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Author: L. Broze
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 1483296288
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 249
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Book Description
This book is devoted to the econometric analysis of linear multivariate rational expectation models. It shows that the interpretation of multiplicity in terms of "new degrees of freedom" is consistent with a rigorous econometric reasoning. Non-uniqueness is the central theme of this book. Each chapter is concerned with a specific econometric aspect of rational expectations equilibria. The most constructive result lies in the possibility of an empirical determination of the equilibrium followed by the economy.
Author: L. Broze
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 1483296288
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 249
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book is devoted to the econometric analysis of linear multivariate rational expectation models. It shows that the interpretation of multiplicity in terms of "new degrees of freedom" is consistent with a rigorous econometric reasoning. Non-uniqueness is the central theme of this book. Each chapter is concerned with a specific econometric aspect of rational expectations equilibria. The most constructive result lies in the possibility of an empirical determination of the equilibrium followed by the economy.
Author: Roger Guesnerie
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262262903
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 498
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Book Description
A theoretical assessment of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis through subjecting a collection of economic models to an "eductive stability" test. The rational expectations hypothesis (REH) dominates economic modeling in areas ranging from monetary theory, macroeconomics, and general equilibrium to finance. In this book, Roger Guesnerie continues the critical analysis of the REH begun in his Assessing Rational Expectations: Sunspot Multiplicity and Economic Fluctuations, which dealt with the questions raised by multiplicity and its implications for a theory of endogenous fluctuations. This second volume emphasizes "eductive" learning: relying on careful reasoning, agents must deduce what other agents guess, a process that differs from the standard evolutionary learning experience in which agents make decisions about the future based on past experiences. A broad "eductive" stability test is proposed that includes common knowledge and results in a unique "rationalizable expectations equilibrium." This test provides the basis for Guesnerie's theoretical assessment of the plausibility of the REH's expectational coordination, emphasizing, for different categories of economic models, conditions for the REH's success or failure. Guesnerie begins by presenting the concepts and methods of the eductive stability analysis in selected partial equilibrium models. He then explores to what extent general equilibrium strategic complementarities interfere with partial equilibrium considerations in the formation of stable expectations. Guesnerie next examines two issues relating to eductive stability in financial market models, speculation and asymmetric price information. The dynamic settings of an infinite horizon model are then taken up, and particular standard and generalized saddle-path solutions are scrutinized. Guesnerie concludes with a review of general questions and some "cautious" remarks on the policy implications of his analysis.
Author: Laurence Broze
Publisher: Psychology Press
ISBN: 9780415269261
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 144
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Book Description
A comprehensive exposition of rational expectations models is provided here, working up from simple univariate models to more sophisticated multivariate and non-linear models.
Author: Stephen J. Turnovsky
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262201230
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 698
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Book Description
Just as macroeconomic models describe the overall economy within a changing, or dynamic, framework, the models themselves change over time. In this text Stephen J. Turnovsky reviews in depth several early models as well as a representation of more recent models. They include traditional (backward-looking) models, linear rational expectations (future-looking) models, intertemporal optimization models, endogenous growth models, and continuous time stochastic models. The author uses examples from both closed and open economies. Whereas others commonly introduce models in a closed context, tacking on a brief discussion of the model in an open economy, Turnovsky integrates the two perspectives throughout to reflect the increasingly international outlook of the field. This new edition has been extensively revised. It contains a new chapter on optimal monetary and fiscal policy, and the coverage of growth theory has been expanded substantially. The range of growth models considered has been extended, with particular attention devoted to transitional dynamics and nonscale growth. The book includes cutting-edge research and unpublished data, including much of the author's own work.
Author: Mark Weder
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642470181
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 186
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Book Description
Three original models which explain business cycles as a result of self-fulfilling expectations are presented. The models are founded on the structure of dynamic general equilibrium theory. Market power and increasing returns to scale are introduced which allow indeterminancy of the Rational Expectations equilibria to be obtained. Unlike the majority of existing literature on this subject, the departures from perfect markets and constant returns presented in these models are very low and, more importantly, at a realistic level to achieve the respective results. It is demonstrated in all of the presented models that stylized facts of the business cycle can be reproduced.
Author: Lars Peter Hansen
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1000308960
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 306
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Book Description
At the core of the rational expectations revolution is the insight that economic policy does not operate independently of economic agents' knowledge of that policy and their expectations of the effects of that policy. This means that there are very complicated feedback relationships existing between policy and the behaviour of economic agents, and these relationships pose very difficult problems in econometrics when one tries to exploit the rational expectations insight in formal economic modelling. This volume consists of work by two rational expectations pioneers dealing with the "nuts and bolts" problems of modelling the complications introduced by rational expectations. Each paper deals with aspects of the problem of making inferences about parameters of a dynamic economic model on the basis of time series observations. Each exploits restrictions on an econometric model imposed by the hypothesis that agents within the model have rational expectations.
Author: George R. Feiwel
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1349072397
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 745
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Book Description
This and the companion volume are about the ascent, vicissitudes and lacunae in the science and art modern economics and about Kenneth Arrow, his architectonic contributions to and impact on the theoretical and applied economics and moral and political philosophy of our age. They provide a comprehensive composite analysis of Arrow's approach and contributions to and his impact on modern economics and philosophy seen from various forms. In addition to original essays that not only analyse Arrow's contributions and impact, but provide insights into what is being done at the frontiers of the subject, these volumes contain interview chapters that afford extraordinary glimpses into the creativity and personality of the major contributors to the economics of our age (including our protagonist) and are an important historical document.
Author: Bert G. Hickman
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9789810232344
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 372
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Book Description
This book covers two years of research activities associated with Project LINK, which is based on a model of the world economy, covering 79 countries or regional groupings of countries. Papers dealing with interesting thematic issues were carefully selected and expanded into full articles. The subjects studied by various LINK participants for reporting at annual meetings include exchange rate systems, international investment, environmental protection, international economic institutions, LINK system improvements, and international economic policy. As always, there are contributions dealing with methodological advances for world modeling.
Author: Kiyohiko G. Nishimura
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 9780198290391
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 250
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Book Description
This volume links a microeconomic model of imperfectly informed firms and unions in monopolistic competition to a general theory of wage- and price-setting in a macroeconomic model. The analysis is based on a profit maximization and rational behaviour and is thus in line with the newly emerged New Keynesian approach in its emphasis on the microeconomic foundation of macroeconomics. The volume goes on to explain three stylized facts in macroeconomics: nominal rigidity, real rigidity, and cost-oriented prices, presented in a coherent New Keynesian framework. The analysis also provides new insight into the role of competition in an economy with imperfectly and differentially informed firms. It shows that increased competition may increase nominal as well as real price rigidity and increased volatility of investment.
Author: David de la Croix
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521001151
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 400
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Book Description
This book provides an in-depth treatment of the overlapping generations model in economics incorporating production.
