A Structural Analysis of Expectation Formation

A Structural Analysis of Expectation Formation PDF Author: Marc Ivaldi
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642467350
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 245

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Book Description
Using panel data of individual firms drawn from French surveys, a structural analysis is developed to study the formation of production plans and the rationality of expectations. The production decision of a firm is defined as the optimal solution of a dynamic stochastic optimization problem. The empirical work amounts to recovering the structural parameters characterizing the model of the firm from estimates of the derived decision rule. The preceding analysis of production plans is based on the assumption that firms are rational. To justify this assumption, direct tests offer evidence that the Rational Expectations Hypothesis may not be rejected for quantity variables.

A Structural Analysis of Expectation Formation

A Structural Analysis of Expectation Formation PDF Author: Marc Ivaldi
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642467350
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 245

Get Book Here

Book Description
Using panel data of individual firms drawn from French surveys, a structural analysis is developed to study the formation of production plans and the rationality of expectations. The production decision of a firm is defined as the optimal solution of a dynamic stochastic optimization problem. The empirical work amounts to recovering the structural parameters characterizing the model of the firm from estimates of the derived decision rule. The preceding analysis of production plans is based on the assumption that firms are rational. To justify this assumption, direct tests offer evidence that the Rational Expectations Hypothesis may not be rejected for quantity variables.

A Structural Analysis of Expectation Formation

A Structural Analysis of Expectation Formation PDF Author: Marc Ivaldi
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783642467363
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 248

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Book Description


Dynamic Macroeconomics with Imperfect Competition

Dynamic Macroeconomics with Imperfect Competition PDF Author: Leo Kaas
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642584799
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 166

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Book Description
This thesis was stimulated throughout the time of my participation in a research project on Dynamic Macroeconomics, supported by the German Research Foundation (DFG). The starting point was the central question of how to integrate price setting firms in a dynamic disequilibrium model. Almost all recent literature on imperfect competition in macroeconomics applies the objective demand approach by assuming that firms know the true demand curve they are faced with. While this approach can be ap plied in temporary monetary equilibrium models, it proves inadequate for formulating price adjustment in a dynamic disequilibrium model, where it has to be replaced by the concept of subjective demand. Based on this distinction, the thesis starts out with a comparison of the concepts of subjective and objective demand in an abstract framework and surveys the literature on general equilibrium theory with imperfect competition. The objective demand approach is criticized not only on the grounds of its strong rationality requirements and existence problems, but also by the observation that it cannot be applied successfully to characterize determinate rational expectations equilibria in intertemporal macroeco nomics. Finally, price setting firms using subjective demand functions are integrated in a dynamic disequilibrium model in order to study mo nopolistic and oligopolistic price adjustment.

The Core of Economies with Asymmetric Information

The Core of Economies with Asymmetric Information PDF Author: Ulrich Schwalbe
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642584772
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 151

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Book Description
and should therefore constitute a part of every area of economic 3 theory. The spectrum covered by information economics today ranges from Stigler's search theory4 to industrial economics, including oligopoly theory, innovation, as well as research and develop 5 ment. However, the area information economics is most closely connected with is the theory of optimal contracts, mainly ana 6 lyzed in principal-agent models. Contract theory deals primar ily with the question of how optimal arrangements (contracts) for the purchase and sale of commodities and services between two or more agents should be structured. In these models, it is often assumed that the parties to the contract are informed differently or asymmetrically about relevant variables (e. g. the health of one party in the case of insurance contracts, or the effort in relation to employment contracts). As a result of this asymmetric in formation, phenomena such as moral hazard, adverse selection, signaling, and screening may arise. Frequently, results from con tract theory are referred to when making statements about the effects of asymmetric information on an economy. Models of this kind are often used to explain phenomena such as fixed wages or unemployment, among others. 7 However, such conclusions must be treated with caution for two reasons. In the first place, in these models, a contract (explicit or implicit) is determined by the solution of an optimization prob lem.

Ill-posed Variational Problems and Regularization Techniques

Ill-posed Variational Problems and Regularization Techniques PDF Author: Michel Thera
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642457800
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 281

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Book Description
This book presents recent developments in the field of ill-posed variational problems and variational inequalities, covering a large range of theoretical, numerical and practical aspects. The main topics are: - Regularization techniques for equilibrium and fixed point problems, variational inequalities and complementary problems, - Links between approximation, penalization and regularization, - Bundle methods, nonsmooth optimization and regularization, - Error Bounds for regularized optimization problems.

International Bibliography of Economics

International Bibliography of Economics PDF Author: British Library of Political and Economic Science
Publisher: Psychology Press
ISBN: 9780415074612
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 766

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Book Description
IBSS is the essential tool for librarians, university departments, research institutions and any public or private institution whose work requires access to up-to-date and comprehensive knowledge of the social sciences.

A Game Theory Analysis of Options

A Game Theory Analysis of Options PDF Author: Alexandre Ziegler
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3662215896
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 154

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Book Description
Modem option pricing theory was developed in the late sixties and early seventies by F. Black, R. C. Merton and M. Scholes as an analytical tool for pricing and hedging option contracts and over-the-counter warrants. However, already in the seminal paper by Black and Scholes, the applicability of the model was regarded as much broader. In the second part of their paper, the authors demonstrated that a levered firm's equity can be regarded as an option on the value of the firm, and thus can be priced by option valuation techniques. A year later, Merton showed how the default risk structure of corporate bonds can be determined by option pricing techniques. Option pricing models are now used to price virtually the full range of financial instruments and financial guarantees such as deposit insurance and collateral, and to quantify the associated risks. Over the years, option pricing has evolved from a set of specific models to a general analytical framework for analyzing the production process of financial contracts and their function in the financial intermediation process in a continuous time framework. However, virtually no attempt has been made in the literature to integrate game theory aspects, i. e. strategic financial decisions of the agents, into the continuous time framework. This is the unique contribution of the thesis of Dr. Alexandre Ziegler. Benefiting from the analytical tractability of continuous time models and the closed form valuation models for derivatives, Dr.

Time-To-Build

Time-To-Build PDF Author: Marga Peeters
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642468152
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 208

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Book Description
As large physical capital stock projects need long periods to be built, a time-to-build specification is incorporated in factor demand models. Time-to-build and adjustment costs dynamics are identified since by the first moving average dynamics, whereas by the latter autoregressive dynamics are induced. Empirical evidence for time-to-build is obtained from data from the Dutch construction industry and by the estimation result from the manufacturing industry of six OECD countries.

Predictive Behavior

Predictive Behavior PDF Author: Gunnar Brennscheidt
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642957188
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 234

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Book Description
This book describes a series of laboratory experiments (with a total of 167 independent subjects) on forecasting behavior. In all experiments, the time series to be forecasted was generated by an abstract econometric model involving two or three artificial exogenous variables. This designprovides an optimal background for rational expectations and least-squares learning. As expected, these hypotheses do not explain observed forecasting behavior satisfactorily. Some phenomena related to this lack of rationality are studied: Concentration on changes rather than levels,underestimation of changes and overvaluation of volatile exogenous variables. Some learning behavior is observed. Finally, some aspects of individual forecasts such as prominence of "round" number, dispersion, etc.,are studied.

Stochastic Orders and Applications

Stochastic Orders and Applications PDF Author: Karl Mosler
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642499724
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 385

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Book Description
A bibliography on stochastic orderings. Was there a real need for it? In a time of reference databases as the MathSci or the Science Citation Index or the Social Science Citation Index the answer seems to be negative. The reason we think that this bibliog raphy might be of some use stems from the frustration that we, as workers in the field, have often experienced by finding similar results being discovered and proved over and over in different journals of different disciplines with different levels of mathematical so phistication and accuracy and most of the times without cross references. Of course it would be very unfair to blame an economist, say, for not knowing a result in mathematical physics, or vice versa, especially when the problems and the languages are so far apart that it is often difficult to recognize the analogies even after further scrutiny. We hope that collecting the references on this topic, regardless of the area of application, will be of some help, at least to pinpoint the problem. We use the term stochastic ordering in a broad sense to denote any ordering relation on a space of probability measures. Questions that can be related to the idea of stochastic orderings are as old as probability itself. Think for instance of the problem of comparing two gambles in order to decide which one is more favorable.