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Author: Paul De Grauwe
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Chaotic behavior in systems
Languages : en
Pages : 64
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Book Description
Author: Paul De Grauwe
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Chaotic behavior in systems
Languages : en
Pages : 64
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Book Description
Author: Paul de Grauwe
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell
ISBN: 9780631180166
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 273
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Book Description
"Exchange Rate Theory presents a novel and elegant theory to explain the excessive variability of foreign exchange rate returns. The theory is novel in the sense that it focuses on interaction between market agents as the primary source of the variability in those speculative prices. It is shown that simple interactions between market participants using different information is sufficient to generate deterministic chaos." "In the first part of this book the authors survey existing exchange rate theories and ask whether these theories are useful in explaining actual exchange rate movements. They demonstrate that the 1970s were characterized by the belief that exchange rates could be understood by an analysis of the fundamentals (inflation rates, interest rates and monetary policy). Subsequently, this belief has all but disappeared but researchers have been content to analyze the statistical properties of exchange rates, abandoning the theory and the models." "The second part of the book uses chaos theory to construct an innovative framework for the understanding of exchange markets. These models, which integrate fundamentalism and chartism, create complex exchange rate movements which appear to be random. These models are used to explain several of the anomalies observed in exchange rate markets and to evaluate the possibility of exchange rate prediction."--BOOK JACKET.Title Summary field provided by Blackwell North America, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Author: Marites A. Khanser
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Chaotic behavior in systems
Languages : en
Pages : 104
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Book Description
Author: Dominique M. Guillaume
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461546214
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 173
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Book Description
In the late 1980s, as the empirical appeal of macro-economic exchange rate models began to fade, a few people including Professor Charles Goodhart at the London School of Economics and researchers at Olsen & Associates in Zurich, started to collect intra-daily exchange rate data. The resulting database provides new insight into the foreign exchange markets and thereby opens up previously unexplored avenues of research. Intra-Daily Exchange Rate Movements presents an extensive study of the Olsen & Associates database and is one of the first monographs in this exciting new area. This book aims to provide a systematic study of the characteristics of intra-daily exchange rate data as well as an empirical investigation into different approaches of modelling the exchange rate movements. First, the author describes empirical insights, which range from the distributional issues of exchange rate data to the impact of macroeconomic fundamentals and institutional characteristics. This leads to a survey of the main stylized facts. Using the O&A database, Guillaume then presents a systematic investigation of the empirical performance of three broad categories of models: macro-economic models using an extension of chaos theory, stochastic models including the GARCH and time-deformation models, and technical analysis. The book shows how these approaches can be used to model intra-daily exchange rate movements and highlights some of the pitfalls inherent in such an exercise. In an area where literature remains controversial, this book hopes to trigger further inquiries into the suitability of these different approaches to modelling.
Author: Beate Reszat
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134766181
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 285
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Book Description
In recent years, Japan's financial market has seen dramatic changes, in particular the explosive growth of currency trading and the increasing international role of the yen. This book gives a comprehensive overview of this activity. This work is the first non-Japanese language title to examine the prolific rise of Japan's foreign currency exchange market, its idiosyncracies, and its future role in the global economy. It is vital reading for economists and students of Japan-related subjects.
Author: Paul De Grauwe
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691186995
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
This book provides an alternative view of the workings of foreign exchange markets. The authors' modeling approach is based on the idea that agents use simple forecasting rules and switch to those rules that have been shown to be the most profitable in the past. This selection mechanism is based on trial and error and is probably the best possible strategy in an uncertain world, the authors contend. It creates a rich dynamic in the foreign exchange markets and can generate bubbles and crashes. Sensitivity to initial conditions is a pervasive force in De Grauwe and Grimaldi's model. It explains why large exchange-rate changes and volatility clustering occur. It also has important implications for understanding how the news affects the exchange rate. De Grauwe and Grimaldi conclude that news in fundamentals has an unpredictable effect on the exchange rate. Sometimes, they maintain, it alters the exchange rate considerably; at other times it has no effectwhatsoever. The authors also use their model to analyze the effects of official interventions in the foreign exchange market. They show that simple intervention rules of the "leaning-against-the-wind" variety can be effective in eliminating bubbles and crashes in the exchange rate. They further demonstrate how, quite paradoxically, by intervening in the foreign exchange market the central bank makes the market look more efficient. Clear and comprehensive, The Exchange Rate in a Behavioral Finance Framework is a must-have for analysts in foreign exchange markets as well as students of international finance and economics.
Author: Paul de Grauwe
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange rates
Languages : en
Pages : 273
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Book Description
Author: Keith Pilbeam
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing
ISBN: 1137116374
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 574
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Book Description
International Finance is an established and internationally renowned introduction to the subject for undergraduate and postgraduate students. It draws on recent events to provide comprehensive coverage of traditional theories and new research relating to the balance of payments, exchange rate determination and the international monetary system. Accompanying online resources for this title can be found at bloomsburyonlineresources.com/international-finance-3e. These resources are designed to support teaching and learning when using this textbook and are available at no extra cost.
Author: Paul de Grauwe
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814513199
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 585
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Book Description
The book covers problems relating to international macroeconomics and international finance. The first part develops new approaches to exchange rate modeling. The second part is a collection of papers on the theory and empirical analysis of monetary unions. The third part contains criticism of the mainstream macroeconomic models and proposes alternative modeling approaches.
Author: Paul P. Wang
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3662063735
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 489
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Book Description
Due to the ability to handle specific characteristics of economics and finance forecasting problems like e.g. non-linear relationships, behavioral changes, or knowledge-based domain segmentation, we have recently witnessed a phenomenal growth of the application of computational intelligence methodologies in this field. In this volume, Chen and Wang collected not just works on traditional computational intelligence approaches like fuzzy logic, neural networks, and genetic algorithms, but also examples for more recent technologies like e.g. rough sets, support vector machines, wavelets, or ant algorithms. After an introductory chapter with a structural description of all the methodologies, the subsequent parts describe novel applications of these to typical economics and finance problems like business forecasting, currency crisis discrimination, foreign exchange markets, or stock markets behavior.
