Using Machine Learning to Explain Violations of the 'Law of One Price'

Using Machine Learning to Explain Violations of the 'Law of One Price' PDF Author: Aaron Bodoh-Creed
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 41

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Book Description
Substantial price variation for homogeneous goods in online markets is a well-known puzzle that has withstood attempts by empirical researchers to explain it. Economic theory suggests two possible sources of the dispersion: either market frictions are more important than previously thought, or there are subtle differences between product listings presented to e-commerce consumers that applied econometricians have failed to detect. We use a very detailed data set consisting of posted-price listings for new Kindle Fire tablets from eBay to determine if observable listing heterogeneity can explain the price dispersion of seemingly homogeneous products. By combining a richer set of variables than previous studies with more sophisticated machine learning techniques, we can explain 42% of the dispersion. We interpret this as a bound on the influence of market frictions on price dispersion. Variables describing the amount of information in the listing are good predictors of the price, but variables describing the style of a listing's text are good predictors as well. We identify readily interpretable groups of words that are also good predictors of price. We find a high degree of heterogeneity of the marginal effects of seller reputation and including an image in the listing, but the patterns of heterogeneity largely conform to economic intuition. A smaller, but non-trivial, latitude for market frictions remains, and we discuss their possible sources.

Using Machine Learning to Explain Violations of the 'Law of One Price'

Using Machine Learning to Explain Violations of the 'Law of One Price' PDF Author: Aaron Bodoh-Creed
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 41

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Book Description
Substantial price variation for homogeneous goods in online markets is a well-known puzzle that has withstood attempts by empirical researchers to explain it. Economic theory suggests two possible sources of the dispersion: either market frictions are more important than previously thought, or there are subtle differences between product listings presented to e-commerce consumers that applied econometricians have failed to detect. We use a very detailed data set consisting of posted-price listings for new Kindle Fire tablets from eBay to determine if observable listing heterogeneity can explain the price dispersion of seemingly homogeneous products. By combining a richer set of variables than previous studies with more sophisticated machine learning techniques, we can explain 42% of the dispersion. We interpret this as a bound on the influence of market frictions on price dispersion. Variables describing the amount of information in the listing are good predictors of the price, but variables describing the style of a listing's text are good predictors as well. We identify readily interpretable groups of words that are also good predictors of price. We find a high degree of heterogeneity of the marginal effects of seller reputation and including an image in the listing, but the patterns of heterogeneity largely conform to economic intuition. A smaller, but non-trivial, latitude for market frictions remains, and we discuss their possible sources.

The Law of One Price

The Law of One Price PDF Author: Jonathan Haskel
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Competition, International
Languages : en
Pages : 40

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Book Description
We use retail transaction prices for a multinational retailer to examine the extent and permanence of violations of the law of one price (LOOP). For identical products, we find typical deviations of twenty to fifty percent, though there is muted evidence for convergence over time. Such differences might be due to differences in local costs. If so, relative prices of similar products (round versus square mirrors) should be equal across countries. In fact, relative prices vary significantly across very similar goods within a product group; indeed, the ordering of common currency prices often differs for similar products. The finding suggests that differences in local distribution costs, local taxes, and probably tariffs do not explain the price pattern, leaving strategic pricing or other factors resulting in varying markups as alternative explanations for the observed divergences.

Transgressing the Law of One Price

Transgressing the Law of One Price PDF Author: Bruce Tuckman
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Pricing
Languages : en
Pages : 100

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Book Description


Asset Management: Tools And Issues

Asset Management: Tools And Issues PDF Author: Frank J Fabozzi
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9811225761
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 514

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Book Description
Long gone are the times when investors could make decisions based on intuition. Modern asset management draws on a wide-range of fields beyond financial theory: economics, financial accounting, econometrics/statistics, management science, operations research (optimization and Monte Carlo simulation), and more recently, data science (Big Data, machine learning, and artificial intelligence). The challenge in writing an institutional asset management book is that when tools from these different fields are applied in an investment strategy or an analytical framework for valuing securities, it is assumed that the reader is familiar with the fundamentals of these fields. Attempting to explain strategies and analytical concepts while also providing a primer on the tools from other fields is not the most effective way of describing the asset management process. Moreover, while an increasing number of investment models have been proposed in the asset management literature, there are challenges and issues in implementing these models. This book provides a description of the tools used in asset management as well as a more in-depth explanation of specialized topics and issues covered in the companion book, Fundamentals of Institutional Asset Management. The topics covered include the asset management business and its challenges, the basics of financial accounting, securitization technology, analytical tools (financial econometrics, Monte Carlo simulation, optimization models, and machine learning), alternative risk measures for asset allocation, securities finance, implementing quantitative research, quantitative equity strategies, transaction costs, multifactor models applied to equity and bond portfolio management, and backtesting methodologies. This pedagogic approach exposes the reader to the set of interdisciplinary tools that modern asset managers require in order to extract profits from data and processes.

The Economics of Artificial Intelligence

The Economics of Artificial Intelligence PDF Author: Ajay Agrawal
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226833127
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 172

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Book Description
A timely investigation of the potential economic effects, both realized and unrealized, of artificial intelligence within the United States healthcare system. In sweeping conversations about the impact of artificial intelligence on many sectors of the economy, healthcare has received relatively little attention. Yet it seems unlikely that an industry that represents nearly one-fifth of the economy could escape the efficiency and cost-driven disruptions of AI. The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: Health Care Challenges brings together contributions from health economists, physicians, philosophers, and scholars in law, public health, and machine learning to identify the primary barriers to entry of AI in the healthcare sector. Across original papers and in wide-ranging responses, the contributors analyze barriers of four types: incentives, management, data availability, and regulation. They also suggest that AI has the potential to improve outcomes and lower costs. Understanding both the benefits of and barriers to AI adoption is essential for designing policies that will affect the evolution of the healthcare system.

Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes)

Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) PDF Author: Cheng Few Lee
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9811202400
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 5053

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Book Description
This four-volume handbook covers important concepts and tools used in the fields of financial econometrics, mathematics, statistics, and machine learning. Econometric methods have been applied in asset pricing, corporate finance, international finance, options and futures, risk management, and in stress testing for financial institutions. This handbook discusses a variety of econometric methods, including single equation multiple regression, simultaneous equation regression, and panel data analysis, among others. It also covers statistical distributions, such as the binomial and log normal distributions, in light of their applications to portfolio theory and asset management in addition to their use in research regarding options and futures contracts.In both theory and methodology, we need to rely upon mathematics, which includes linear algebra, geometry, differential equations, Stochastic differential equation (Ito calculus), optimization, constrained optimization, and others. These forms of mathematics have been used to derive capital market line, security market line (capital asset pricing model), option pricing model, portfolio analysis, and others.In recent times, an increased importance has been given to computer technology in financial research. Different computer languages and programming techniques are important tools for empirical research in finance. Hence, simulation, machine learning, big data, and financial payments are explored in this handbook.Led by Distinguished Professor Cheng Few Lee from Rutgers University, this multi-volume work integrates theoretical, methodological, and practical issues based on his years of academic and industry experience.

Understanding Machine Learning

Understanding Machine Learning PDF Author: Shai Shalev-Shwartz
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107057132
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 415

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Book Description
Introduces machine learning and its algorithmic paradigms, explaining the principles behind automated learning approaches and the considerations underlying their usage.

Noisy Information, Distance and Law of One Price Dynamics Across US Cities

Noisy Information, Distance and Law of One Price Dynamics Across US Cities PDF Author: Mario John Crucini
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Cities and towns
Languages : en
Pages : 37

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Book Description
Using micro price data across US cities, we provide evidence that both the volatility and persistence of deviations from the law of one price (LOP) are positively correlated with the distance between cities. A standard, two-city, equilibrium model with time-varying technology under homogeneous information can predict the relationship between the volatility and distance but not between the persistence and distance. To account for the latter fact, we augment the standard model with noisy signals about the state of nominal aggregate demand that are asymmetric across cities. We further establish that the interaction of imperfect information and sticky prices improves the fit of the model.

Evaluation the Law of One Price Using Micro Panel Data

Evaluation the Law of One Price Using Micro Panel Data PDF Author: Laurent Gobillon
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Book Description


Empirical Asset Pricing

Empirical Asset Pricing PDF Author: Wayne Ferson
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262039370
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 497

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Book Description
An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.