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Author: Douglas K. Pearce
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic history
Languages : en
Pages : 40
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Book Description
This paper examines the daily response of stock prices to announcements about the money supply, inflation, real economic activity, and the discountrate. Except for the discount rate, survey data on market participants' expectations of these announcements are used to identify the unexpected component of the announcements in order to test the efficient markets hypothesis that only the unexpected part of any announcement, the surprise, moves stock prices. The empirical results support this hypothesis and indicate further that surprises related to monetary policy significantly affect stock prices. There is only limited evidence of an impact from inflation surprises and no evidence of an impact from real activity surprises on the announcement days. There is also only weak evidence of stock price responses to surprises beyond the announcement day.
Author: Douglas K. Pearce
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic history
Languages : en
Pages : 40
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Book Description
This paper examines the daily response of stock prices to announcements about the money supply, inflation, real economic activity, and the discountrate. Except for the discount rate, survey data on market participants' expectations of these announcements are used to identify the unexpected component of the announcements in order to test the efficient markets hypothesis that only the unexpected part of any announcement, the surprise, moves stock prices. The empirical results support this hypothesis and indicate further that surprises related to monetary policy significantly affect stock prices. There is only limited evidence of an impact from inflation surprises and no evidence of an impact from real activity surprises on the announcement days. There is also only weak evidence of stock price responses to surprises beyond the announcement day.
Author: Norbert Funke
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 38
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Book Description
Using daily data for the January 1997 to June 2002 period, we analyze the impact of a broad set of macroeconomic news on stock prices in the United States and Germany. With GARCH specifications we test five hypotheses and find that news on real economic activity has a significant impact on stock prices. The effects vary between different types of stocks and depend on the state of the economy. In a boom period, bad economic news may be good news for stock prices. For German stock prices, international news is at least as important as domestic news. The analysis of bihourly data suggests that the main effect occurs within a short period of time.
Author: André Kurmann
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Author: Norbert Funke
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 31
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Book Description
Using daily data for the January 1997 to June 2002 period, we analyze the impact of a broad set of macroeconomic news on stock prices in the United States and Germany. With GARCH specifications we test five hypotheses and find that news on real economic activity has a significant impact on stock prices. The effects vary between different types of stocks and depend on the state of the economy. In a boom period, bad economic news may be good news for stock prices, For German stock prices, international news is at least as important as domestic news. The analysis of bihouriy data suggests that the main effect occurs within a short period of time.
Author: Nicholas Mangee
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108983588
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 451
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Book Description
'Animal spirits' is a term that describes the instincts and emotions driving human behaviour in economic settings. In recent years, this concept has been discussed in relation to the emerging field of narrative economics. When unscheduled events hit the stock market, from corporate scandals and technological breakthroughs to recessions and pandemics, relationships driving returns change in unforeseeable ways. To deal with uncertainty, investors engage in narratives which simplify the complexity of real-time, non-routine change. This book assesses the novelty-narrative hypothesis for the U.S. stock market by conducting a comprehensive investigation of unscheduled events using big data textual analysis of financial news. This important contribution to the field of narrative economics finds that major macro events and associated narratives spill over into the churning stream of corporate novelty and sub-narratives, spawning different forms of unforeseeable stock market instability.
Author: Timothy Cogley
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 3
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Book Description
Author: Shouyang Wang
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642559344
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 260
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Book Description
In our daily life, almost every family owns a portfolio of assets. This portfolio could contain real assets such as a car, or a house, as well as financial assets such as stocks, bonds or futures. Portfolio theory deals with how to form a satisfied portfolio among an enormous number of assets. Originally proposed by H. Markowtiz in 1952, the mean-variance methodology for portfolio optimization has been central to the research activities in this area and has served as a basis for the development of modem financial theory during the past four decades. Follow-on work with this approach has born much fruit for this field of study. Among all those research fruits, the most important is the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) proposed by Sharpe in 1964. This model greatly simplifies the input for portfolio selection and makes the mean-variance methodology into a practical application. Consequently, lots of models were proposed to price the capital assets. In this book, some of the most important progresses in portfolio theory are surveyed and a few new models for portfolio selection are presented. Models for asset pricing are illustrated and the empirical tests of CAPM for China's stock markets are made. The first chapter surveys ideas and principles of modeling the investment decision process of economic agents. It starts with the Markowitz criteria of formulating return and risk as mean and variance and then looks into other related criteria which are based on probability assumptions on future prices of securities.
Author: Gene Birz
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 48
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Book Description
I employ a classification of headlines from newspapers and wire services to examine whether stalemacroeconomic news affects stock prices. Unlike with individual stocks, the cost of obtaininginformation about major economic releases is relatively low. Thus, stock prices should adjust toeconomic news announcements prior to their coverage in newspapers. I find statistically andeconomically significant relationship between stale news stories on unemployment and next week'sS&P 500 returns. This effect is then completely reversed during the following week. These findingsshow that investors are affected by salient information and support the hypothesis that investorsoverreact to stale macroeconomic news reported in newspapers.
Author: Grant McQueen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business
Languages : en
Pages : 62
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Book Description
Previous research finds that fundamental macroeconomic news has little effect on stock prices. This study shows that after allowing for different stages of the business cycle, a stronger relationship between stock prices and news is evident. In particular, the empirical results suggest that the effect of news about real economic activity depends on the varying responses of expected cash flows relative to equity discount rates. When the economy is strong, for example, the stock market responds negatively to good news about real economic activity, reflecting the larger effect on discount rates relative to expected cash flows.
Author: Ross Levine
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 6101919153
Category : Aumentoa de la produccion
Languages : en
Pages : 32
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Book Description
