Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences PDF full book. Access full book title Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences by Kenneth C. Land. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Kenneth C. Land
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9400940114
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 376
Get Book
Book Description
Social and natural scientists often are called upon to produce, or participate, in the pro duction of forecasts. This volume assembles essays that (a) describe the organizational and political context of applied forecasting, (b) review the state-of-the-art for many fore casting models and methods, and (c) discuss issues of predictability, the implications of forecaSt errors, and model construction, linkage and verification. The essays should be of particular interest to social and natural scientists concerned with forecasting large-scale systems. This project had its origins in discussions of social forecasts and forecasting method ologies initiated a few years ago by several social and natural science members of the Social Science Research Council's Committee on Social Indicators. It became appar ent in these discussions that certain similar problems were confronted in forecasting large-scale systems-be they social or natural. In response, the Committee hypothesized that much could be learned through more extended and systematic interchanges among social and natural scientists focusing on the formal methodologies applied in forecasting. To put this conjecture to the test, the Committee sponsored a conference at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, on June 10-13, 1984, on forecasting in the social and natural sciences. The conference was co-chaired by Committee members Kenneth C. Land and Stephen H. Schneider representing, respectively, the social and natural science mem bership of the Committee. Support for the conference was provided by a grant to the Council from the Division of Social and Economic Science of the National Science Foundation.
Author: Kenneth C. Land
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9400940114
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 376
Get Book
Book Description
Social and natural scientists often are called upon to produce, or participate, in the pro duction of forecasts. This volume assembles essays that (a) describe the organizational and political context of applied forecasting, (b) review the state-of-the-art for many fore casting models and methods, and (c) discuss issues of predictability, the implications of forecaSt errors, and model construction, linkage and verification. The essays should be of particular interest to social and natural scientists concerned with forecasting large-scale systems. This project had its origins in discussions of social forecasts and forecasting method ologies initiated a few years ago by several social and natural science members of the Social Science Research Council's Committee on Social Indicators. It became appar ent in these discussions that certain similar problems were confronted in forecasting large-scale systems-be they social or natural. In response, the Committee hypothesized that much could be learned through more extended and systematic interchanges among social and natural scientists focusing on the formal methodologies applied in forecasting. To put this conjecture to the test, the Committee sponsored a conference at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, on June 10-13, 1984, on forecasting in the social and natural sciences. The conference was co-chaired by Committee members Kenneth C. Land and Stephen H. Schneider representing, respectively, the social and natural science mem bership of the Committee. Support for the conference was provided by a grant to the Council from the Division of Social and Economic Science of the National Science Foundation.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 285
Get Book
Book Description
Author: Mark Buchanan
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA
ISBN: 1608198537
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 273
Get Book
Book Description
A groundbreaking book that uses physics to show how instability is inherent in economic markets, just as thunderstorms are a part of weather.
Author: Social Science Research Council (Great Britain)
Publisher: London : published for the Social Science Research Council by Heinemann, London
ISBN:
Category : Economic forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 196
Get Book
Book Description
Author: Social Science Research Council (United Kingdom)
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 166
Get Book
Book Description
Author: Nicholas Rescher
Publisher: SUNY Press
ISBN: 9780791435533
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 334
Get Book
Book Description
The future obviously matters to us. It is, after all, where we'll be spending the rest of our lives. We need some degree of foresight if we are to make effective plans for managing our affairs. Much that we would like to know in advance cannot be predicted. But a vast amount of successful prediction is nonetheless possible, especially in the context of applied sciences such as medicine, meteorology, and engineering. This book examines our prospects for finding out about the future in advance. It addresses questions such as why prediction is possible in some areas and not others; what sorts of methods and resources make successful prediction possible; and what obstacles limit the predictive venture. Nicholas Rescher develops a general theory of prediction that encompasses its fundamental principles, methodology, and practice and gives an overview of its promises and problems. Predicting the Future considers the anthropological and historical background of the predictive enterprise. It also examines the conceptual, epistemic, and ontological principles that set the stage for predictive efforts. In short, Rescher explores the basic features of the predictive situation and considers their broader implications in science, in philosophy, and in the management of our daily affairs.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Census
Languages : en
Pages : 564
Get Book
Book Description
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : United States
Languages : en
Pages : 400
Get Book
Book Description
Author: Kenneth C. Land
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9400724217
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 594
Get Book
Book Description
The aim of the Handbook of Social Indicators and Quality of Life Research is to create an overview of the field of Quality of Life (QOL) studies in the early years of the 21st century that can be updated and improved upon as the field evolves and the century unfolds. Social indicators are statistical time series “...used to monitor the social system, helping to identify changes and to guide intervention to alter the course of social change”. Examples include unemployment rates, crime rates, estimates of life expectancy, health status indices, school enrollment rates, average achievement scores, election voting rates, and measures of subjective well-being such as satisfaction with life-as-a-whole and with specific domains or aspects of life. This book provides a review of the historical development of the field including the history of QOL in medicine and mental health as well as the research related to quality-of-work-life (QWL) programs. It discusses several of QOL main concepts: happiness, positive psychology, and subjective wellbeing. Relations between spirituality and religiousness and QOL are examined as are the effects of educational attainment on QOL and marketing, and the associations with economic growth. The book goes on to investigate methodological approaches and issues that should be considered in measuring and analysing quality of life from a quantitative perspective. The final chapters are dedicated to research on elements of QOL in a broad range of countries and populations.
Author: Frederik Lodewijk Polak
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 468
Get Book
Book Description