Essays on Economic Decisions Under Uncertainty

Essays on Economic Decisions Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Jacques Drèze
Publisher: CUP Archive
ISBN: 9780521386975
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 460

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Book Description
Professor Dreze is a highly respected mathematical economist and econometrician. This book brings together some of his major contributions to the economic theory of decision making under uncertainty, and also several essays. These include an important essay on 'Decision theory under moral hazard and state dependent preferences' that significantly extends modern theory, and which provides rigorous foundations for subsequent chapters. Topics covered within the theory include decision theory, market allocation and prices, consumer decisions, theory of the firm, labour contracts, and public decisions.

Essays on Economic Decisions Under Uncertainty

Essays on Economic Decisions Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Jacques Drèze
Publisher: CUP Archive
ISBN: 9780521386975
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 460

Get Book Here

Book Description
Professor Dreze is a highly respected mathematical economist and econometrician. This book brings together some of his major contributions to the economic theory of decision making under uncertainty, and also several essays. These include an important essay on 'Decision theory under moral hazard and state dependent preferences' that significantly extends modern theory, and which provides rigorous foundations for subsequent chapters. Topics covered within the theory include decision theory, market allocation and prices, consumer decisions, theory of the firm, labour contracts, and public decisions.

Essays on Decision-making Under Uncertainty

Essays on Decision-making Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Di Wang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description


Social and Economic Factors in Decision Making under Uncertainty

Social and Economic Factors in Decision Making under Uncertainty PDF Author: Kinga Posadzy
Publisher: Linköping University Electronic Press
ISBN: 9176854213
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 16

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Book Description
The objective of this thesis is to improve the understanding of human behavior that goes beyond monetary rewards. In particular, it investigates social influences in individual’s decision making in situations that involve coordination, competition, and deciding for others. Further, it compares how monetary and social outcomes are perceived. The common theme of all studies is uncertainty. The first four essays study individual decisions that have uncertain consequences, be it due to the actions of others or chance. The last essay, in turn, uses the advances in research on decision making under uncertainty to predict behavior in riskless choices. The first essay, Fairness Versus Efficiency: How Procedural Fairness Concerns Affect Coordination, investigates whether preferences for fair rules undermine the efficiency of coordination mechanisms that put some individuals at a disadvantage. The results from a laboratory experiment show that the existence of coordination mechanisms, such as action recommendations, increases efficiency, even if one party is strongly disadvantaged by the mechanism. Further, it is demonstrated that while individuals’ behavior does not depend on the fairness of the coordination mechanism, their beliefs about people’s behavior do. The second essay, Dishonesty and Competition. Evidence from a stiff competition environment, explores whether and how the possibility to behave dishonestly affects the willingness to compete and who the winner is in a competition between similarly skilled individuals. We do not find differences in competition entry between competitions in which dishonesty is possible and in which it is not. However, we find that due to the heterogeneity in propensity to behave dishonestly, around 20% of winners are not the best-performing individuals. This implies that the efficient allocation of resources cannot be ensured in a stiff competition in which behavior is unmonitored. The third essay, Tracing Risky Decision Making for Oneself and Others: The Role of Intuition and Deliberation, explores how individuals make choices under risk for themselves and on behalf of other people. The findings demonstrate that while there are no differences in preferences for taking risks when deciding for oneself and for others, individuals have greater decision error when choosing for other individuals. The differences in the decision error can be partly attributed to the differences in information processing; individuals employ more deliberative cognitive processing when deciding for themselves than when deciding for others. Conducting more information processing when deciding for others is related to the reduction in decision error. The fourth essay, The Effect of Decision Fatigue on Surgeons’ Clinical Decision Making, investigates how mental depletion, caused by a long session of decision making, affects surgeon’s decision to operate. Exploiting a natural experiment, we find that surgeons are less likely to schedule an operation for patients who have appointment late during the work shift than for patients who have appointment at the beginning of the work shift. Understanding how the quality of medical decisions depends on when the patient is seen is important for achieving both efficiency and fairness in health care, where long shifts are popular. The fifth essay, Preferences for Outcome Editing in Monetary and Social Contexts, compares whether individuals use the same rules for mental representation of monetary outcomes (e.g., purchases, expenses) as for social outcomes (e.g., having nice time with friends). Outcome editing is an operation in mental accounting that determines whether individuals prefer to first combine multiple outcomes before their evaluation (integration) or evaluate each outcome separately (segregation). I find that the majority of individuals express different preferences for outcome editing in the monetary context than in the social context. Further, while the results on the editing of monetary outcomes are consistent with theoretical predictions, no existing model can explain the editing of social outcomes.

Behavioral and Neuroscientific Essays on Decision-making Under Uncertainty

Behavioral and Neuroscientific Essays on Decision-making Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Kim Fairley
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789463320351
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Essays on Economic Behavior Under Uncertainty

Essays on Economic Behavior Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Michael Balch
Publisher: North-Holland
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 464

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Essays on Individual Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Essays on Individual Decision Making Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Elise Le Nestour
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 164

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Essays in Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty

Essays in Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty PDF Author: Harry Rolls
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Essays on Decision-making in Environments of Uncertainty

Essays on Decision-making in Environments of Uncertainty PDF Author: Alexander Peterhansl
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780549056232
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 155

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Book Description
The third part concerns a class of problems in non-cooperative game theory that is subject to multiple, Pareto-ranked equilibria, where decision makers are faced with strategic uncertainty. I investigate how intervention strategies based on a Schelling-inspired tipping mechanism can efficiently alter the incentives of a small subset of individuals to trigger system-wide coordination on the Pareto-superior outcome. I then apply this framework to two examples, the provision of airline security and reward schemes in organizations.

Three Essays on Decision-making Under Uncertainty in Developing Countries

Three Essays on Decision-making Under Uncertainty in Developing Countries PDF Author: Sung Soo Lim
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 172

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Affective Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Affective Decision Making Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Donald J. Brown
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030595129
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 88

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Book Description
This book is an exploration of the ubiquity of ambiguity in decision-making under uncertainty. It presents various essays on behavioral economics and behavioral finance that draw on the theory of Black Swans (Taleb 2010), which argues for a distinction between unprecedented events in our past and unpredictable events in our future. The defining property of Black Swan random events is that they are unpredictable, i.e., highly unlikely random events. In this text, Mandelbrot’s (1972) operational definition of risky random unpredictable events is extended to Black Swan assets – assets for which the cumulative probability distribution or conditional probability distribution of random future asset returns is a power distribution. Ambiguous assets are assets for which the uncertainties of future returns are not risks. Consequently, there are two disjoint classes of Black Swan assets: Risky Black Swan assets and Ambiguous Black Swan assets, a new class of ambiguous assets with unpredictable random future outcomes. The text is divided into two parts, the first of which focuses on affective moods, introduces affective utility functions and discusses the ambiguity of Black Swans. The second part, which shifts the spotlight to affective equilibrium in asset markets, features chapters on affective portfolio analysis and Walrasian and Gorman Polar Form Equilibrium Inequalities. In order to gain the most from the book, readers should have completed the standard introductory graduate courses on microeconomics, behavioral finance, and convex optimization. The book is intended for advanced undergraduates, graduate students and post docs specializing in economic theory, experimental economics, finance, mathematics, computer science or data analysis.