The Effect of Inflation on Capital Formation in Agriculture PDF Download
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Author: Luiz Roberto Graça
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Inflation (Finance)
Languages : en
Pages : 135
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Book Description
Author: Luiz Roberto Graça
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Inflation (Finance)
Languages : en
Pages : 135
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Book Description
Author: L.R. Graca
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 135
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Book Description
The major objetive addressed by this research was to estimate the effect of inflation on tractor sales in U.S. agriculture. To attain this objective, two vestor-autoregressive models of quarterly tractor sales were cenceptualized and estimated. The first model included the inflation rate as an explicit variable. Additional variables in the model include: tractor sales, real income, and real annual cost of tractors. The second model also included four variables: tractor sales, real income, an index of real cash flow, and an index of implicit real rental price of tractors taking income taxes into account. The second model was conceptualized in order to estimate the specific effects of inflation though the variables by tax laws (depreciation shield, real after-tax interest rate, and investment tax credit) and through the effects on cash flows. For both models, the following statistical procedures were performed: 1) a causality test; 2) the impulse response of tractor sales to shocks in other variables; 3) a forecast error variance decomposition; and 4) a historical decomposition of variance. Results for the first model found that inflation was a significant variable explaining tractor sales for the period 1961Q3-1982Q2. However, tractor sales found to be more sensitive to actual past changes in real annual cost and real income than to inflation. Results for the second model found a theoretically inconsistent causation (positive instead of negative) running from implicit rental price index to tractor sales. This result was a barrier to delineating the effect of inflation through tax laws. The real cash flow index (which increases with inflation) was the most important variable in explaining tractor sales for above period. The study concluded that inflation had a negative effect on tractor sales during the period 1961Q3-1982Q2. The magnitude of these effects were smaller than those from real annual cost and real income. The particular negative effect of inflation through cash flow stress might be an important factor concerning capital formation in agriculture. The importance of the reduced value of depreciation income-tax shield and lower real after-tax cost of capital as caused by inflation was not confirmed.
Author: United States-Israel Binational Agricultural Research and Development Fund
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Agriculture, Cooperative
Languages : en
Pages : 148
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Book Description
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451956029
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 229
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Book Description
This paper discusses effects of inflation on economic development. A mild inflation may well encourage little, or no, evasion of the “inflation tax.” On the other hand, a strong inflation, and frequently a mild one also, will lead to community reactions which have effects like those of widespread tax evasion. A development policy may have wider aims than the encouragement of a high level of investment. Inflation has two effects on the desire for liquidity, which are related to the two basic reasons why individuals and businesses wish to hold liquid assets—the speculative and precautionary motives. Inflation increases the value of effective liquidity, thereby raising the community's desire for it, but it makes the most generally accepted store of liquidity unacceptable sources of protection. The control of inflation is only one of the problems facing a government wishing to encourage rapid economic development. The fight against illiteracy, the reform of bureaucratic practices, the building of basic sanitary facilities for the eradication of endemic diseases, the substitution of competitive for monopolistic trade practices, the encouragement of a widespread spirit of entrepreneurship, and the creation of an adequate amount of social capital, may be important prerequisites for rapid growth.
Author: Jongrim Ha
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464813760
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 513
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Book Description
This is the first comprehensive study in the context of EMDEs that covers, in one consistent framework, the evolution and global and domestic drivers of inflation, the role of expectations, exchange rate pass-through and policy implications. In addition, the report analyzes inflation and monetary policy related challenges in LICs. The report documents three major findings: In First, EMDE disinflation over the past four decades was to a significant degree a result of favorable external developments, pointing to the risk of rising EMDE inflation if global inflation were to increase. In particular, the decline in EMDE inflation has been supported by broad-based global disinflation amid rapid international trade and financial integration and the disruption caused by the global financial crisis. While domestic factors continue to be the main drivers of short-term movements in EMDE inflation, the role of global factors has risen by one-half between the 1970s and the 2000s. On average, global shocks, especially oil price swings and global demand shocks have accounted for more than one-quarter of domestic inflation variatio--and more in countries with stronger global linkages and greater reliance on commodity imports. In LICs, global food and energy price shocks accounted for another 12 percent of core inflation variatio--half more than in advanced economies and one-fifth more than in non-LIC EMDEs. Second, inflation expectations continue to be less well-anchored in EMDEs than in advanced economies, although a move to inflation targeting and better fiscal frameworks has helped strengthen monetary policy credibility. Lower monetary policy credibility and exchange rate flexibility have also been associated with higher pass-through of exchange rate shocks into domestic inflation in the event of global shocks, which have accounted for half of EMDE exchange rate variation. Third, in part because of poorly anchored inflation expectations, the transmission of global commodity price shocks to domestic LIC inflation (combined with unintended consequences of other government policies) can have material implications for poverty: the global food price spikes in 2010-11 tipped roughly 8 million people into poverty.
Author: Mr. Kangni R Kpodar
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1616356154
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34
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Book Description
This paper investigates the response of consumer price inflation to changes in domestic fuel prices, looking at the different categories of the overall consumer price index (CPI). We then combine household survey data with the CPI components to construct a CPI index for the poorest and richest income quintiles with the view to assess the distributional impact of the pass-through. To undertake this analysis, the paper provides an update to the Global Monthly Retail Fuel Price Database, expanding the product coverage to premium and regular fuels, the time dimension to December 2020, and the sample to 190 countries. Three key findings stand out. First, the response of inflation to gasoline price shocks is smaller, but more persistent and broad-based in developing economies than in advanced economies. Second, we show that past studies using crude oil prices instead of retail fuel prices to estimate the pass-through to inflation significantly underestimate it. Third, while the purchasing power of all households declines as fuel prices increase, the distributional impact is progressive. But the progressivity phases out within 6 months after the shock in advanced economies, whereas it persists beyond a year in developing countries.
Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Small Business. Subcommittee on Tax, Access to Equity Capital, and Business Opportunities
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Gifts
Languages : en
Pages : 276
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Book Description
Author: Terry L. Roe
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387773584
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 333
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Book Description
The primary objective of this book is to advance the state of the art in specifying and ?tting to data structural multi-sector dynamic macroeconomic models, and empirically implementing them. The fundamental construct upon which we build is the Ramsey model. A most attractive feature of this model is the insights it provides into the dynamics of an economy in tr- sition to long-run equilibrium. With some exceptions, Ramsey models are highly aggregated – typically single sector models. However, interest often lies in understanding the forces of e- nomic growth across multiple sectors of an economy and on how policy impacts likely play out over time. Such analyses call for moredisaggregatedmodelsthatcanbe?ttocountryorregional data.Thisbookshowshowto:(i)extendthebasicmodeltom- tiple sectors, (ii) how to adapt the basic model to account for policy instruments, and (iii) ?t the model to data, and obtain equilibrium values both forward and backward in time from the data points to which the model is initially ?t.
Author: E. L. Baum
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Agricultural credit
Languages : en
Pages : 444
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Book Description
Author: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309444454
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 643
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Book Description
The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration finds that the long-term impact of immigration on the wages and employment of native-born workers overall is very small, and that any negative impacts are most likely to be found for prior immigrants or native-born high school dropouts. First-generation immigrants are more costly to governments than are the native-born, but the second generation are among the strongest fiscal and economic contributors in the U.S. This report concludes that immigration has an overall positive impact on long-run economic growth in the U.S. More than 40 million people living in the United States were born in other countries, and almost an equal number have at least one foreign-born parent. Together, the first generation (foreign-born) and second generation (children of the foreign-born) comprise almost one in four Americans. It comes as little surprise, then, that many U.S. residents view immigration as a major policy issue facing the nation. Not only does immigration affect the environment in which everyone lives, learns, and works, but it also interacts with nearly every policy area of concern, from jobs and the economy, education, and health care, to federal, state, and local government budgets. The changing patterns of immigration and the evolving consequences for American society, institutions, and the economy continue to fuel public policy debate that plays out at the national, state, and local levels. The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration assesses the impact of dynamic immigration processes on economic and fiscal outcomes for the United States, a major destination of world population movements. This report will be a fundamental resource for policy makers and law makers at the federal, state, and local levels but extends to the general public, nongovernmental organizations, the business community, educational institutions, and the research community.
