Unpredictable Risk

Unpredictable Risk PDF Author: Anna Blakely
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781661965907
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 381

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Book Description
FOR YEARS, HE'S KEPT HIMSELF CLOSELY GUARDEDFormer SEAL Grant Hill believes love brings nothing but pain. Having suffered more loss than any one person ever should, the gruff R.I.S.C. operative has mastered the art of avoidance...especially when it comes to women.But with his newest bodyguard assignment, Grant's unwavering determination is put to the ultimate test. He quickly realizes his strong will is no match for the spunky, beautiful redhead who's filled his dreams since the night they first met.WILL SHE FINALLY BE THE ONE TO BREAK DOWN HIS DEFENSES?Being the daughter of a United States Senator is no walk in the park. Not for Brynnon Cantrell. The independent businesswoman would much rather spend her days knocking down walls and staging homes than rubbing elbows with political supporters or smiling for the press. She's determined to live life on her terms--and away from her father's shadow.But when someone starts sending Senator Cantrell threats, Brynnon is forced into the protective shadow of another man. The same gorgeous, emotionally closed-off private security expert she's spent months trying to forget.TRUSTING THE WRONG PERSON CAN HAVE DEADLY CONSEQUENCESThe more time Grant and Brynnon spend together, the closer the two become. Soon, they're giving in to their undeniable attraction. But when the person threatening the Senator sets his sights on Brynnon, Grant not only struggles to open his heart again...he must also fight to keep the woman he's falling in love with alive.*Author's note: UNPREDICTABLE RISK is a slow-burn love story filled with angst, burn-the-sheets passion, and edge-of-your-seat suspense. As with all R.I.S.C. stories, this is a full-length, stand-alone novel that brings you a Happily-Ever-After, and is sure to keep your attention from page one to 'The End'.

Unpredictable Risk

Unpredictable Risk PDF Author: Anna Blakely
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781661965907
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 381

Get Book Here

Book Description
FOR YEARS, HE'S KEPT HIMSELF CLOSELY GUARDEDFormer SEAL Grant Hill believes love brings nothing but pain. Having suffered more loss than any one person ever should, the gruff R.I.S.C. operative has mastered the art of avoidance...especially when it comes to women.But with his newest bodyguard assignment, Grant's unwavering determination is put to the ultimate test. He quickly realizes his strong will is no match for the spunky, beautiful redhead who's filled his dreams since the night they first met.WILL SHE FINALLY BE THE ONE TO BREAK DOWN HIS DEFENSES?Being the daughter of a United States Senator is no walk in the park. Not for Brynnon Cantrell. The independent businesswoman would much rather spend her days knocking down walls and staging homes than rubbing elbows with political supporters or smiling for the press. She's determined to live life on her terms--and away from her father's shadow.But when someone starts sending Senator Cantrell threats, Brynnon is forced into the protective shadow of another man. The same gorgeous, emotionally closed-off private security expert she's spent months trying to forget.TRUSTING THE WRONG PERSON CAN HAVE DEADLY CONSEQUENCESThe more time Grant and Brynnon spend together, the closer the two become. Soon, they're giving in to their undeniable attraction. But when the person threatening the Senator sets his sights on Brynnon, Grant not only struggles to open his heart again...he must also fight to keep the woman he's falling in love with alive.*Author's note: UNPREDICTABLE RISK is a slow-burn love story filled with angst, burn-the-sheets passion, and edge-of-your-seat suspense. As with all R.I.S.C. stories, this is a full-length, stand-alone novel that brings you a Happily-Ever-After, and is sure to keep your attention from page one to 'The End'.

People and Performance

People and Performance PDF Author: Peter Ferdinand Drucker
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 0750625023
Category : Management
Languages : en
Pages : 372

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Book Description
What is management? What is a manager? How is a business organized, and how can managers use people's strengths more effectively? What is the relationship between management today and the society and culture it seeks to direct? These and many more questions are discussed in Peter Drucker's classic survey of management thought and practice. People and Performance is the ideal volume for those who want the essence of Drucker's thinking, but with limited time at their disposal. It spans all the main dimensions of management and its themes are based on Drucker's direct experience as an adviser to businesses, government departments, public institutions, and as a widely sought lecturer.

Strategy and Risk Management

Strategy and Risk Management PDF Author: Ron Rael
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1940235219
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 240

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Book Description
Employees make dozens of day-to-day decisions—and any one of them could come back to haunt you, even when the decision does not seem to have hidden or unknown ramifications. That is why your organisation must have a protocol in place for identifying and mitigating all major business risks long before it is needed. At the strategic level, risk management and strategic management are intertwined. Using this book, learn how to apply powerful tools and approaches to make your planning processes more effective and flexible and build a set of decision-making processes based on plain language. Author, Ron Rael, uses quality concepts/language (TQM & Six Sigma) to define the Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) process and value of prevention, while showing how these elements are both necessary and highly desired in an organisation’s strategic decision-making. ERM extends to your everyday business decisions because employees take actions and make daily choices that could have a detrimental effect on your profits and business’s longevity and future. This book will provide a best practices view on the latest developments in ERM deliver how-to guidance on developing ERM processes at the enterprise and department levels facilitate enterprise-wide ERM participation via practical information and examples deliver cross-functional management and implementation of ERM

Risk, Uncertainty and Profit

Risk, Uncertainty and Profit PDF Author: Frank H. Knight
Publisher: Cosimo, Inc.
ISBN: 1602060053
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 401

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Book Description
A timeless classic of economic theory that remains fascinating and pertinent today, this is Frank Knight's famous explanation of why perfect competition cannot eliminate profits, the important differences between "risk" and "uncertainty," and the vital role of the entrepreneur in profitmaking. Based on Knight's PhD dissertation, this 1921 work, balancing theory with fact to come to stunning insights, is a distinct pleasure to read. FRANK H. KNIGHT (1885-1972) is considered by some the greatest American scholar of economics of the 20th century. An economics professor at the University of Chicago from 1927 until 1955, he was one of the founders of the Chicago school of economics, which influenced Milton Friedman and George Stigler.

Predicting the Unpredictable

Predicting the Unpredictable PDF Author: Susan Elizabeth Hough
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691173303
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 276

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Book Description
Why seismologists still can't predict earthquakes An earthquake can strike without warning and wreak horrific destruction and death, whether it's the catastrophic 2010 quake that took a devastating toll on the island nation of Haiti or a future great earthquake on the San Andreas Fault in California, which scientists know is inevitable. Yet despite rapid advances in earthquake science, seismologists still can’t predict when the Big One will hit. Predicting the Unpredictable explains why, exploring the fact and fiction behind the science—and pseudoscience—of earthquake prediction. Susan Hough traces the continuing quest by seismologists to forecast the time, location, and magnitude of future quakes. She brings readers into the laboratory and out into the field—describing attempts that have raised hopes only to collapse under scrutiny, as well as approaches that seem to hold future promise. She also ventures to the fringes of pseudoscience to consider ideas outside the scientific mainstream. An entertaining and accessible foray into the world of earthquake prediction, Predicting the Unpredictable illuminates the unique challenges of predicting earthquakes.

Stock Market Crashes: Predictable And Unpredictable And What To Do About Them

Stock Market Crashes: Predictable And Unpredictable And What To Do About Them PDF Author: William T Ziemba
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9813223863
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 309

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Book Description
'Overall, the book provides an interesting and useful synthesis of the authors’ research on the predictions of stock market crashes. The book can be recommended to anyone interested in the Bond Stock Earnings Yield Differential model, and similar methods to predict crashes.'Quantitative FinanceThis book presents studies of stock market crashes big and small that occur from bubbles bursting or other reasons. By a bubble we mean that prices are rising just because they are rising and that prices exceed fundamental values. A bubble can be a large rise in prices followed by a steep fall. The focus is on determining if a bubble actually exists, on models to predict stock market declines in bubble-like markets and exit strategies from these bubble-like markets. We list historical great bubbles of various markets over hundreds of years.We present four models that have been successful in predicting large stock market declines of ten percent plus that average about minus twenty-five percent. The bond stock earnings yield difference model was based on the 1987 US crash where the S&P 500 futures fell 29% in one day. The model is based on earnings yields relative to interest rates. When interest rates become too high relative to earnings, there almost always is a decline in four to twelve months. The initial out of sample test was on the Japanese stock market from 1948-88. There all twelve danger signals produced correct decline signals. But there were eight other ten percent plus declines that occurred for other reasons. Then the model called the 1990 Japan huge -56% decline. We show various later applications of the model to US stock declines such as in 2000 and 2007 and to the Chinese stock market. We also compare the model with high price earnings decline predictions over a sixty year period in the US. We show that over twenty year periods that have high returns they all start with low price earnings ratios and end with high ratios. High price earnings models have predictive value and the BSEYD models predict even better. Other large decline prediction models are call option prices exceeding put prices, Warren Buffett's value of the stock market to the value of the economy adjusted using BSEYD ideas and the value of Sotheby's stock. Investors expect more declines than actually occur. We present research on the positive effects of FOMC meetings and small cap dominance with Democratic Presidents. Marty Zweig was a wall street legend while he was alive. We discuss his methods for stock market predictability using momentum and FED actions. These helped him become the leading analyst and we show that his ideas still give useful predictions in 2016-2017. We study small declines in the five to fifteen percent range that are either not expected or are expected but when is not clear. For these we present methods to deal with these situations.The last four January-February 2016, Brexit, Trump and French elections are analzyed using simple volatility-S&P 500 graphs. Another very important issue is can you exit bubble-like markets at favorable prices. We use a stopping rule model that gives very good exit results. This is applied successfully to Apple computer stock in 2012, the Nasdaq 100 in 2000, the Japanese stock and golf course membership prices, the US stock market in 1929 and 1987 and other markets. We also show how to incorporate predictive models into stochastic investment models.

The American Psychiatric Publishing Textbook of Suicide Assessment and Management

The American Psychiatric Publishing Textbook of Suicide Assessment and Management PDF Author: Robert I. Simon
Publisher:
ISBN: 1585626481
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 696

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Book Description
Providing clinically useful information for mental health professionals encountering patients at risk, The American Psychiatric Publishing Textbook of Suicide Assessment and Management calls on the authority of 40 expert contributors reflecting a wide range of clinical and forensic experience.

Governing Risk

Governing Risk PDF Author: M. Hardy
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 113731351X
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 228

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Book Description
Drawing on Foucault's later work on governmentality, this book traces the effects of 'the rise of risk' on contemporary social work practice. Focusing on two 'domains' of practice – mental health social work and probation work – it analyses the ways in which risk thinking has affected social work's aims and objectives, methods and approaches.

Practical Enterprise Risk Management

Practical Enterprise Risk Management PDF Author: Liz Taylor
Publisher: Kogan Page Publishers
ISBN: 0749470542
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 329

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Book Description
Practical Enterprise Risk Management addresses the real need for organizations to take more managed risks in order to maximize business strategies and achieve long term goals. Based on ISO 31000 and applying current best practice, it provides templates and examples that can be adapted for any industry. Breaking down the theory on enterprise risk management, it helps you see risk as both an opportunity and a threat whilst giving you guidance on how to implement it. It provides models for Risk Adjusted Return on Capital to evaluate R.O.I and measure performance, advice on emergent risks, as well as best practice and advice on risk communication, transparency and protecting the brand. Including a comprehensive overview of risk management responsibilities for boards, Practical Enterprise Risk Management lifts the lid on the whole process, helping you to embed ERM into your organization, reach your goals and take more, and more effective, managed risks.

Mastering the Unpredictable

Mastering the Unpredictable PDF Author: Keith D. Swenson
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780929652122
Category : Knowledge management
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
The facilitation of knowledge work or what is increasingly known as "Case Management" represents the next imperative in office automation. The desire to fully support knowledge workers within the workplace is not new. What's new is that recent advances in Information Technology now make the management of unpredictable circumstances a practical reality. There's now a groundswell of interest in a more flexible, dynamic approach to supporting knowledge work. The facilitation of knowledge work or what is increasingly known as "Case Management" represents the next imperative in office automation. The desire to fully support knowledge workers within the workplace is not new. What's new is that recent advances in Information Technology now make the management of unpredictable circumstances a practical reality. There's now a groundswell of interest in a more flexible, dynamic approach to supporting knowledge work. Here are examples of what recognized experts have have recently written on the topic: Advancing to support more knowledge work is the goal of many organizations, thus there is a new groundswell of activity around unstructured processes. - Jim Sinur, VP of Research, Gartner I think a sea change is coming in the process world. -Connie Moore, Research Vice President, Forrester The sea of change Moore refers to is about technology that is able to support knowledge workers. The work of a knowledge worker is by its nature unpredictable and can not be handled by more formalized process definition techniques. For executives and managers of knowledge workers, "Mastering the Unpredictable" will: Explain the need and why previous technological approaches don't meet the need Explain the current technology gap, and the new technology that can close the gap Lay out the options that can increase the efficiency and effectiveness of their organizations Equip them to best take advantage of this evolving trend"