Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series

Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series PDF Author: Timo Teräsvirta
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 9780199587148
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 592

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Book Description
This book contains an extensive up-to-date overview of nonlinear time series models and their application to modelling economic relationships. It considers nonlinear models in stationary and nonstationary frameworks, and both parametric and nonparametric models are discussed. The book contains examples of nonlinear models in economic theory and presents the most common nonlinear time series models. Importantly, it shows the reader how to apply these models in practice. For thispurpose, the building of various nonlinear models with its three stages of model building: specification, estimation and evaluation, is discussed in detail and is illustrated by several examples involving both economic and non-economic data. Since estimation of nonlinear time series models is carried outusing numerical algorithms, the book contains a chapter on estimating parametric nonlinear models and another on estimating nonparametric ones.Forecasting is a major reason for building time series models, linear or nonlinear. The book contains a discussion on forecasting with nonlinear models, both parametric and nonparametric, and considers numerical techniques necessary for computing multi-period forecasts from them. The main focus of the book is on models of the conditional mean, but models of the conditional variance, mainly those of autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, receive attention as well. A separate chapter isdevoted to state space models. As a whole, the book is an indispensable tool for researchers interested in nonlinear time series and is also suitable for teaching courses in econometrics and time series analysis.

Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series

Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series PDF Author: Timo Teräsvirta
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 9780199587148
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 592

Get Book

Book Description
This book contains an extensive up-to-date overview of nonlinear time series models and their application to modelling economic relationships. It considers nonlinear models in stationary and nonstationary frameworks, and both parametric and nonparametric models are discussed. The book contains examples of nonlinear models in economic theory and presents the most common nonlinear time series models. Importantly, it shows the reader how to apply these models in practice. For thispurpose, the building of various nonlinear models with its three stages of model building: specification, estimation and evaluation, is discussed in detail and is illustrated by several examples involving both economic and non-economic data. Since estimation of nonlinear time series models is carried outusing numerical algorithms, the book contains a chapter on estimating parametric nonlinear models and another on estimating nonparametric ones.Forecasting is a major reason for building time series models, linear or nonlinear. The book contains a discussion on forecasting with nonlinear models, both parametric and nonparametric, and considers numerical techniques necessary for computing multi-period forecasts from them. The main focus of the book is on models of the conditional mean, but models of the conditional variance, mainly those of autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, receive attention as well. A separate chapter isdevoted to state space models. As a whole, the book is an indispensable tool for researchers interested in nonlinear time series and is also suitable for teaching courses in econometrics and time series analysis.

Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series

Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series PDF Author: Timo Teräsvirta
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780191595387
Category : Econometric models
Languages : en
Pages : 557

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Book Description
A comprehensive assessment of many recent developments in the modelling of time series, this text introduces various nonlinear models and discusses their practical use, encouraging the reader to apply nonlinear models to their practical modelling problems.

Nonlinear Econometric Modeling in Time Series

Nonlinear Econometric Modeling in Time Series PDF Author: William A. Barnett
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521594240
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 248

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Book Description
This book presents some of the more recent developments in nonlinear time series, including Bayesian analysis and cointegration tests.

Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance

Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance PDF Author: Philip Hans Franses
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521770416
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 299

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Book Description
This 2000 volume reviews non-linear time series models, and their applications to financial markets.

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Economic and Financial Data

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Economic and Financial Data PDF Author: Philip Rothman
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461551293
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 379

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Book Description
Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Economic and Financial Data provides an examination of the flourishing interest that has developed in this area over the past decade. The constant theme throughout this work is that standard linear time series tools leave unexamined and unexploited economically significant features in frequently used data sets. The book comprises original contributions written by specialists in the field, and offers a combination of both applied and methodological papers. It will be useful to both seasoned veterans of nonlinear time series analysis and those searching for an informative panoramic look at front-line developments in the area.

Nonlinear Time Series

Nonlinear Time Series PDF Author: Jianqing Fan
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387693955
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 565

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Book Description
This is the first book that integrates useful parametric and nonparametric techniques with time series modeling and prediction, the two important goals of time series analysis. Such a book will benefit researchers and practitioners in various fields such as econometricians, meteorologists, biologists, among others who wish to learn useful time series methods within a short period of time. The book also intends to serve as a reference or text book for graduate students in statistics and econometrics.

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis with R

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis with R PDF Author: Ray Huffaker
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0198782934
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 371

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Book Description
Nonlinear Time Series Analysis with R provides a practical guide to emerging empirical techniques allowing practitioners to diagnose whether highly fluctuating and random appearing data are most likely driven by random or deterministic dynamic forces. It joins the chorus of voices recommending 'getting to know your data' as an essential preliminary evidentiary step in modelling. Time series are often highly fluctuating with a random appearance. Observed volatility is commonly attributed to exogenous random shocks to stable real-world systems. However, breakthroughs in nonlinear dynamics raise another possibility: highly complex dynamics can emerge endogenously from astoundingly parsimonious deterministic nonlinear models. Nonlinear Time Series Analysis (NLTS) is a collection of empirical tools designed to aid practitioners detect whether stochastic or deterministic dynamics most likely drive observed complexity. Practitioners become 'data detectives' accumulating hard empirical evidence supporting their modelling approach. This book is targeted to professionals and graduate students in engineering and the biophysical and social sciences. Its major objectives are to help non-mathematicians -- with limited knowledge of nonlinear dynamics -- to become operational in NLTS; and in this way to pave the way for NLTS to be adopted in the conventional empirical toolbox and core coursework of the targeted disciplines. Consistent with modern trends in university instruction, the book makes readers active learners with hands-on computer experiments in R code directing them through NLTS methods and helping them understand the underlying logic (please see www.marco.bittelli.com). The computer code is explained in detail so that readers can adjust it for use in their own work. The book also provides readers with an explicit framework -- condensed from sound empirical practices recommended in the literature -- that details a step-by-step procedure for applying NLTS in real-world data diagnostics.

Modeling Financial Time Series with S-PLUS

Modeling Financial Time Series with S-PLUS PDF Author: Eric Zivot
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 0387217630
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 632

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Book Description
The field of financial econometrics has exploded over the last decade This book represents an integration of theory, methods, and examples using the S-PLUS statistical modeling language and the S+FinMetrics module to facilitate the practice of financial econometrics. This is the first book to show the power of S-PLUS for the analysis of time series data. It is written for researchers and practitioners in the finance industry, academic researchers in economics and finance, and advanced MBA and graduate students in economics and finance. Readers are assumed to have a basic knowledge of S-PLUS and a solid grounding in basic statistics and time series concepts. This Second Edition is updated to cover S+FinMetrics 2.0 and includes new chapters on copulas, nonlinear regime switching models, continuous-time financial models, generalized method of moments, semi-nonparametric conditional density models, and the efficient method of moments. Eric Zivot is an associate professor and Gary Waterman Distinguished Scholar in the Economics Department, and adjunct associate professor of finance in the Business School at the University of Washington. He regularly teaches courses on econometric theory, financial econometrics and time series econometrics, and is the recipient of the Henry T. Buechel Award for Outstanding Teaching. He is an associate editor of Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics. He has published papers in the leading econometrics journals, including Econometrica, Econometric Theory, the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Journal of Econometrics, and the Review of Economics and Statistics. Jiahui Wang is an employee of Ronin Capital LLC. He received a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Washington in 1997. He has published in leading econometrics journals such as Econometrica and Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, and is the Principal Investigator of National Science Foundation SBIR grants. In 2002 Dr. Wang was selected as one of the "2000 Outstanding Scholars of the 21st Century" by International Biographical Centre.

Essays in Nonlinear Time Series Econometrics

Essays in Nonlinear Time Series Econometrics PDF Author: Niels Haldrup
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0199679959
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 393

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Book Description
A book on nonlinear economic relations that involve time. It covers specification testing of linear versus non-linear models, model specification testing, estimation of smooth transition models, volatility modelling using non-linear model specification, analysis of high dimensional data set, and forecasting.

The Econometric Analysis of Time Series

The Econometric Analysis of Time Series PDF Author: Andrew C. Harvey
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262081894
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 418

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Book Description
The Econometric Analysis of Time Series focuses on the statistical aspects of model building, with an emphasis on providing an understanding of the main ideas and concepts in econometrics rather than presenting a series of rigorous proofs.