Real Estate in Germany. Boom or Bubble?

Real Estate in Germany. Boom or Bubble? PDF Author: Valonita Berisha
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3346123200
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 58

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Book Description
Bachelor Thesis from the year 2019 in the subject Economics - Macro-economics, general, grade: 1,7, University of Applied Sciences Frankfurt am Main, language: English, abstract: The main question which results through the theme is: “Are German real estates overvalued or can the development on the market be explained by macro-economic factors?” To be able to answer this question it is necessary to firstly define what a bubble is and further analyze general criteria which can lead to it. After that an analyzation of possible indicators which are linked to the two largest housing bubbles: the The Subprime Crisis in in the USA of the former decade and the housing bubble in Japan in the middle of the 90s will be done and a comparison of those crises will be given. Based on those findings the development of the current real estate situation of Germany and an overall evaluation of possible legal and political instruments which are supposed to protect from a pricing bubble will be done. The findings are based on literature review and include an empirical part with expert interviews when it comes to the risk of having a housing bubble specifically in Germany.

Real Estate in Germany. Boom or Bubble?

Real Estate in Germany. Boom or Bubble? PDF Author: Valonita Berisha
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3346123200
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 58

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Book Description
Bachelor Thesis from the year 2019 in the subject Economics - Macro-economics, general, grade: 1,7, University of Applied Sciences Frankfurt am Main, language: English, abstract: The main question which results through the theme is: “Are German real estates overvalued or can the development on the market be explained by macro-economic factors?” To be able to answer this question it is necessary to firstly define what a bubble is and further analyze general criteria which can lead to it. After that an analyzation of possible indicators which are linked to the two largest housing bubbles: the The Subprime Crisis in in the USA of the former decade and the housing bubble in Japan in the middle of the 90s will be done and a comparison of those crises will be given. Based on those findings the development of the current real estate situation of Germany and an overall evaluation of possible legal and political instruments which are supposed to protect from a pricing bubble will be done. The findings are based on literature review and include an empirical part with expert interviews when it comes to the risk of having a housing bubble specifically in Germany.

Real Estate Bubble in Germany. The German Residential Real Estate Market for the Presence of a Bubble

Real Estate Bubble in Germany. The German Residential Real Estate Market for the Presence of a Bubble PDF Author: Kilian Köberlein
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3346712796
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 121

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Book Description
Master's Thesis in the subject Economy - Real estate industry, , language: English, abstract: The starting point for this thesis and the associated question were price developments observable on the residential property market as well as increased media reporting. Against this background, the following question was examined with scientific methods within the framework of this thesis: Is a bubble formation recognisable in the German residential real estate market and what regional differences can be identified in answering this question? As a first step, price-influencing factors were examined in more detail and the price development relative to annual rent ratio, income and construction costs was examined. In addition, the effect of the ECB's interest rate policy and the interplay between property prices, monetary policy and asset price inflation were analysed. Hereby it became apparent that the significant price increase for residential property since 2010, and especially accelerated since 2016, can be explained against the backdrop of the extremely low interest rate level and the considerable expansion of money supply. In order to be able to identify price bubbles on the residential property market in a measurable and comprehensible way, the price development was analysed in a second step with the mathematical procedure according to Diba and Grossmann, which uses the Augmented Dickey Fuller Test. The procedure is based on the premise that the price of a good is related to its fundamental value. To examine the price development in the residential property market, the fundamental value used for comparison purposes is derived from the development of the rent price index, the index of average gross monthly earnings and the construction cost index. The house price index was used as a price indicator for residential property. With the help of the Augmented-Dickey-Fuller Test, the development of the various indices was examined and compared with regard to their degree of stationarity. This investigation was carried out for the overall German residential real estate market in the observation period 2010-2021 in order to obtain an up-to-date picture. For the period under consideration from 01.01.2010 to 31.12.2021, a price bubble was not confirmed on the overall German residential property market.

Bubbles in Real Estate?

Bubbles in Real Estate? PDF Author: Daniel Gros
Publisher: CEPS
ISBN: 9290796154
Category : Housing
Languages : en
Pages : 15

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Book Description


Real Estate Price Bubbles as Irrational Exuberance. A Critical Analysis of the German Real Estate Market

Real Estate Price Bubbles as Irrational Exuberance. A Critical Analysis of the German Real Estate Market PDF Author: Luca Dominikat
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3346874117
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 56

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Book Description
Bachelor Thesis from the year 2022 in the subject Economy - Real estate industry, grade: 1,3, Hamburg University of Applied Sciences, language: English, abstract: The development of real estate prices is of extraordinary importance for the financial and economic system, as undesirable developments could endanger financial stability, as seen in the subprime crisis, which eventually evolved into a global financial crisis. The same month the dot-com bubble burst, the Nobel Prize winner and current book author Robert J. Shiller published the non-fictional, bestselling first edition of his book, named "Irrational Exuberance", in which he explains his research on the occurrences and the causes of historical financial crises, while supplementing the conclusions with aspects of behavioural finance and social studies. As Shiller’s assertions are mainly based on the US market, research has been conducted to clarify whether his housing index and the concept of irrational exuberance can be applied to the German real estate market. By the detailed consideration of selected aspects of the book in connection with the conception of academic literature, this thesis finds that his ideas can principally be transferred to assess whether the German real estate market currently exhibits bubbly tendencies. This assessment is conducted, however, there are limitations in the sole consideration as an indicator as well as in the critical evaluation of the German real estate market.

Booms, Bubbles, and Busts in US Stock Markets

Booms, Bubbles, and Busts in US Stock Markets PDF Author: David L. Western
Publisher: Psychology Press
ISBN: 9780415369688
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 264

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Book Description
An extremely user-friendly overview of the inner workings of the US stock market. Things have changed a great deal since the heady days of the 1980s and we are now entering an era of profound uncertainty, with most analysts predicting trouble ahead. Indeed, the alarming decline of the NASDAQ shows no sign of abating and the fear is that traditional industries will be the next to bite the dust. September 11th has only added to the gloomy mood. This book examines the current conditions before looking back to the events of the past century - The Great Depression, the 1970s oil crisis, the party-for-the-rich atmosphere of the 1980s and the emergence of the new economy.

Central Banks at a Crossroads

Central Banks at a Crossroads PDF Author: Michael D. Bordo
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107149665
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 719

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Book Description
This book discusses the role of central banks and draws lessons from examining their evolution over the past two centuries.

The Global Curse of the Federal Reserve

The Global Curse of the Federal Reserve PDF Author: B. Brown
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1137297409
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 240

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Book Description
This revised edition offers the most up-to-date advice for investors who wish to defend themselves, or even make a profit from, the blighted policies of the Federal Reserve. Dr. Brown demonstrates how disordered US monetary policy causes waves of economic destruction around the globe.

The Housing Boom and Bust

The Housing Boom and Bust PDF Author: Thomas Sowell
Publisher: Basic Books (AZ)
ISBN: 0465018807
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 194

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Book Description
Explains how we got into the current economic disaster that developed out of the economics and politics of the housing boom and bust. The "creative" financing of home mortgages and "creative" marketing of financial securities based on these mortgages to countries around the world, are part of the story of how a financial house of cards was built up--and then collapsed.

Investing in German Real Estate

Investing in German Real Estate PDF Author: Florian Hackelberg
Publisher: Haufe-Lexware
ISBN: 3648146580
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 423

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Book Description
Investing in one of the most promising real estate markets in Europe offers enormous opportunities. And as with every real estate market, in Germany too, the local framework conditions must be understood and their particularities must be adequately taken into account. The authors are renowned senior executives, real estate advisors and academics, who share here their extensive experience and real life insights from countless real estate investments, covering all aspects of a successful investment process in Germany. Includes: markets, the regulatory framework and investment guidelines. Contents: - Essentials for successful real estate investments in Germany - Macro-economic structure and dynamics of the German real estate market - Real estate investment, trends and strategies - Diverse submarkets: residential, offices, retail, hotel and nursing homes - Real estate legal, tax and audit frameworks - German REITS and ESG in real estate investments - Real estate M&A, financing, due diligence and valuations

Euro on Trial

Euro on Trial PDF Author: B. Brown
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230508596
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 196

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Book Description
Euro on Trial looks back - to the aspirations of the founders - and forward - to the possibility of reform or splitting up. After five years of experience with the new currency, new insights are possible into the old arguments for and against union. Monetary union is reversible in part or in whole and this book assesses the costs and benefits.