Exchange Rate Assessment for Sub-Saharan Economies

Exchange Rate Assessment for Sub-Saharan Economies PDF Author: Burcu Aydin
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455201456
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

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Book Description
This paper provides an exchange rate assessment for sub-Saharan African economies by using methodologies similar to those developed by the International Monetary Fund’s Consultative Group on Exchange Rate Issues. As in the World Economic Outlook (IMF, 2009a), the unbalanced panel dataset covers 182 countries from 1973 to 2014. We apply four methodologies to assess the fundamental exchange rate: macroeconomic balance, equilibrium real exchange rate, external sustainability, and purchasing power parity. Results show that the impact of macroeconomic fundamentals on the equilibrium real exchange rate is different for sub-Saharan African economies than for advanced and less advanced economies.

Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Sub-Saharan African Economies and its Determinants

Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Sub-Saharan African Economies and its Determinants PDF Author: Mr.Ivohasina Fizara Razafimahefa
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475503989
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 57

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Book Description
This paper analyzes the exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices and its determinants in sub-Saharan African countries. It finds that the pass-through is incomplete. The pass-through is larger following a depreciation than after an appreciation of the local currency. The average elasticity is estimated at about 0.4. It is lower in countries with more flexible exchange rate regimes and in countries with a higher income. A low inflation environment, a prudent monetary policy, and a sustainable fiscal policy are associated with a lower pass-through. The degree of pass-through has declined in the SSA region since the mid-1990s following marked improvements in macroeconomic and political environments.

Exchange Rate Liberalization in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries Successes, Failures, and Lessons

Exchange Rate Liberalization in Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries Successes, Failures, and Lessons PDF Author: Mr.Nils Øyvind Mæhle
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1557756694
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 71

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Book Description
Many sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries liberalized their economies in the 1980s and early 1990s. This paper reviews the foreign exchange regime reforms in selected SSA, and their associated macroeconomic policies and economic performance during and after these reforms were undertaken. Before liberalization, most of the reviewed countries were characterized by extensive foreign exchange rationing, sizeable black market premiums, and declining per capita real income. Today, the countries that successfully reformed look markedly different. Rationing and parallel market spreads are a distant memory, and per capita income has increased sharply.

The Supply Response to Exchange Rate Reform in Sub-Saharan Africa

The Supply Response to Exchange Rate Reform in Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Mustapha Rouis
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Devaluation of currency
Languages : en
Pages : 96

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Book Description


Exchange Rate Assessments

Exchange Rate Assessments PDF Author: Mr.Jaewoo Lee
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589066383
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

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Book Description
The rapid increase in international trade and financial integration over the past decade and the growing importance of emerging markets in world trade and GDP have inspired the IMF to place stronger emphasis on multilateral surveillance, macro-financial linkages, and the implications of globalization. The IMF's Consultative Group on Exchange Rate Issues (CGER)--formed in the mid-1990s to provide exchange rate assessments for a number of advanced economies from a multilateral perspective--has therefore broadened its mandate to cover both key advanced economies and major emerging market economies. This Occasional Paper summarizes the methodologies that underpin the expanded analysis.

Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Exchange Rates and Policies in Sub-Saharan Africa

Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Exchange Rates and Policies in Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Stella Kaendera
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1462389880
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 25

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Book Description
This paper studies the evolution of the exchange rates of sub-Saharan African currencies in the context of the global financial crisis. In particular, it analyzes the reasons behind the differences in the magnitude and volatility of the exchange rates among countries. To this end, it takes a sample of seven countries, four members of the East African Community (EAC) (Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda), and three others, which experienced large exchange rate losses at the onset of the crisis: Ghana, Nigeria, and Zambia. First, it analyzes the movements of the exchange rates with respect to the U.S. dollar and two other major currencies. Second, it tries to link the magnitude of their movements to key factors, relating to the external environment and the countries’ internal policies.

De Jure Versus de Facto Exchange Rate Regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa

De Jure Versus de Facto Exchange Rate Regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781462304233
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 158

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Book Description
There are 22 countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) with floating exchange rate regimes, de jure. Some target the money supply or the inflation rate; others practice "managed floating." Statistical analysis on monthly data for the past decade reveals that in most cases these exchange rate regimes can be approximated surprisingly well by a soft peg to a basket dominated by the US dollar. The weight on the dollar appears to have fallen somewhat across the continent in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. Replicating the model with weekly data for The Gambia suggests that the focus on the dollar might be even more pronounced at higher data frequencies. While there might be strong arguments in favor of limiting exchange rate volatility in SSA countries, soft-pegging to the dollar does not appear to be the best fit for them, given the currency structure of their external trade and finance. The paper concludes by discussing some policy options for SSA countries with flexible exchange rates, in the context of an illustrative recent country case.

Exchange Rate and Foreign Interest Rate Linkages for Sub-Saharan Africa Floaters

Exchange Rate and Foreign Interest Rate Linkages for Sub-Saharan Africa Floaters PDF Author: Mr.Alun H. Thomas
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475505582
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 21

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Book Description
The paper considers the determinants of exchange rate movements among sub-Saharan countries that have flexible exchange rate regimes. The determinants are based on the law of one price and interest parity conditions. Results indicate that the exchange rates have responded significantly to changes in the US Treasury bill rate and to the EMBI spread in recent years. The effects are more important for countries with open capital accounts. On the other hand the paper does not provide any support for the interest rate parity theory because domestic interest rates have no bearing on exchange rate movements.

Choosing Exchange Regimes in the Middle East and North Africa

Choosing Exchange Regimes in the Middle East and North Africa PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781589062306
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 32

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Book Description
This paper reviews the exchange regimes of five emerging market countries in the Middle East and North Africa region-Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, and Tunisia-and one oil-exporting country-Iran-to see whether they need to consider adopting more flexible arrangements as they further open their economies to trade and capital flows.

Macroeconomic Challenges of Scaling Up Aid to Africa

Macroeconomic Challenges of Scaling Up Aid to Africa PDF Author: Yongzheng Yang
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781589065055
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 84

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Book Description
Over the next decade, African countries are expected to be the largest beneficiaries of increased donor aid, which is intended to improve their prospects for achieving the Millennium Development Goals. This handbook will help these countries assess the macroeconomic implications of increased aid and respond to the associated policy challenges. The handbook is directed at policymakers, practicing economists in African countries, and the staffs of international financial institutions and donor agencies who participate in preparing medium-term strategies for African countries, including in the context of poverty reduction strategy papers. It provides five main guidelines for developing scaling-up scenarios to help countries identify important policy issues involved in using higher aid flows effectively: to absorb as much aid as possible, to boost growth in the short to medium term, to promote good governance and reduce corruption, to prepare an exit strategy should aid levels decrease, and to regularly reassess the policy mix.