Essays on the Linkages Between Financial Markets, and Risk Asymmetries PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download Essays on the Linkages Between Financial Markets, and Risk Asymmetries PDF full book. Access full book title Essays on the Linkages Between Financial Markets, and Risk Asymmetries by Jan Antell. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Jan Antell
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789515558428
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 145
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Jan Antell
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789515558428
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 145
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Jorge Mario Uribe Gil
Publisher: Ed. Universidad de Cantabria
ISBN: 8417888756
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 212
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book adds to the resolution of two problems in finance and economics: i) what is macro-financial uncertainty? : How to measure it? How is it different from risk? How important is it for the financial markets? And ii) what sort of asymmetries underlie financial risk and uncertainty propagation across the global financial markets? That is, how risk and uncertainty change according to factors such as market states or market participants. In Chapter 2, which is entitled “Momentum Uncertainties”, the relationship between macroeconomic uncertainty and the abnormal returns of a momentum trading strategy in the stock market is studies. We show that high levels of uncertainty in the economy impact negatively and significantly the returns of a portfolio of stocks that consist of buying past winners and selling past losers. High uncertainty reduces below zero the abnormal returns of momentum, extinguishes the Sharpe ratio of the momentum strategy, while increases the probability of momentum crashes both by increasing the skewness and the kurtosis of the momentum return distribution. Uncertainty acts as an economic regime that underlies abrupt changes over time of the returns generated by momentum strategies. In Chapter 3, “Measuring Uncertainty in the Stock Market”, a new index for measuring stock market uncertainty on a daily basis is proposed. The index considers the inherent differentiation between uncertainty and the common variations between the series. The second contribution of chapter 3 is to show how this financial uncertainty index can also serve as an indicator of macroeconomic uncertainty. Finally, the dynamic relationship between uncertainty and the series of consumption, interest rates, production and stock market prices, among others, is analized. In chapter 4: “Uncertainty, Systemic Shocks and the Global Banking Sector: Has the Crisis Modified their Relationship?” we explore the stability of systemic risk and uncertainty propagation among financial institutions in the global economy, and show that it has remained stable over the last decade. Additionally, a new simple tool for measuring the resilience of financial institutions to these systemic shocks is provided. We examine the characteristics and stability of systemic risk and uncertainty, in relation to the dynamics of the banking sector stock returns. This sort of evidence is supportive of past claims, made in the field of macroeconomics, which hold that during the global financial crisis the financial system may have faced stronger versions of traditional shocks rather than a new type of shock. In chapter 5, “Currency downside risk, liquidity, and financial stability”, downside risk propagation across global currency markets and the ways in which it is related to liquidity is analyzed. Two primary contributions to the literature follow. First, tail-spillovers between currencies in the global FX market are estimated. This index is easy to build and does not require intraday data, which constitutes an important advantage. Second, we show that turnover is related to risk spillovers in global currency markets. Chapter 6 is entitled “Spillovers from the United States to Latin American and G7 Stock Markets: A VAR-Quantile Analysis”. This chapter contributes to the studies of contagion, market integration and cross-border spillovers during both regular and crisis episodes by carrying out a multivariate quantile analysis. It focuses on Latin American stock markets, which have been characterized by a highly positive dynamic in recent decades, in terms of market capitalization and liquidity ratios, after a far-reaching process of market liberalization and reforms to pension funds across the continent during the 80s and 90s. We document smaller dependences between the LA markets and the US market than those between the US and the developed economies, especially in the highest and lowest quantiles.
Author: Robert Lee Heinkel
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 362
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Woojin Youn
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business enterprises
Languages : en
Pages : 366
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Bradyn Mitchel Breon-Drish
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 194
Get Book Here
Book Description
This dissertation studies the effects of asymmetric information and learning on asset prices and investor decision-making. Two main themes run through the work. The first is the linkage between investor decisions and the information used to make those decisions; that is, portfolio choices reflect the nature and quality of available information. The second theme is the interaction between investor learning and price informativeness. The information held by individual investors is reflected in market prices through their trading decisions, and prices thus transmit this information to other investors. In the first chapter, Asymmetric Information in Financial Markets: Anything Goes, I study a standard Grossman and Stiglitz (1980) noisy rational expectations economy, but relax the usual assumption of the joint normality of asset payoff and supply. The primary contribution is to characterize how the equilibrium relation between price and fundamentals depends on the way in which investors react to the information contained in price. My solution approach dispenses with the typical "conjecture and verify" method, which allows me to analytically solve an entire class of previously intractable nonlinear models that nests the standard model. This simple generalization provides a purely information-based channel for many common phenomena. In particular, price jumps and crashes may arise endogenously, purely due to learning effects, and observation of the net trading volume may be valuable for investors in the economy as it can provide a refinement of the information conveyed by price. Furthermore, the value of acquiring information may be non-monotonic in the number of informed traders, leading to multiple equilibria in the information market. I show also that the relation between investor disagreement and returns is ambiguous and depends on higher moments of the return distribution. In short, many of the standard results from noisy rational expectations models are not robust. I introduce monotone likelihood ratio conditions that determine the signs of the various comparative statics, which represents the first demonstration of the implicit importance of the MLRP in the noisy rational expectations literature. In the second chapter Do Fund Managers Make Informed Asset Allocation Decisions?, a joint work with Jacob S. Sagi, we derive a dynamic model in which mutual fund managers make asset allocation decisions based on private and public information. The model predicts that the portfolio market weights of better informed managers will mean revert faster and be more variable. Conversely, portfolio weights that mean revert faster and are more variable should have better forecasting power for expected returns. We test the model on a large dataset of US mutual fund domestic equity holdings and find evidence consistent with the hypothesis of timing ability, especially at three- to 12-month forecasting horizons. Nevertheless, whatever timing ability may be reflected in portfolio weights does not appear to translate into higher realized returns on funds' portfolios.
Author: Ricardo J. Rodriguez
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Corporations
Languages : en
Pages : 260
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Steven R. Umlauf
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 115
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Marcela Giraldo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Get Book Here
Book Description
Low quality signals generate pooling equilibria where either low risk projects subsidize high profits of risky projects, or only risky projects are funded in early periods. High quality signals on the other hand generate more efficient markets. The third chapter's main goal is to analyze analysts' coverage of stocks. Here an empirical study estimates the relationship between coverage and the informational environment of a firm. Coverage seems to decrease on average with higher errors in estimation. The data also shows that physically large firms experience a resistance of their coverage to get reduced. Higher past revisions also decrease coverage showing a real cost of uncertainty. Finally, evidence suggests that firms with higher market value have lower probabilities to have their coverage increased.
Author: Shiyang Huang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Bongseok Choi
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 103
Get Book Here
Book Description
This dissertation investigates asymmetries of financing patterns, depending on group characteristics - firm size or riskiness, which have shown in the empirical literature. The dissertation consists of two essays. This first essay, Financial innovation, Firm size and Growth, proposes a model of Schumpeterian growth endogeneizing the disproportionate impact of financial innovation on small firm sectors. Entrepreneurial skill on a continuum of types is private information. Hence, the severity of adverse selection problems between investors and entrepreneurs varies based on firm size. In the absence of financial innovation, the arrival of a new technology frontier renders existing screening technology obsolete, thereby making it more challenging for an investor to design a truth-telling mechanism, particularly with small firm (and size-dispersed) sectors. Thus, successful financial innovation is more pronounced in such sectors. The link between financial innovation and the small firm (and size-dispersed) sectors is weak in financially developing countries. I test my model prediction by using cross-country and cross-sector data at the European industry level. This result is consistent with my prediction. The second essay, Firm risks, Capital allocation frictions and the Business cycles, attempts to address new findings in business cycles: the cross-sectional standard deviation of firm level investment rate (investment dispersion) is at most acyclical or procyclical. This differs from the dispersion of productivity, output, and interest rates, which is countercyclical. I develop a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of physical capital matching frictions between heterogeneous firms and investors. In the mode, economic fluctuations are caused mainly by shocks to heterogeneity in firms' risks. One main feature is that investors search firms with priority given to loans to safe firms. Because safe firms are most likely to benefit from capital accumulation, this setting drives asymmetric patterns of firm-level business cycles - output, investment rate, and interest rates in a unified framework. In essence, the uncertainty in heterogeneous risks across firms generates the pro- or a-cyclical behavior of investment dispersions which is the data demonstrates.
