Economic Complexity: Chaos, Sunspots, Bubbles, and Nonlinearity PDF Download
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Author: William A. Barnett
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521355636
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 426
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Book Description
The contents of this volume comprise the proceedings of the International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics conference held in 1987 at the IC^T2 (Innovation, Creativity, and Capital) Institute at the University of Texas at Austin. The essays present fundamental new research on the analysis of complicated outcomes in relatively simple macroeconomic models. The book covers econometric modelling and time series analysis techniques in five parts. Part I focuses on sunspot equilibria, the study of uncertainty generated by nonstochastic economic models. Part II examines the more traditional examples of deterministic chaos: bubbles, instability, and hyperinflation. Part III contains the most current literature dealing with empirical tests for chaos and strange attractors. Part IV deals with chaos and informational complexity. Part V, Nonlinear Econometric Modelling, includes tests for and applications of nonlinearity.
Author: William A. Barnett
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521355636
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 426
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Book Description
The contents of this volume comprise the proceedings of the International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics conference held in 1987 at the IC^T2 (Innovation, Creativity, and Capital) Institute at the University of Texas at Austin. The essays present fundamental new research on the analysis of complicated outcomes in relatively simple macroeconomic models. The book covers econometric modelling and time series analysis techniques in five parts. Part I focuses on sunspot equilibria, the study of uncertainty generated by nonstochastic economic models. Part II examines the more traditional examples of deterministic chaos: bubbles, instability, and hyperinflation. Part III contains the most current literature dealing with empirical tests for chaos and strange attractors. Part IV deals with chaos and informational complexity. Part V, Nonlinear Econometric Modelling, includes tests for and applications of nonlinearity.
Author: William A. Barnett
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 409
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Book Description
Author: Kazuo Nishimura
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319440764
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 405
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Book Description
This book presents the state-of-the-art in non-linear dynamics and sunspots. These two topics have been the core of an international conference on instability and public policies in a globalized world, organized at Aix-Marseille School of Economics and GREQAM in honor of Jean-Michel Grandmont. He has made significant contributions on general equilibrium theory, monetary theory, learning, aggregation, non-linear dynamics and sunspots. This book assembles contributions by Jean-Michel Grandmont's colleagues, students and friends that have been influenced by his works and that are at the frontier of research in this domain today.
Author: Ping Chen
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1136994874
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 585
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Book Description
The Principle of Large Numbers indicates that macro fluctuations have weak microfoundations; persistent business cycles and interrupted technologies can be better characterized by macro vitality and meso foundations. Economic growth is limited by market extent and ecological constraints. The trade-off between stability and complexity is the foundation of cultural diversity and mixed economies. The new science of complexity sheds light on the sources of economic instability and complexity. This book consists of the major work of Professor Ping Chen, a pioneer in studying economic chaos and economic complexity. They are selected from works completed since 1987, including original research on the evolutionary dynamics of the division of labour, empirical and theoretical studies of economic chaos and stochastic models of collective behavior. Offering a new perspective on market instability and the changing world order, the basic pillars in equilibrium economics are challenged by solid evidence of economic complexity and time asymmetry, including Friedman’s theory of exogenous money and efficient market, the Frisch model of noise-driven cycles, the Lucas model of microfoundations and rational expectations, the Black-Scholes model of option pricing, and the Coase theory of transaction costs. Throughout, a general theory based on complex evolutionary economics is developed, which integrates different insights from Marx, Marshall, Schumpeter, Keynes and offers a new understanding of the evolutionary history of division of labour. This book will be of interest to postgraduates and researchers in Economics, including macroeconomics, financial economics, advanced econometrics and economic methodology.
Author: Hans-Walter Lorenz
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3662222337
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 258
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Book Description
The plan to publish the present book arose while I was preparing a joint work with Gunter Gabisch (Gabisch, G. /Lorenz, H. -W. : Business Cycle Theory. Berlin-Heidel berg-New York: Springer). It turned out that a lot of interesting material could only be sketched in a business cycle text, either because the relevance for business cycle theory was not evident or because the material required an interest in dynamical economics which laid beyond the scope of a survey text for advanced undergraduates. While much of the material enclosed in this book can be found in condensed and sometimes more or less identical form in that business cycle text, the present monograph attempts to present nonlinear dynamical economics in a broader context with economic examples from other fields than business cycle theory. It is a pleasure for me to acknowledge the critical comments, extremely detailed remarks, or suggestions by many friends and colleagues. The responses to earlier versions of the manuscript by W. A. Barnett, M. Boldrin, W. A. Brock, C. Chiarella, C. Dale, G. Feichtinger, P. Flaschel, D. K. Foley, R. M. Goodwin, D. Kelsey, M. Lines, A. Medio, L. Montrucchio, P. Read, C. Sayers, A. Schmutzler, H. Schnabl, G. Silverberg, H. -\'\!. Sinn, J. Sterman, and R. Tscherning not only encouraged me to publish the book in its present form but helped to remove numerous errors (not only typographic ones) and conceptnal misunderstandings and flaws. Particular thanks go to G.
Author: Hisashi Tanizaki
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 366222237X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 215
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Book Description
For a nonlinear filtering problem, the most heuristic and easiest approximation is to use the Taylor series expansion and apply the conventional linear recursive Kalman filter algorithm directly to the linearized nonlinear measurement and transition equations. First, it is discussed that the Taylor series expansion approach gives us the biased estimators. Next, a Monte-Carlo simulation filter is proposed, where each expectation of the nonlinear functions is evaluated generating random draws. It is shown from Monte-Carlo experiments that the Monte-Carlo simulation filter yields the unbiased but inefficient estimator. Anotherapproach to the nonlinear filtering problem is to approximate the underlyingdensity functions of the state vector. In this monograph, a nonlinear and nonnormal filter is proposed by utilizing Monte-Carlo integration, in which a recursive algorithm of the weighting functions is derived. The densityapproximation approach gives us an asymptotically unbiased estimator. Moreover, in terms of programming and computational time, the nonlinear filter using Monte-Carlo integration can be easily extended to higher dimensional cases, compared with Kitagawa's nonlinear filter using numericalintegration.
Author: Philip Mirowski
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521478847
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 640
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Book Description
This 1994 book was the first collection devoted to impact of natural sciences on content and form of economics in history.
Author: John Foster
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 9781845421564
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 306
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Book Description
This book takes up the challenge of developing an empirically based foundation for evolutionary economics built upon complex system theory.
Author: William A. Barnett
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521428316
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 540
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Book Description
The contents of this volume are drawn from the seventh International Symposium in Economic Theory and Econometrics, and represent recent advances in the development of concepts and methods in political economy. Contributors include leading practitioners working on formal, applied, and historical approaches to the subject. The collection will interest scholars in the fields of political science and political sociology no less than economics. Part I outlines relevant concepts in political economy, including implementation, community, ideology, and institutions. Part II covers theory and applications of the spatial model of voting. Part III considers the different characteristics that govern the behaviour of institutions, while Part IV analyses competition between political representatives. Part V is concerned with the way in which government acquires information held by voters or advisors, and Part VI addresses government choice on monetary policy and taxation.
Author: William A. Barnett
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262516888
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 357
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Book Description
A leading economist contends that the recent financial crisis was caused not by the failure of mainstream economics but by corrupted monetary data constructed without reference to economics. Blame for the recent financial crisis and subsequent recession has commonly been assigned to everyone from Wall Street firms to individual homeowners. It has been widely argued that the crisis and recession were caused by “greed” and the failure of mainstream economics. In Getting It Wrong, leading economist William Barnett argues instead that there was too little use of the relevant economics, especially from the literature on economic measurement. Barnett contends that as financial instruments became more complex, the simple-sum monetary aggregation formulas used by central banks, including the U.S. Federal Reserve, became obsolete. Instead, a major increase in public availability of best-practice data was needed. Households, firms, and governments, lacking the requisite information, incorrectly assessed systemic risk and significantly increased their leverage and risk-taking activities. Better financial data, Barnett argues, could have signaled the misperceptions and prevented the erroneous systemic-risk assessments. When extensive, best-practice information is not available from the central bank, increased regulation can constrain the adverse consequences of ill-informed decisions. Instead, there was deregulation. The result, Barnett argues, was a worst-case toxic mix: increasing complexity of financial instruments, inadequate and poor-quality data, and declining regulation. Following his accessible narrative of the deep causes of the crisis and the long history of private and public errors, Barnett provides technical appendixes, containing the mathematical analysis supporting his arguments.
