Phillips Curves, Phillips Lines and the Unemplyment Costs of Overheating PDF Download
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Author: Mr.Peter B. Clark
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 145184350X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 51
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Book Description
Most empirical work on the U.S. Phillips curve has had a strong tendency to impose global linearity on the data. The basic objective of this paper is to reconsider the issue of nonlinearity and to underscore its importance for policymaking. After briefly reviewing the history of the Phillips curve and the basis for convexity, we derive it explicitly using standard models of wage and price determination. We provide some empirical estimates of Phillips curves and Phillips lines for the United States and use some illustrative simulations to contrast the policy implications of the two models.
Author: Mr.Peter B. Clark
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 145184350X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 51
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Book Description
Most empirical work on the U.S. Phillips curve has had a strong tendency to impose global linearity on the data. The basic objective of this paper is to reconsider the issue of nonlinearity and to underscore its importance for policymaking. After briefly reviewing the history of the Phillips curve and the basis for convexity, we derive it explicitly using standard models of wage and price determination. We provide some empirical estimates of Phillips curves and Phillips lines for the United States and use some illustrative simulations to contrast the policy implications of the two models.
Author: Demosthenes N. Tambakis
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451921713
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 29
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Book Description
Recent theoretical and empirical work has cast doubt on the hypotheses of a linear Phillips curve and a symmetric quadratic loss function underlying traditional thinking on monetary policy. This paper analyzes the Barro-Gordon optimal monetary policy problem under alternative loss functions—including an asymmetric loss function corresponding to the “opportunistic approach” to disinflation—when the Phillips curve is convex. Numerical simulations are used to compare the implications of the alternative loss functions for equilibrium levels of inflation and unemployment. For parameter estimates relevant to the United States, the symmetric loss function dominates the asymmetric alternative.
Author: Mr.Hamid Faruqee
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781557757227
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 88
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Book Description
This study describes the Mark III version of MULTIMOD, the IMF's multi region macroeconomic model. Mark III version of MULTIMOD differs from its predecessor in several important respects. New features include a core steady-state analogue model, a new model of teh inflation-unemployment nexus, and extended non-Ricardian specification of consumption-saving behavior, and improved specifications and estimates of investment behavior and international trade equations. In addition, the introduction of a new solution algorithm has greatly increased the robustness, speed of convergence, and accuracy of the simulations.
Author: Gilles Dufrénot
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3031157540
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 464
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Book Description
This book examines the economic policies that will underpin the evolution of growth in industrialised economies in coming decades. The change in focus of policymakers away from short-term regulation and policies towards problems of structural change is discussed in relation to the Taylor rule and Fisher relationship. Both empirical observations and quantitative analyses are utilised to explore diverse but interrelating topics, including interest rates dynamics, macroeconomic equilibrium, economic vulnerability, poverty and inequality, environmental sustainability, and monetary and fiscal policies. This book aims to propose policies that can produce economic growth without compromising social stability and environmental balances. It will be of interest to researchers and policymakers working within economic development and policy.
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Fiscal policy
Languages : en
Pages : 448
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Book Description
Author: David G. Blanchflower
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 9780262023757
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 504
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Book Description
The Wage Curve casts doubt on some of the most important ideas in macroeconomics, labor economics, and regional economics. According to macroeconomic orthodoxy, there is a relationship between unemployment and the rate of change of wages. According to orthodoxy in labor economics and regional economics an area's wage is positively related to the amount of joblessness in the area. The Wage Curve suggests that both these beliefs are incorrect. Blanchflower and Oswald argue that the stable relationship is a downward-sloping convex curve linking local unemployment and the level of pay. Their study, one of the most intensive in the history of social science, is based on random samples that provide computerized information on nearly four million people from sixteen countries. Throughout, the authors systematically present evidence and possible explanations for their empirical law of economics.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic policy
Languages : en
Pages : 444
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Book Description
Author: William Fellner
Publisher: American Enterprise Institute Press
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 444
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Book Description
Author: Mr.Peter Isard
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781557758347
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 304
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Book Description
This book contains the proceedings of a conference held in honor of Robert P. Flood Jr. Contributors to the conference were invited to address many of the topics that Robert Flood has explored including regime switching, speculative attacks, bubbles, stock market voloatility, macro models with nominal rigidities, dual exchange rates, target zones, and rules versus discretion in monetary policy. The results, contained in this volume, include five papers on topics in international finance.
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451947240
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 156
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Book Description
The Chilean pension reform of 1981, a shift from cm unfunded to a funded scheme, is considered to have contributed to this country’s excellent economic performance. Positive growth effects allow, in principle, a Pareto-improving shift in pension financing. This paper highlights the theoretical underpinnings of the reform and presents empirical data and preliminary econometric testing of the conjectured reform effects on financial market developments, as well as the impact on total factor productivity. capital formation, and private saving. The empirical evidence is consistent with most but not all claims. In particular, the direct impact of the reform on saving was low, and initially even negative.
