Feedback Between Credit and Liquidity Risk in the US Corporate Bond Market PDF Download
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Author: Rob C. Sperna Weiland
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 81
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Book Description
We analyze the dynamic interactions between credit and liquidity risk and their impact on bond prices and risk. We propose a novel way of modeling credit-liquidity interactions through mutually exciting processes and develop a corresponding Bayesian estimation procedure. Using US corporate bond transaction data, we show that there is evidence of feedback between credit and liquidity risk and that this feedback is stronger for lower-rated bonds. We find that, on average, the credit-induced liquidity component accounts for 8% (AAA/AA) to 17% (B and lower) of total yield spreads, but in the most distressed periods it can account for over 40%.
Author: Rob C. Sperna Weiland
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 81
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Book Description
We analyze the dynamic interactions between credit and liquidity risk and their impact on bond prices and risk. We propose a novel way of modeling credit-liquidity interactions through mutually exciting processes and develop a corresponding Bayesian estimation procedure. Using US corporate bond transaction data, we show that there is evidence of feedback between credit and liquidity risk and that this feedback is stronger for lower-rated bonds. We find that, on average, the credit-induced liquidity component accounts for 8% (AAA/AA) to 17% (B and lower) of total yield spreads, but in the most distressed periods it can account for over 40%.
Author: Joel Hasbrouck
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0198041306
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 209
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Book Description
The interactions that occur in securities markets are among the fastest, most information intensive, and most highly strategic of all economic phenomena. This book is about the institutions that have evolved to handle our trading needs, the economic forces that guide our strategies, and statistical methods of using and interpreting the vast amount of information that these markets produce. The book includes numerous exercises.
Author: Marti G. Subrahmanyam
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 40
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Book Description
We investigate whether liquidity is an important price factor in the US corporate bond market. In particular, we focus on whether liquidity eects are more pronounced in periods of nancial crises, especially for bonds with high credit risk, using a unique data set covering more than 20,000 bonds, between October 2004 and December 2008. We employ a wide range of liquidity measures and nd that liquidity eects account for approximately 14% of the explained market-wide corporate yield spread changes. We conclude that the economic impact of the liquidity measures is signicantly larger in periods of crisis, and for speculative grade bonds.
Author: Hui Chen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bonds
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
We develop a structural credit risk model to examine how the interactions of liquidity and default risk affect corporate bond pricing. By explicitly modeling debt rollover and by endogenizing the holding costs via collateralized financing, our model generates rich links between liquidity risk and default risk. The introduction of macroeconomic risks helps the model capture realistic time variation in default risk premia and the default-liquidity spiral over the business cycle. Across different credit ratings, our calibrated model can simultaneously match the average default probabilities, credit spreads, and bond liquidity measures including Bond-CDS spreads and bid-ask spreads in the data. Through a structural decomposition, we show that the interactions between liquidity and default risk account for 25∼40% of the observed credit spreads and up to 55% of the credit spread changes over the business cycle. As an application, we use this framework to quantitatively evaluate the effects of liquidity-provision policies for the corporate bond market.
Author: George Chacko
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 47
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Book Description
A great deal of work has focused on market microstructure, but relatively little work has been devoted to the study of risk associated with liquidity. The work that has been done has almost exclusively focused on US equities - primarily because that market is fairly liquid and therefore data is plentiful. However, because that market is liquid, the empirical results been mixed. For our work, we use a unique database of US corporate bond transactions and holdings. Because the corporate bond market is several orders of magnitude more illiquid than the equity market, this seems a much more appropriate setting to study the effects of illiquidity. To get around the problem of a lack of trading (and therefore data), we construct a new measure of liquidity which does not require trading. Using this measure, we show that not only is liquidity risk priced, but that the effects of liquidity risk are quite pervasive and need to be controlled for carefully when doing virtually any analysis of security returns.
Author: Stephanie Heck
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36
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Book Description
Liquidity level and liquidity risk are priced in the cross-section of corporate bond yields and returns. In the first case the focus is on the individual liquidity level while in the second case it is on the exposure to a common liquidity factor. In this paper we focus on the impact of the liquidity level on yield spreads by acknowledging that liquidity is a latent variable with an important fraction of commonality. We first document the extent of this commonality in the US corporate bond market. Second we assess whether the relation to yield spreads is driven by this commonality or by the remaining idiosyncratic part. We find that a large fraction of the liquidity effect in fact stems from liquidity commonality. The impact of the bond-specific idiosyncratic liquidity level is minor overall, but increases in the post-crisis period and for some bond categories.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Author: Frank De Jong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 47
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Book Description
This paper explores the role of liquidity risk in the pricing of corporate bonds. We show that corporate bond returns have signifcant exposures to fluctuations in treasury bond liquidity and equity market liquidity. Further, this liquidity risk is a priced factor for the expected returns on corporate bonds, and the associated liquidity risk premia help to explain the credit spread puzzle. In terms of expected returns, the total estimated liquidity risk premium is around 0.6% per annum for US long-maturity investment grade bonds. For speculative grade bonds, which have higher exposures to the liquidity factors, the liquidity risk premium is around 1.5% per annum. We find very similar evidence for the liquidity risk exposure of corporate bonds for a sample of European corporate bond prices.
Author: Manfred Frühwirth
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 45
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Book Description
This article presents joint econometric analysis of interest rate risk, issuer-specific risk (credit risk) and bond-specific risk (liquidity risk) in a Lando (1998) type model within the Duffie/Singleton framework. Our model accomodates correlation between interest rate risk and issuer-specific risk, but nevertheless admits sequential estimation of the risk-free term structure parameters and the issuer-specific and bond-specific components. By means of data augmentation and exact Bayesian analysis we develop a framework to estimate the model parameters and to separate the different components of risk. In particular we do not require an arbitrary benchmark bond that is free of any bond-specific risk. Our methodology infers a risk-free term structure process from liquid swap market data. Based on these estimates, issuer-specific and bond-specific risk are estimated from corporate bond data. The estimation procedure is applied to coupon bond data from the German corporate bond market.In addition, we look for the determinants of issuer and bond specific spreads. Regarding liquidity and credit risk, literature has suggested several proxies. Popular examples are issue size, time to maturity, age and number of active trading days (see e.g. Fisher (1959), Sarig/Warga (1989), Amihud/Mendelson (1991), Warga (1992), Crabbe/Turnber (1995), Kempf/Uhrig-Homburg (2000) or Houweling et al. (2003)) or the KMV distance to default and the debt to value ratio. Our methodology enables us to verify which of these proxies are the most appropriate.
Author: Allen N. Berger
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0128005319
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 296
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Book Description
Bank Liquidity Creation and Financial Crises delivers a consistent, logical presentation of bank liquidity creation and addresses questions of research and policy interest that can be easily understood by readers with no advanced or specialized industry knowledge. Authors Allen Berger and Christa Bouwman examine ways to measure bank liquidity creation, how much liquidity banks create in different countries, the effects of monetary policy (including interest rate policy, lender of last resort, and quantitative easing), the effects of capital, the effects of regulatory interventions, the effects of bailouts, and much more. They also analyze bank liquidity creation in the US over the past three decades during both normal times and financial crises. Narrowing the gap between the "academic world" (focused on theories) and the "practitioner world" (dedicated to solving real-world problems), this book is a helpful new tool for evaluating a bank’s performance over time and comparing it to its peer group. Explains that bank liquidity creation is a more comprehensive measure of a bank’s output than traditional measures and can also be used to measure bank liquidity Describes how high levels of bank liquidity creation may cause or predict future financial crises Addresses questions of research and policy interest related to bank liquidity creation around the world and provides links to websites with data and other materials to address these questions Includes such hot-button topics as the effects of monetary policy (including interest rate policy, lender of last resort, and quantitative easing), the effects of capital, the effects of regulatory interventions, and the effects of bailouts
