Risk and Returns Around Bond Rating Changes PDF Download
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Author: M-Dolores Robles
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 30
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Book Description
This study analyzes the effect of corporate bond rating changes over stock prices. We explore the effects over excess of returns and systematic risk. Rating changes by Moody's, Standard and Poor's or FitchIBCA are analyzed. On an efficient market, these changes will only have some effect if they contain some new information or if they are associated to a redistribution of wealth between shareholders and bondholders. We use an extension of the event study dummy approach. Our results indicate that rating downgrades do not cause abnormal returns around the date of the announcement while upgrades cause significantly negative effect. This behavior reflect a redistribution of wealh behavior. Changes of both directions cause a rebalancing effect in the total risk of the firm, with significant reductions on their systematic componet.
Author: M-Dolores Robles
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 30
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Book Description
This study analyzes the effect of corporate bond rating changes over stock prices. We explore the effects over excess of returns and systematic risk. Rating changes by Moody's, Standard and Poor's or FitchIBCA are analyzed. On an efficient market, these changes will only have some effect if they contain some new information or if they are associated to a redistribution of wealth between shareholders and bondholders. We use an extension of the event study dummy approach. Our results indicate that rating downgrades do not cause abnormal returns around the date of the announcement while upgrades cause significantly negative effect. This behavior reflect a redistribution of wealh behavior. Changes of both directions cause a rebalancing effect in the total risk of the firm, with significant reductions on their systematic componet.
Author: Alina Elena Negrila
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3638730379
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 82
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Book Description
Diploma Thesis from the year 2006 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,3, Technical University of Darmstadt (Institut f r Betriebswirtschaftslehre), 100 entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: Capital markets all over the world have undergone fundamental changes in the last twenty years and the most prominent developments have been: disintermediation and securitization, globalization and financial innovations. This process has been accelerated by worldwide deregulation tendencies, as well as progress and global proliferation of transactional data processing and transmission technology. The rational investor disposing of limited time and means for making a decision has been thus confronted with new challenges in a global environment dominated by almost infinite and very complex investment possibilities. Because of limited resources, private clients as well as institutional investors have been increasingly overwhelmed by internally assessing credit risk and have sought for additional evaluations from external specialists in order to build an opinion about the risk and return profile of an obligation . With this background, rating issued by major international rating agencies has come to play a key role in the making of investment decisions and in supervisory regulation. It is especially important in this context to understand the impact of rating changes on capital markets. The influence of rating changes on bond prices is subject of controversial discussions. Despite the undisputable importance of rating in markets, the debate has been fueled by spectacular insolvencies of high rated companies, such as Enron, WorldCom and Parmalat. Accordingly, measuring and assessing the information content of ratings has been in the United States the object of intense theoretical and empirical research for decades, and the lively ongoing dispute surrounding the topic is far from being concluded. However, ana
Author: Charmen Loh
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bonds
Languages : en
Pages : 328
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Book Description
Author: Michael D. Phillips
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bonds
Languages : en
Pages : 338
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Book Description
Author: Yan He
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 41
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Book Description
Using a sample of 279 upgrades and 310 downgrades from 1996 to 2004, we find that bond rating changes affect asymmetric information of stock trading and other measures of information risk. More specifically, when a firm's bond rating is upgraded (downgraded), its stock information asymmetry and its analysts' earnings forecast dispersion are significantly reduced (increased), while the institutional equity holdings of its shares are significantly increased (reduced). In addition, the degree of the change in stock asymmetric information is positively associated with the magnitude of the bond rating changes. Our evidence supports the hypothesis that a firm's bond rating change influences investors' perceptions of the firm's disclosure level, which, in turn, affects the information asymmetry of its stock trading and other measures of information risk.
Author: John Ammer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Credit ratings
Languages : en
Pages : 28
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Author: Maria Vassalou
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 50
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Book Description
Previous studies report the existence of persistent abnormal negative equity returns following downgrades, and the absence of an equity reaction following upgrades. The above result is viewed as a puzzling anomaly, and there are attempts to explain it using behavioral theories. In this paper, we show that the above result is specific to the method used in previous studies to compute abnormal returns. In particular, we show that whenreturns are adjusted for the variation in default risk around downgrades, the abnormal negative returns in short horizons disappear. We use Merton's (1974) model to compute the default risk of firms each month. We then show that, consistent with rational behavior, firms whose default risk goes up earn higher subsequent returns than firms whose default risk goes down. We also note that many of the firms that experience a downgrade are bound to be downgraded again in the three-year period following the initial downgrade. When this fact is taken into account, any abnormal negative returns in the 2- to 3-year horizon also disappear. Our analysis has implications for the informationcontent of credit ratings, as well as for the value that rating agencies provide to the investment community.
Author: Edward I. Altman
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 100
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Book Description
Author: Johan G. Duyvesteyn
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 29
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Book Description
Political risk relates to both the ability and the willingness of governments to repay debts. We find that bond prices only slowly adapt to changes in political risk. The expected bond returns for countries whose political risk ratings have improved are higher than those for countries whose political risk ratings have deteriorated. This change in political risk premium cannot be explained by the risk factors default premium, term premium, and liquidity, or by momentum, changes in credit ratings, economic risk or financial risk. The risk-adjusted performance is 7.6% per annum for emerging bond markets and 0.8% per annum for euro government bonds.
Author: Adam Ashcraft
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 1437934617
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 60
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Book Description
Studies credit ratings on subprime and Alt-A mortgage-backed-securities (MBS) deals issued between 2001 and 2007, the period leading up to the subprime crisis. The fraction of highly rated securities in each deal is decreasing in mortgage credit risk; ratings contain useful info. for investors. There was also evidence of significant time variation in risk-adjusted credit ratings, incl. a progressive decline in standards around the MBS market peak between 2005 and mid-2007. Conditional on initial ratings, they observe underperformance (high mortgage defaults and losses and large rating downgrades) among deals with observably higher risk mortgages based on a simple ex ante model and deals with a high fraction of opaque low-documentation loans.
