporate term-structure information. We show that momentum strategies that invest in contracts on the futures curve with the largest expected roll-yield or the strongest momentum earn significantly higher risk-adjusted returns than a traditional momentum strategy, which only invests in the nearest contracts. Moreover, when incorporating conservative transaction costs we observe that our low-turnover momentum strategy more than doubles the net return compared to a traditional momentum strategy.
Author: Hui Jiang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Get Book Here
Book Description
This paper investigates relationships between profits from dynamic trading strategies, risk premium, convenience yields, and net hedging pressures for commodity futures. The term structure of oil, gold, copper and soybeans futures markets contains predictive power for the corresponding term premium. However, only oil futures and soybean futures lead their spot premium. Significant momentum profits are identified in both outright futures and spread trading strategies when the spot premium and the term premium are used to form winner and loser portfolios. Profits from active strategies based on winner and loser portfolios are conditioned on market structure and net hedging pressure effects. Dynamic trading strategies based on contracts with extreme backwardation, extreme contango, and extreme hedging pressures are also tested. On average, spread trading outperforms outright futures trading in capturing the term structure risk and hedging pressure risk. For such strategies, long-short the long-term spread offers the greatest and most significant return and it offers the only exploitable trading profits built on the past hedging pressure.
Author: Denis B. Chaves
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Get Book Here
Book Description
We study momentum and mean-reversion strategies in commodity futures prices and their relationship to momentum and mean-reversion in commodity spot prices. We find that momentum performs well in futures markets, but not in spot markets, and that mean-reversion performs well in spot markets, but not in futures markets. A decomposition of the basis (the slope of the term-structure of futures prices) into expected risk premiums and expected changes in spot prices helps us shed some light on the different results across the futures and spot markets. Most interestingly, we find that momentum in futures prices cannot be explained by a sustained trend in spot prices.
Author: A. Zaremba
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1137476397
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 264
Get Book Here
Book Description
The landscape of commodity markets has drastically changed in recent years. Once a market of refineries and mines, it has become the market of investment funds and commodity trading advisors. Given this transformation, are commodity investments still as beneficial as 20 or 30 years ago? This book is an attempt to answer these questions.
