Stock Market Dispersion, the Business Cycle and Expected Factor Returns

Stock Market Dispersion, the Business Cycle and Expected Factor Returns PDF Author: Timotheos Angelidis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
We provide evidence using data from the G7 countries suggesting that return dispersion may serve as an economic state variable in that it reliably predicts time-variation in economic activity, market returns, the value and momentum premia and market volatility. A relatively high return dispersion predicts a deterioration in business conditions, a higher value premium, a smaller momentum premium and lower market returns. Dispersion based market and factor timing strategies outperform out-of-sample buy and hold strategies. The evidence are robust to alternative specifications of return dispersion and are not driven by US data. Return dispersion conveys incremental information relative to idiosyncratic risk.

Stock Market Dispersion, the Business Cycle and Expected Factor Returns

Stock Market Dispersion, the Business Cycle and Expected Factor Returns PDF Author: Timotheos Angelidis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
We provide evidence using data from the G7 countries suggesting that return dispersion may serve as an economic state variable in that it reliably predicts time-variation in economic activity, market returns, the value and momentum premia and market volatility. A relatively high return dispersion predicts a deterioration in business conditions, a higher value premium, a smaller momentum premium and lower market returns. Dispersion based market and factor timing strategies outperform out-of-sample buy and hold strategies. The evidence are robust to alternative specifications of return dispersion and are not driven by US data. Return dispersion conveys incremental information relative to idiosyncratic risk.

Global Stock Markets

Global Stock Markets PDF Author: Wolfgang Drobetz
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3663085295
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 346

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Book Description
Wolfgang Drobetz provides empirical evidence on the time variation of expected stock returns over the stages of the business cycle.

Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective

Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective PDF Author: Vasant Naik
Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN: 1944960155
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 192

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Book Description


Financial Markets and the Real Economy

Financial Markets and the Real Economy PDF Author: John H. Cochrane
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
ISBN: 1933019158
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 117

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Book Description
Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.

Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting

Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting PDF Author: Halbert White
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 9780198296836
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 512

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Book Description
A collection of essays in honour of Clive Granger. The chapters are by some of the world's leading econometricians, all of whom have collaborated with and/or studied with both) Clive Granger. Central themes of Granger's work are reflected in the book with attention to tests for unit roots and cointegration, tests of misspecification, forecasting models and forecast evaluation, non-linear and non-parametric econometric techniques, and overall, a careful blend of practical empirical work and strong theory. The book shows the scope of Granger's research and the range of the profession that has been influenced by his work.

Business Cycles and Equilibrium

Business Cycles and Equilibrium PDF Author: Fischer Black
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470499176
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 224

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Book Description
An updated look at what Fischer Black's ideas on business cycles and equilibrium mean today Throughout his career, Fischer Black described a view of business fluctuations based on the idea that a well-developed economy will be continually in equilibrium. In the essays that constitute this book, which is one of only two books Black ever wrote, he explores this idea thoroughly and reaches some surprising conclusions. With the newfound popularity of quantitative finance and risk management, the work of Fischer Black has garnered much attention. Business Cycles and Equilibrium-with its theory that economic and financial markets are in a continual equilibrium-is one of his books that still rings true today, given the current economic crisis. This Updated Edition clearly presents Black's classic theory on business cycles and the concept of equilibrium, and contains a new introduction by the person who knows Black best: Perry Mehrling, author of Fischer Black and the Revolutionary Idea of Finance (Wiley). Mehrling goes inside Black's life to uncover what was occurring during the time Black wrote Business Cycles and Equilibrium, while also shedding light on what Black would make of today's financial and economic meltdown and how he would best advise to move forward. The essays within this book reach some interesting conclusions concerning the role of equilibrium in a developed economy Warns about the use and abuse of modeling Explains the risky business of risk in a straightforward and accessible style Contains chapters dedicated to "the effects of uncontrolled banking," "the trouble with econometric models," and "the effects of noise on investing" Includes commentary on Black's life and work at the time Business Cycles and Equilibrium was written as well as insight as to what Black would make of the current financial meltdown Engaging and informative, the Updated Edition of Business Cycles and Equilibrium will give you a better understanding of what is really going on during these uncertain and volatile financial times.

Sustainability of the Theories Developed by Mathematical Finance and Mathematical Economics with Applications

Sustainability of the Theories Developed by Mathematical Finance and Mathematical Economics with Applications PDF Author: Wing-Keung Wong
Publisher: MDPI
ISBN: 3039365312
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 382

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Book Description
The topics studied in this Special Issue include a wide range of areas in finance, economics, tourism, management, marketing, and education. The topics in finance include stock market, volatility and excess returns, REIT, warrant and options, herding behavior and trading strategy, supply finance, and corporate finance. The topics in economics including economic growth, income poverty, and political economics.

Volatility

Volatility PDF Author: Robert A. Jarrow
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Derivative securities
Languages : en
Pages : 472

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Book Description
Written by a number of authors, this text is aimed at market practitioners and applies the latest stochastic volatility research findings to the analysis of stock prices. It includes commentary and analysis based on real-life situations.

Portfolio Structuring and the Value of Forecasting

Portfolio Structuring and the Value of Forecasting PDF Author: Jacques Lussier
Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN: 1944960090
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40

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Book Description


Asset Management

Asset Management PDF Author: Andrew Ang
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0199959323
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 717

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Book Description
Stocks and bonds? Real estate? Hedge funds? Private equity? If you think those are the things to focus on in building an investment portfolio, Andrew Ang has accumulated a body of research that will prove otherwise. In this book, Ang upends the conventional wisdom about asset allocation by showing that what matters aren't asset class labels but the bundles of overlapping risks they represent.