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Author: Anthony H. Cordesman
Publisher: CSIS Reports
ISBN: 9780892066322
Category : Air forces
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
This report describes the key results of an analysis conducted to assess the overall balance of forces on the Korean Peninsula. Given the complexity of relations between the Republic of Korea (ROK) and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK), such an assessment of the conventional, asymmetric, and CBRN (chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear) capabilities on each side is vital to negotiations between states and efforts at arms control. At the same time, there is no one Korean military balance that can be used for policy planning or arms control negotiations until decisions are made about what forces and issues to address. The tensions between the Koreas -- and the potential involvement of the People's Republic of China, Japan, and the United States at both the political and military level -- create a virtually open-ended spectrum of possible conflicts. This is particularly true if one considers the number of times that war has grown out of unpredictable incidents and patterns of escalation, the historical reality that the probability of less likely forms of war actually occurring has been consistently higher than what seem to be the most probable contingencies in peacetime, and the patterns of escalation that seem most likely from the viewpoint of a "rational bargainer."
Author: Anthony H. Cordesman
Publisher: CSIS Reports
ISBN: 9780892066322
Category : Air forces
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
This report describes the key results of an analysis conducted to assess the overall balance of forces on the Korean Peninsula. Given the complexity of relations between the Republic of Korea (ROK) and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK), such an assessment of the conventional, asymmetric, and CBRN (chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear) capabilities on each side is vital to negotiations between states and efforts at arms control. At the same time, there is no one Korean military balance that can be used for policy planning or arms control negotiations until decisions are made about what forces and issues to address. The tensions between the Koreas -- and the potential involvement of the People's Republic of China, Japan, and the United States at both the political and military level -- create a virtually open-ended spectrum of possible conflicts. This is particularly true if one considers the number of times that war has grown out of unpredictable incidents and patterns of escalation, the historical reality that the probability of less likely forms of war actually occurring has been consistently higher than what seem to be the most probable contingencies in peacetime, and the patterns of escalation that seem most likely from the viewpoint of a "rational bargainer."
Author: Anthony H. Cordesman
Publisher: Center for Strategic & International Studies
ISBN: 9781442241107
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
The tensions between the Koreas--and the potential involvement of China, Japan, Russia, and the United States in a Korean conflict--create a nearly open-ended spectrum of possible conflicts. These conflicts could range from posturing and threats to a major conventional conflict on the Korean peninsula, with intervention by outside powers, to the extreme of nuclear conflict. The Korean balance is also affected by the uncertain mix of cooperation and competition between the United States and China, particularly with the U.S. "pivot" toward Asia and the steady modernization of Chinese forces. This new volume, up to date through Spring 2015, provides a detailed examination of the military forces in Northeast Asia--North and South Korea, China, Russia, Japan, and the United States--setting those forces in the larger geostrategic context.
Author: The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1000619729
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 504
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Book Description
Published each year since 1959, The Military Balance is an indispensable reference to the capabilities of armed forces across the globe. It is used by academia, the media, armed forces, the private sector and government. It is an open-source assessment of the military forces and equipment inventories of 171 countries, with accompanying defence economics and procurement data. Alongside detailed country data, The Military Balance assesses important defence issues, by region, as well as key global trends, such as in defence technology and equipment modernisation. This analysis is accompanied by full-colour graphics, including maps and illustrations. With extensive explanatory notes and reference information, The Military Balance is as straightforward to use as it is extensive. The 2022 edition is accompanied by a fullcolour wall chart illustrating security dynamics in the Arctic.
Author: Anthony H. Cordesman
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 1442225165
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 213
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Book Description
The Evolving Military Balance in the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia describes the strategy, force deployments, and the military balance in potential current and future scenarios involving the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea, People’s Republic of China, Japan, and the United States. The analysis in these volumes shows how tensions between the Koreas—and the potential involvement of the China, Japan, Russia, and the United States—create a nearly open-ended spectrum of possible conflicts. These range from posturing and threats (“wars of intimidation”) to a major conventional conflict on the Korean Peninsula to intervention by outside powers like the United States and China to the extreme of nuclear conflict. The analysis shows that the Korean balance is sharply affected by the uncertain mix of cooperation and competition between the United States and China. The U.S. rebalancing of its forces to Asia and the steady modernization of Chinese forces, in particular the growth of Chinese sea-air-missile capabilities, affect the balance in the Koreas and Northeast Asia. They also raise the possibility of far more intense conflicts that could extend far beyond the boundaries of the Koreas.
Author: International Institute for Strategic Studies
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780367466398
Category : Africa, North
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Amid continuing conflict and broadening insecurity, The Military Balance provides essential facts and analysis for decision-makers and for better informed public debate. The Military Balance is widely recognised as the best unclassified source of defense information on personnel, equipment and budgets for every country.
Author: Selig S. Harrison
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400824915
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 440
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Book Description
Nearly half a century after the fighting stopped, the 1953 Armistice has yet to be replaced with a peace treaty formally ending the Korean War. While Russia and China withdrew the last of their forces in 1958, the United States maintains 37,000 troops in South Korea and is pledged to defend it with nuclear weapons. In Korean Endgame, Selig Harrison mounts the first authoritative challenge to this long-standing U.S. policy. Harrison shows why North Korea is not--as many policymakers expect--about to collapse. And he explains why existing U.S. policies hamper North-South reconciliation and reunification. Assessing North Korean capabilities and the motivations that have led to its forward deployments, he spells out the arms control concessions by North Korea, South Korea, and the United States necessary to ease the dangers of confrontation, centering on reciprocal U.S. force redeployments and U.S. withdrawals in return for North Korean pullbacks from the thirty-eighth parallel. Similarly, he proposes specific trade-offs to forestall the North's development of nuclear weapons and missile delivery systems, calling for the withdrawal of the U.S. nuclear umbrella in conjunction with agreements to denuclearize Korea embracing China, Russia, and Japan. The long-term goal of U.S. policy, he argues, should be the full disengagement of U.S. combat forces from Korea as part of regional agreements insulating the peninsula from all foreign conventional and nuclear forces. A veteran journalist with decades of extensive firsthand knowledge of North Korea and long-standing contacts with leaders in Washington, Seoul, and Pyongyang, Harrison is perfectly placed to make these arguments. Throughout, he supports his analysis with revealing accounts of conversations with North Korean, South Korean, and U.S. leaders over thirty-five years. Combining probing scholarship with a seasoned reporter's on-the-ground experience and insights, he has given us the definitive book on U.S. policy in Korea--past, present, and future.
Author: Anthony H. Cordesman
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 1442259019
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 587
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Book Description
China’s emergence as a global economic superpower, and as a major regional military power in Asia and the Pacific, has had a major impact on its relations with the United States and its neighbors. China was the driving factor in the new strategy the United States announced in 2012 that called for a “rebalance” of U.S. forces to the Asia-Pacific region. At the same time, China’s actions on its borders, in the East China Sea, and in the South China Sea have shown that it is steadily expanding its geopolitical role in the Pacific and having a steadily increasing impact on the strategy and military developments in other Asian powers.
Author: Scott A. Snyder
Publisher: Columbia University Press
ISBN: 0231546181
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 203
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Book Description
Against the backdrop of China’s mounting influence and North Korea’s growing nuclear capability and expanding missile arsenal, South Korea faces a set of strategic choices that will shape its economic prospects and national security. In South Korea at the Crossroads, Scott A. Snyder examines the trajectory of fifty years of South Korean foreign policy and offers predictions—and a prescription—for the future. Pairing a historical perspective with a shrewd understanding of today’s political landscape, Snyder contends that South Korea’s best strategy remains investing in a robust alliance with the United States. Snyder begins with South Korea’s effort in the 1960s to offset the risk of abandonment by the United States during the Vietnam War and the subsequent crisis in the alliance during the 1970s. A series of shifts in South Korean foreign relations followed: the “Nordpolitik” engagement with the Soviet Union and China at the end of the Cold War; Kim Dae Jung’s “Sunshine Policy,” designed to bring North Korea into the international community; “trustpolitik,” which sought to foster diplomacy with North Korea and Japan; and changes in South Korea’s relationship with the United States. Despite its rise as a leader in international financial, development, and climate-change forums, South Korea will likely still require the commitment of the United States to guarantee its security. Although China is a tempting option, Snyder argues that only the United States is both credible and capable in this role. South Korea remains vulnerable relative to other regional powers in northeast Asia despite its rising profile as a middle power, and it must balance the contradiction of desirable autonomy and necessary alliance.
Author: THE INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR STRATEGIC STUDIES (IISS)
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 9781857439885
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 504
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Book Description
The Military Balanceis an authoritative assessment of the military capabilities and defence economics of 171 countries. Detailed A-Z entries list each country's military organisation, personnel numbers, equipment inventories, and relevant economic and demographic data. Regional and select country analyses cover the major developments affecting defence policy and procurement, and defence economics. The opening graphics section displays notable defence statistics, while additional data sets detail selected arms orders and military exercises, as well as comparative defence expenditure and personnel numbers. The Military Balanceis an indispensable handbook for anyone conducting serious analysis of security policy and military affairs. The International Institute for Strategic Studies, founded in 1958, is an independent centre for research, analysis and debate on the problems of conflict, however caused, that have, or potentially have, an important military dimension. Amid continuing conflict and broadening insecurity, The Military Balanceprovides essential facts and analysis for decision-makers and for better informed public debate. Because military affairs are inevitably clouded in fog, the IISS Military Balance is an essential companion for those who seek to understand. The Military Balanceis widely recognised as the best unclassified source of defense information on personnel, equipment and budgets for every country. important military dimension. Amid continuing conflict and broadening insecurity, The Military Balanceprovides essential facts and analysis for decision-makers and for better informed public debate. Because military affairs are inevitably clouded in fog, the IISS Military Balance is an essential companion for those who seek to understand. The Military Balanceis widely recognised as the best unclassified source of defense information on personnel, equipment and budgets for every country.
Author: Young Koo Cha
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1000302822
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 230
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Book Description
This book addresses the issue that is whether the new Eas and West atmosphere of detente and arms reduction can smother the sparks of conflict on the Korean peninsula and perhaps illuminate the path to a Korea reunified as a democratic state.
