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Author: Francesco Forte
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 28
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Book Description
Using time-series and panel data methodologies, the paper analyzes the existence and shape of the «BARS curve» (Barro, Armey, Rahn, and Scully) for EU countries in the period 1970-2009, connecting the size of Government (measured by the share of public expenditure on GDP) to the rate of economic growth. Individual countries research has been conducted for twelve EU countries for which enough data were available, while panel analysis has been performed both for EU-27 and for some sub-groups, distinguished by their different socio-economic and monetary structures, and per capita GDP. BARS curves were generally found, and the shares of actual public expenditures generally exceed substantially those related to the maximization of GDP growth. However, great differences emerge. For the 12 countries examined by time-series techniques, the difference between the actual level and the peak of the BARS curve ranges from 2.3 points for Ireland and 18.1 points for Belgium. Similar situations were found in the panel analysis, with a smaller gap for the Anglo-Saxon countries in comparison to the Western Continental countries. For low per capita GDP countries the peak is higher than for the mature economies.Moreover, we found a long-run relationship between real GDP and public expenditure for six countries, while Granger-causality tests suggest different flows of direction for each country. So, further research may prove useful to shed light on the disparities emerging in the empirical analysis of individual countries, as well as within panel sub-groups. Results in the paper highlight that European countries are very heterogeneous in terms of the peak of the BARS curve. This evidence leads to an interesting question, i.e. if the fiscal adjustment should be the same for all the states or it should depend on the weight of the public sector on GDP in each country.
Author: Francesco Forte
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 28
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Book Description
Using time-series and panel data methodologies, the paper analyzes the existence and shape of the «BARS curve» (Barro, Armey, Rahn, and Scully) for EU countries in the period 1970-2009, connecting the size of Government (measured by the share of public expenditure on GDP) to the rate of economic growth. Individual countries research has been conducted for twelve EU countries for which enough data were available, while panel analysis has been performed both for EU-27 and for some sub-groups, distinguished by their different socio-economic and monetary structures, and per capita GDP. BARS curves were generally found, and the shares of actual public expenditures generally exceed substantially those related to the maximization of GDP growth. However, great differences emerge. For the 12 countries examined by time-series techniques, the difference between the actual level and the peak of the BARS curve ranges from 2.3 points for Ireland and 18.1 points for Belgium. Similar situations were found in the panel analysis, with a smaller gap for the Anglo-Saxon countries in comparison to the Western Continental countries. For low per capita GDP countries the peak is higher than for the mature economies.Moreover, we found a long-run relationship between real GDP and public expenditure for six countries, while Granger-causality tests suggest different flows of direction for each country. So, further research may prove useful to shed light on the disparities emerging in the empirical analysis of individual countries, as well as within panel sub-groups. Results in the paper highlight that European countries are very heterogeneous in terms of the peak of the BARS curve. This evidence leads to an interesting question, i.e. if the fiscal adjustment should be the same for all the states or it should depend on the weight of the public sector on GDP in each country.
Author: Richard K. Vedder
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 20
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Book Description
Author: Dan Lupu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 7
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Book Description
This study analyses the relationship between governmental expenditure and economic growth rate for 8 Eastern-European countries with data for 1995-2014 using the ARDL model. The main goal of the present study is to test the presence of a non-linear - Armey Curve type - relationship between the government size and economic growth and also to find an optimal level of public spending which maximizes economic growth. Our results reveal the occurrence of a significant cointegration of public spending and economic growth for all considered countries and show that the current share of public spending within the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) exceeds the optimal level calculated for the three countries for which the Armey-type phenomenon occurs. Also, the results suggest that the optimal percentage of governmental spending varies between 37 % and 41 % and the present level is higher than the optimal level for Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania. The outstripping of the optimal level may conclude to the idea that the weight of public sector should be slightly decreased in these countries since the public sector is not able to efficiently cope with its resources. Based on the study results, the weight of public expenditure should be reduced while the efficiency of public spending programs should be increased.
Author: Marta Pascual
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
The relationship between government spending and economic growth is an important and controversial issue in modern societies. In this paper, the correlation between economic growth and government expenditure is studied. The analysis is based on data for the European Union countries and panel data techniques are used.
Author: Václav Rybáček
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781788210102
Category : Austria
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Vaclav Rybacek argues that many studies have underestimated the size of government, leading to erroneous policy recommendations and an unrealistic assessment of a government's ability to meet its debts. Drawing on Austrian economic theory, the book offers a more robust methodology for the measurement of government.
Author: Václav Rybáček
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781788210119
Category : BUSINESS & ECONOMICS
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Author: Ms.Keiko Honjo
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 145192240X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 61
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Book Description
This paper assesses the efficiency of government expenditure on education and health in 38 countries in Africa in 1984-95, both in relation to each other and compared with countries in Asia and the Western Hemisphere. The results show that, on average, countries in Africa are less efficient than countries in Asia and the Western Hemisphere; however, education and health spending in Africa became more efficient during that period. The assessment further suggests that improvements in educational attainment and health output in African countries require more than just higher budgetary allocations.
Author: Ramesh Chandra Das
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
ISBN: 1000417905
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 313
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Book Description
This book critically examines the optimum range and duration of government interventions in the economic activities of a modern state based on theoretical and empirical frameworks, and assesses their role and extent in various economies. With a special focus on emerging economies across the globe, it discusses themes such as income growth; social sector development; good governance and economic progress; threshold limits; optimum budget policy and economic growth; sustainable distributional managements in public projects; food for work programs; agricultural infrastructure development; technological progress and economic growth; and distributional equities. The policy suggestions provided here offer helpful blueprints for developmental projects. Rich in data and figures, the book addresses sector-specific case studies like healthcare; irrigation and agriculture; infrastructure; taxation and economic growth; and public sector enterprises. It will be an excellent read for scholars and researchers of economics, Indian economics, macroeconomics, political economy, public policy, political science and management, development studies, development economy and governance. It will also be useful to policymakers, administrative officials, and government and corporate bodies.
Author: Jon Bakija
Publisher: Univ of California Press
ISBN: 0520962818
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 219
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Book Description
The size of government is arguably the most controversial discussion in United States politics, and this issue won't fade from prominence any time soon. There must surely be a tipping point beyond which more government taxing and spending harms the economy, but where is that point? In this accessible book, best-selling authors Jeff Madrick, Jon Bakija, Lane Kenworthy, and Peter Lindert try to answer whether our government can grow any larger and examine how we can optimize growth and fair distribution.
Author: Daniel Gros
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789461381248
Category : Competition
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Launched in March 2010 by the European Commission, the Europe 2020 strategy aims to achieve "smart, sustainable, and inclusive" growth. The engines for this growth are - Knowledge and innovation - Greener and more efficient use of resources - Higher employment combined with social and territorial cohesion This CEPS report takes an in-depth look at this major initiative and finds that the strategy itself needs to be revised in several important respects. First, the authors believe, R&D spending per se is not the best indicator of innovativeness; a new measure, intangible capital, would be more appropriate. Second, while increasing the share of the workforce with a university degree is important for competitiveness and employment, it is the quality of that education that matters more than the quantity. The study also finds that employment targets would be better reached by a skills upgrade among women who have the least education. Concerning climate change, the authors conclude that unless the EU increases the level of its ambition and adds a carbon import tariff, reduction targets for greenhouse gas emissions are likely to have a negligible impact on global climate change. Finally and more generally, the report argues that the 2020 strategy should acknowledge the importance of institutional efficiency at the national level.
