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Author: Masanao Aoki
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642455654
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 262
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Book Description
In seminars and graduate level courses I have had several opportunities to discuss modeling and analysis of time series with economists and economic graduate students during the past several years. These experiences made me aware of a gap between what economic graduate students are taught about vector-valued time series and what is available in recent system literature. Wishing to fill or narrow the gap that I suspect is more widely spread than my personal experiences indicate, I have written these notes to augment and reor ganize materials I have given in these courses and seminars. I have endeavored to present, in as much a self-contained way as practicable, a body of results and techniques in system theory that I judge to be relevant and useful to economists interested in using time series in their research. I have essentially acted as an intermediary and interpreter of system theoretic results and perspectives in time series by filtering out non-essential details, and presenting coherent accounts of what I deem to be important but not readily available, or accessible to economists. For this reason I have excluded from the notes many results on various estimation methods or their statistical properties because they are amply discussed in many standard texts on time series or on statistics.
Author: Masanao Aoki
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642455654
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 262
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Book Description
In seminars and graduate level courses I have had several opportunities to discuss modeling and analysis of time series with economists and economic graduate students during the past several years. These experiences made me aware of a gap between what economic graduate students are taught about vector-valued time series and what is available in recent system literature. Wishing to fill or narrow the gap that I suspect is more widely spread than my personal experiences indicate, I have written these notes to augment and reor ganize materials I have given in these courses and seminars. I have endeavored to present, in as much a self-contained way as practicable, a body of results and techniques in system theory that I judge to be relevant and useful to economists interested in using time series in their research. I have essentially acted as an intermediary and interpreter of system theoretic results and perspectives in time series by filtering out non-essential details, and presenting coherent accounts of what I deem to be important but not readily available, or accessible to economists. For this reason I have excluded from the notes many results on various estimation methods or their statistical properties because they are amply discussed in many standard texts on time series or on statistics.
Author: Bruce G. Hutchinson
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642510205
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 381
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Book Description
'l'he papers contained in this volume were originally presented at the International symposium on New Directions in Urban Systems Modelling held at the University of Waterloo in July, 1983. The papers have been reviewed and rewritten since that time. The exception is the introductory paper written specially by Manfred Fischer and Peter Nijkamp as an introduction to this volume. The manuscript was prepared in the word processing unit in the nepartment of Civil Engineering, university of Waterloo. The sustained work of Mrs. I. Steffler in preparing this manuscript is gratefully acknowledged. "'r. R. K. Kumar provided excellent assistance with the editorial process. The svrnposium and the preparation of this manuscript were supporteö financially by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, The Academic Development Fund and the Department of Civil Engineering, TTniversity of waterloo. TABLE OF CONTENTS PREFACE •....••...•..•...•..........•..••.•....•.•••.••.••.•..•••••.•.••.. III Categorical Data and Choice Analysis in a Spatial Context Manfred Fischer and Peter Nijkamp .•••....•.......•.•.....•.......•.......
Author: Dominicus van der Wijst
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642456561
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 187
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Book Description
46 4. 2 Assumptions and definitions 48 4. 3 Single period models 4. 3. 1 Introduction: the MM-position 48 4. 3. 2 The effect of risk of default and limited liability 50 53 4. 3. 3 The effect of bankruptcy costs 4. 3. 4 The effect of agency costs 58 4. 3. 5 The effect of informational differences 60 4. 4 Multi-period models 63 4. 4. 1 Introduction: additional assumptions and redefinitions 63 65 4. 4. 2 The MM-position 67 4. 4. 3 The effect of limited liability and the risk of default 4. 4. 4 The effect of bankruptcy costs 70 4. 4. 5 The Scott model 72 4. 4. 6 Some extensions of the Scott model 76 4. 5 Conclusions 79 Appendix to chapter 4 82 83 5 Determinants from the practice of small business finance 83 5. 1 Introduction and overview 5. 2 Determinants related to the firm's internal characteristics 85 5. 3 Determinants related to the firm's external relationships 91 6 A comparison and evaluation of both sources 94 6. 1 Comparison and evaluation 94 6. 2 Summary and empirical implications 98 PART III : EMPIRICAL ANALYSES IN SMALL BUSINESS 7 Analyses of samples of individual firms 103 7. 1 Introduction 103 7. 2 Data 104 7. 3 Hypotheses and variables 107 7. 4 Specification and estimation results 113 IV 8 Analyses of industry averages in retailing 131 8. 1 Introduction 131 8. 2 Data 132 8.
Author: Soo H. Chew
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642466230
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 190
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Book Description
This book treats the subject of global optimization with minimal restrictions on the behavior on the objective functions. In particular, optimal conditions were developed for a class of noncontinuous functions characterized by their having level sets that are robust. The integration-based approach contrasts with existing approaches which require some degree of convexity or differentiability of the objective function. Some computational results on a personal computer are presented.
Author: Vladimir F. Demyanov
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3662126036
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 355
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Book Description
The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Laxenburg, Austria, has been involved in research on nondifferentiable optimization since 1976. IIASA-based East-West cooperation in this field has been very productive, leading to many important theoretical, algorithmic and applied results. Nondifferentiable optimi zation has now become a recognized and rapidly developing branch of mathematical programming. To continue this tradition, and to review recent developments in this field, IIASA held a Workshop on Nondifferentiable Optimization in Sopron (Hungary) in September 1964. The aims of the Workshop were: 1. To discuss the state-of-the-art of nondifferentiable optimization (NDO), its origins and motivation; 2. To compare-various algorithms; 3. To evaluate existing mathematical approaches, their applications and potential; 4. To extend and deepen industrial and other applications of NDO. The following topics were considered in separate sessions: General motivation for research in NDO: nondifferentiability in applied problems, nondifferentiable mathematical models. Numerical methods for solving nondifferentiable optimization problems, numerical experiments, comparisons and software. Nondifferentiable analysis: various generalizations of the concept of subdifferen tials. Industrial and other applications. This volume contains selected papers presented at the Workshop. It is divided into four sections, based on the above topics: I. Concepts in Nonsmooth Analysis II. Multicriteria Optimization and Control Theory III. Algorithms and Optimization Methods IV. Stochastic Programming and Applications We would like to thank the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, particularly Prof. V. Kaftanov and Prof. A.B. Kurzhanski, for their support in organiz ing this meeting.
Author: Reinhard Tietz
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642483569
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 369
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Book Description
The book reports on recent experimental research on expectations and decision making in bargaining, markets, auctions, or coalition formation situations. The investi- gated topics deliver building stones for a bounded rational theory as an approach to explain behavior and interpersonal interactions in economic and social relationships.
Author: Jean-P. Aubin
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 366200545X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 279
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Book Description
Author: Timothy M. Doup
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642466516
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 264
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Book Description
1.1. Introduction Solving systems of nonlinear equations has since long been of great interest to researchers in the field of economics, mathematics, en gineering, and many other professions. Many problems such as finding an equilibrium, a zero point, or a fixed point, can be formulated as the problem of finding a solution to a system of nonlinear equations. There are many methods to solve the nonlinear system such as Newton's method, the homotopy method, and the simplicial method. In this monograph we mainly consider the simplicial method. Traditionally, the zero point and fixed point problem have been solved by iterative methods such as Newton's method and modifications thereof. Among the difficulties which may cause an iterative method to perform inefficiently or even fail are: the lack of good starting points, slow convergence, and the lack of smoothness of the underlying function. These difficulties have been partly overcome by the introduction of homo topy methods.
Author: Werner Jammernegg
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 364246646X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 167
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Book Description
This book describes some models from the theory of investment which are mainly characterized by three features. Firstly, the decision-maker acts in a dynamic environment. Secondly, the distributions of the random variables are only incompletely known at the beginning of the planning process. This is termed as decision-making under conditions of uncer tainty. Thirdly, in large parts of the work we restrict the analysis to binary decision models. In a binary model, the decision-maker must choose one of two actions. For example, one decision means to undertake the invest ·ment project in a planning period, whereas the other decision prescribes to postpone the project for at least one more period. The analysis of dynamic decision models under conditions of uncertainty is not a very common approach in economics. In this framework the op timal decisions are only obtained by the extensive use of methods from operations research and from statistics. It is the intention to narrow some of the existing gaps in the fields of investment and portfolio analysis in this respect. This is done by combining techniques that have been devel oped in investment theory and portfolio selection, in stochastic dynamic programming, and in Bayesian statistics. The latter field indicates the use of Bayes' theorem for the revision of the probability distributions of the random variables over time.
Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642456413
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 153
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Book Description
Structural exchange rate modeling has proven extremely difficult during the recent post-1973 float. The disappointment climaxed with the papers of Meese and Rogoff (1983a, 1983b), who showed that a "naive" random walk model distinctly dominated received theoretical models in terms of predictive performance for the major dollar spot rates. One purpose of this monograph is to seek the reasons for this failure by exploring the temporal behavior of seven major dollar exchange rates using nonstructural time-series methods. The Meese-Rogoff finding does not mean that exchange rates evolve as random walks; rather it simply means that the random walk is a better stochastic approximation than any of their other candidate models. In this monograph, we use optimal model specification techniques, including formal unit root tests which allow for trend, and find that all of the exchange rates studied do in fact evolve as random walks or random walks with drift (to a very close approximation). This result is consistent with efficient asset markets, and provides an explanation for the Meese-Rogoff results. Far more subtle forces are at work, however, which lead to interesting econometric problems and have implications for the measurement of exchange rate volatility and moment structure. It is shown that all exchange rates display substantial conditional heteroskedasticity. A particularly reasonable parameterization of this conditional heteroskedasticity, which captures the observed clustering of prediction error variances, is developed in Chapter 2.
