Probabilistic Aspects of Life Prediction

Probabilistic Aspects of Life Prediction PDF Author:
Publisher: ASTM International
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 279

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Book Description

Probabilistic Aspects of Life Prediction

Probabilistic Aspects of Life Prediction PDF Author:
Publisher: ASTM International
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 279

Get Book Here

Book Description


Probabilistic Aspects of Life Prediction

Probabilistic Aspects of Life Prediction PDF Author: W. Steven Johnson
Publisher: ASTM International
ISBN: 9780803134782
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 292

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Book Description
As fatigue and fracture mechanics approaches are used more often for determining the useful life and/or inspection intervals for complex structures, realization sets-in that all factors are not well known or characterized. Indeed, inherent scatter exists in initial material quality and in material performance. Furthermore, projections of component usage in determination of applied stresses are inexact at best and are subject to much discrepancy between projected and actual usage. Even the models for predicting life contain inherent sources of error based on assumptions and/or empirically fitted parameters. All of these factors need to be accounted for to determine a distribution of potential lives based on combination of the aforementioned variables, as well as other factors. The purpose of this symposium was to create a forum for assessment of the state-of-the-art in incorporating these uncertainties and inherent scatter into systematic probabilistic methods for conducting life assessment.

Probably Not

Probably Not PDF Author: Lawrence N. Dworsky
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470282045
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 328

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Book Description
An engaging, entertaining, and informative introduction to probability and prediction in our everyday lives Although Probably Not deals with probability and statistics, it is not heavily mathematical and is not filled with complex derivations, proofs, and theoretical problem sets. This book unveils the world of statistics through questions such as what is known based upon the information at hand and what can be expected to happen. While learning essential concepts including "the confidence factor" and "random walks," readers will be entertained and intrigued as they move from chapter to chapter. Moreover, the author provides a foundation of basic principles to guide decision making in almost all facets of life including playing games, developing winning business strategies, and managing personal finances. Much of the book is organized around easy-to-follow examples that address common, everyday issues such as: How travel time is affected by congestion, driving speed, and traffic lights Why different gambling casino strategies ultimately offer players no advantage How to estimate how many different birds of one species are seen on a walk through the woods Seemingly random events—coin flip games, the Central Limit Theorem, binomial distributions and Poisson distributions, Parrando's Paradox, and Benford's Law—are addressed and treated through key concepts and methods in probability. In addition, fun-to-solve problems including "the shared birthday" and "the prize behind door number one, two, or three" are found throughout the book, which allow readers to test and practice their new probability skills. Requiring little background knowledge of mathematics, readers will gain a greater understanding of the many daily activities and events that involve random processes and statistics. Combining the mathematics of probability with real-world examples, Probably Not is an ideal reference for practitioners and students who would like to learn more about the role of probability and statistics in everyday decision making.

The Great Mental Models, Volume 1

The Great Mental Models, Volume 1 PDF Author: Shane Parrish
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 0593719972
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 209

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Book Description
Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast. This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you. Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields. Mastering a small number of mental models enables you to rapidly grasp new information, identify patterns others miss, and avoid the common mistakes that hold people back. The Great Mental Models: Volume 1, General Thinking Concepts shows you how making a few tiny changes in the way you think can deliver big results. Drawing on examples from history, business, art, and science, this book details nine of the most versatile, all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making and productivity. This book will teach you how to: Avoid blind spots when looking at problems. Find non-obvious solutions. Anticipate and achieve desired outcomes. Play to your strengths, avoid your weaknesses, … and more. The Great Mental Models series demystifies once elusive concepts and illuminates rich knowledge that traditional education overlooks. This series is the most comprehensive and accessible guide on using mental models to better understand our world, solve problems, and gain an advantage.

Handbook of Probabilistic Models

Handbook of Probabilistic Models PDF Author: Pijush Samui
Publisher: Butterworth-Heinemann
ISBN: 0128165464
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 592

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Book Description
Handbook of Probabilistic Models carefully examines the application of advanced probabilistic models in conventional engineering fields. In this comprehensive handbook, practitioners, researchers and scientists will find detailed explanations of technical concepts, applications of the proposed methods, and the respective scientific approaches needed to solve the problem. This book provides an interdisciplinary approach that creates advanced probabilistic models for engineering fields, ranging from conventional fields of mechanical engineering and civil engineering, to electronics, electrical, earth sciences, climate, agriculture, water resource, mathematical sciences and computer sciences. Specific topics covered include minimax probability machine regression, stochastic finite element method, relevance vector machine, logistic regression, Monte Carlo simulations, random matrix, Gaussian process regression, Kalman filter, stochastic optimization, maximum likelihood, Bayesian inference, Bayesian update, kriging, copula-statistical models, and more. - Explains the application of advanced probabilistic models encompassing multidisciplinary research - Applies probabilistic modeling to emerging areas in engineering - Provides an interdisciplinary approach to probabilistic models and their applications, thus solving a wide range of practical problems

Dynamic Data Driven Applications Systems

Dynamic Data Driven Applications Systems PDF Author: Frederica Darema
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030617254
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 356

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Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the Third International Conference on Dynamic Data Driven Application Systems, DDDAS 2020, held in Boston, MA, USA, in October 2020. The 21 full papers and 14 short papers presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 40 submissions. They cover topics such as: digital twins; environment cognizant adaptive-planning systems; energy systems; materials systems; physics-based systems analysis; imaging methods and systems; and learning systems.

Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery for Engineering Systems Health Management

Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery for Engineering Systems Health Management PDF Author: Ashok N. Srivastava
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1000755711
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 505

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Book Description
This volume presents state-of-the-art tools and techniques for automatically detecting, diagnosing, and predicting the effects of adverse events in an engineered system. It emphasizes the importance of these techniques in managing the intricate interactions within and between engineering systems to maintain a high degree of reliability. Reflecting the interdisciplinary nature of the field, the book explains how the fundamental algorithms and methods of both physics-based and data-driven approaches effectively address systems health management in application areas such as data centers, aircraft, and software systems.

Probabilistic fracture mechanics and reliability

Probabilistic fracture mechanics and reliability PDF Author: J.W. Provan
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401727643
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 477

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Book Description
With the advent of the 80's there has been an increasing need for analytic and numerical techniques, based on a thorough understanding of microstructural processes, that express in a manner suitable for practicing engineers the reliability of components and structures that are being subjected to degradation situations. Such situations fall within the framework offracture mechanics, fatigue, corrosion fatigue and pitting corrosion. Luckily, such techniques are now being developed and it was felt timely to combine in one volume reports by the leaders in this field who are currently making great strides towards solving these problems. Hence the idea of this monograph was born and I am pleased to be associated both with it and the contributors whose chapters are included in this volume. A very large part of the credit for this monograph must go to the authors who have taken time out from their busy schedules to prepare their submissions. They have all worked diligently over the last few months in order to get their manuscripts to me on time and I sincerely thank them for their help throughout the preparation of this volume.

Proceedings: Creep & Fracture in High Temperature Components

Proceedings: Creep & Fracture in High Temperature Components PDF Author: I. A. Shibli
Publisher: DEStech Publications, Inc
ISBN: 160595005X
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 661

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Book Description
A compendium of European and worldwide research investigating creep, fatigue and failure behaviors in metals under high-temperature and other service stresses. It helps set the standards for coordinating creep data and for maintaining defect-free quality in high-temperature metals and metal-based weldments.

Fatigue of Composite Materials

Fatigue of Composite Materials PDF Author: Ronald F. Gibson
Publisher: DEStech Publications, Inc
ISBN: 1605950858
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 245

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Book Description
Presents investigations into fatigue in composite materials and structures. Sections include: research into aspects of fatigue modeling including prediction of fatigue life, fatigue strength and fatigue crack growth rate; experimental characterization of fatigue in composites, and discussing fatigue behavior of fullscale composite structures.