Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction in the Republic of Serbia PDF Download
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Author: Nemanja Stanisic
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 15
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Book Description
The aim of this paper is to present corporate default prediction models constructed in the specific market conditions that prevail in the Republic of Serbia, and to compare their prediction accuracy with the most frequently used model - Altman's Z-score. Many authors have constructed models for the purpose of bankruptcy prediction, but predominantly in stable market conditions or in times of economic growth. We have presented three models that use standard ratios and some specific variables in order to predict corporate bankruptcy in emerging and distressed markets. For that purpose, we have used the following statistical and machine learning methods on a training sample (130 companies): Logistic Regression, Decision Trees and Artificial Neural Networks. Finally, we have compared accuracies of predictions of our models to those of the Altman's Z-score models using an independent hold-out sample (102 companies). Results show that, out of the aforementioned three models, only the one relying on the artificial neural network algorithm performs better when applied on the hold-out sample, compared to Altman's Z-score models.
Author: Nemanja Stanisic
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 15
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Book Description
The aim of this paper is to present corporate default prediction models constructed in the specific market conditions that prevail in the Republic of Serbia, and to compare their prediction accuracy with the most frequently used model - Altman's Z-score. Many authors have constructed models for the purpose of bankruptcy prediction, but predominantly in stable market conditions or in times of economic growth. We have presented three models that use standard ratios and some specific variables in order to predict corporate bankruptcy in emerging and distressed markets. For that purpose, we have used the following statistical and machine learning methods on a training sample (130 companies): Logistic Regression, Decision Trees and Artificial Neural Networks. Finally, we have compared accuracies of predictions of our models to those of the Altman's Z-score models using an independent hold-out sample (102 companies). Results show that, out of the aforementioned three models, only the one relying on the artificial neural network algorithm performs better when applied on the hold-out sample, compared to Altman's Z-score models.
Author: Vule Mizdrakovic
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 4
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Book Description
The purpose of this paper is to determine the indebtedness level of hotels operating in the Republic of Serbia during the period from 2008-2012. It is presumed that the weakened worldwide economy resulted in the decrease of general business solvency and increase of bankruptcy probability in all industries. Service providers have certainly not been left out, and hotels have been in the focus of this paper. We have collected available financial statements of hotels operating in the Republic of Serbia for the period from 2008-2012. We have calculated several bankruptcy prediction models including: Altman's Z' and Z''-score, M-score, Kralicek's df score and Z-score for hospitality industry. The results show that the average implicated bankruptcy probability increased in 2010 and 2011, and reached its peak value in 2011. When comparing 2008 and 2011, the average Altman's scores recorded decrease of approximately 70% and other scores confirm the same results. Therefore, it can be concluded that hotel industry in Serbia recorded the weakest results and has been insolvent and had the greatest risk of going bankrupt in 2010, and especially in 2011.
Author: Javier López Lara
Publisher: MDPI
ISBN: 3039360965
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 246
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Book Description
This book presents 16 selected papers from the 7th International Conference on The Application of Physical Modelling in Coastal and Port Engineering and Science, Coastlab18. The conference was organized in Santander, Spain, from 22 to 26 May, 2018, by the Instituto de Hidráulica Ambiental de la Universidad de Cantabria, IHCantabria. Coastlab18 welcomed 175 attendees from 18 different countries. The technical program included three renowned keynote lectures and 120 presentations focused on theoretical and practical aspects related to physical modelling in the field of coastal and ocean engineering. Coastal and ocean structures, breakwaters, revetments, laboratory technologies, measurement systems, coastal field measurement and monitoring, combined physical and numerical modelling, physical modelling case studies, tsunamis, and coastal hydrodynamics were the main topics covered in the conference. This book attempts to cover, as completely as possible, all the topics presented during the conference. The papers were accepted after a peer-review process based on their full text.
Author: Chia-Lin Chang
Publisher: MDPI
ISBN: 3039360949
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 246
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Book Description
This book is a collection of high-impact papers accepted and presented at the 2019 Vietnam’s Business and Economics Research Conference (VBER2019) organised by Ho Chi Minh City Open University held on 18th–20th July 2019. The Special Issue is associated with a broad coverage of the contemporary issues in Business and Economics in Vietnam and other emerging markets reflecting a key theme of VBER2019: Vietnam’s Place in the Asia Pacific Region. A total of 14 papers were published from more than the 120 submissions to the VBER2019 Conference. Published papers had been undergone a rigorous reviewing process conducted by the Journal of Risk and Financial Management. The papers incorporated in this book address contemporary issues in business and economics from Vietnam and other emerging markets in the Asian region from various angles such as economics, finance, and statistics to management science. At the time of writing this note, some of the papers have attracted more than 1000 downloads in 3 months. In particular, a paper on “Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth from Developing Countries in the Short Run and Long Run” by Trang Thi-Huyen Dinh and her team has attracted almost 6000 downloads in 3 months. These statistics indicate that the papers published in this Special Issue have attracted the wide interest of readers. Among these 14 published papers, three main areas of important contemporary issues in Business and Economics in the Asian region can be identified. First, a block of papers deals with various important and fundamental issues in the emerging markets the Asian region, from exchange rate regime, financial inclusion, and financial development to energy consumption and environmental degradation. On the issue of CO2 emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in the ASEAN, Vo, Vo, and Le utilized various time series econometrics approaches. Key findings from this paper indicate that there are no long-run relationships among carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, energy consumption, renewable energy, population growth, and economic growth in the Philippines and Thailand, but a relationship does exist in Indonesia, Myanmar, and Malaysia. Loo, in his paper on financial inclusion for the ASEAN, concluded that advancing internet capability and availability present investors an opportunity to offer financial technology or Fintech to meet the need for financial services in this digital era. Second, a challenge in quantitative studies for a single country, such as Vietnam, with limited data is generally noted. However, various empirical studies on Vietnam’s business and economics issues have been conducted. Nguyen, Quan, and Pham examined the cultural distance and entry mode of foreign direct investment in Vietnam. A key finding from their paper is that when there is a great cultural difference between Vietnam and their home country, foreign-invested firms prefer wholly owned subsidiaries over equity joint ventures. Within the Vietnamese market, Pham, Vo, Ho, and McAleer conducted a study on the issue of corporate financial distress. The authors conclude that the corporate financial distress prediction model, which includes accounting factors with macroeconomic indicators, performs much better than alternative models. In addition, the evidence confirms that the global financial crisis (GFC) had a damaging impact on each sector, with the Health & Education sector demonstrating the most impressive recovery post-GFC, and the utilities sector recording a dramatic increase in bankruptcies post-GFC. At another extreme of the spectrum, Van and Nguyen considered that competitive context, social influences, the understanding of managers about corporate social responsibility (CSR), and the internal environment of companies are the four drivers of CSR. The authors also argued that in the four drivers, competitive context has the strongest impact on adopting CSR. Third, last but not least, various papers focus on an important aspect of public finance. For an example, Pham, Pham, and Ly documented the effect of double taxation treaties on the bilateral trade of Vietnam with ASEAN member states, thereby making an extensive comparison with its EU partner countries. Their findings indicate the significant contributions of the tax treaties to Vietnam’s trade performance, not exclusively with ASEAN but also with EU partner countries. In addition, regarding public finance for Vietnam, Nguyen, Vo, Ho, and Vo investigated the contribution of fiscal decentralisation to economic growth across provinces in Vietnam. For the first time in Vietnam, the fiscal decentralisation index together its two subcomponents, including fiscal importance and fiscal autonomy, are developed. Findings from this paper indicate that while fiscal importance and an overall level of fiscal decentralisation have provided negative impact on provincial economic growth, fiscal autonomy has a positive impact on economic growth across provinces in Vietnam.
Author: Boris Delibašić
Publisher: EWG-DSS
ISBN: 8676803137
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 86
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Book Description
Author: Marko Mihić
Publisher: FON
ISBN: 8676804117
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 363
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Book Description
With 140 contributions by authors from 19 different countries, XVIII International Symposium of Organizational Sciences – SymOrg 2022 successfully sets the high level for future conferences. The topic of SymOrg 2020, “Sustainable Business Management and Digital Transformation: Challenges and Opportunities in the Post-COVID Era”, attracted researchers from different institutions, both in Serbia and abroad. This year, more than 300 scholars and practitioners authored and co-authored scientific and research articles that had been accepted for publication in the Book of Abstracts. All the contributions to the Book of Abstracts are classified into the following 13 key topics: Blockchain Technology in Business and Information Systems Business Analytics Creativity, Innovation and Sustainable Management Digital Operations and Logistics Management Digital Transformation of Financial Industry Digital Transformation of Public Administration E-Business Ecosystems Evidence-Based Public Policy Making in the Post-COVID Environment LEAN Business Systems – Structures, Processes and Models Managing Digital Transformation Projects under Discontinuity Managing Human Resources in the Post-COVID Era Rethinking Marketing and Communication in the Post-COVID Era Quality Management and Standardization in Digital Transformation Era. The participation of numerous domestic and international authors and the diversity of topics justify our efforts to organize the Symposium. As SymOrg is traditionally at the intersection of academy and business, we believe that this year’s meeting will bring about many in-depth discussions, contribute to prospective partnerships, and build stronger business and academic networks. We also believe that meeting will contribute to the exchange of knowledge, research results and experience among industry experts, research institutions and faculties, which all share a common interest in contemporary organizational sciences. We are very grateful to our distinguished keynote and plenary speakers: Ana Draskovic, Aleksander Aristovnik, Manuel Mazzara, Basant Agarwa and Priyanka Harjule. Also, special thanks to moderators for organizing the panels and workshops in the fields of higher education, business, supply chain, doctoral research studies and student engagement and sustainability. The Faculty of Organizational Sciences would like to express its gratitude to the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development and all the partners and individuals who have supported and contributed to the organization of the Symposium. We are particularly grateful to the contributors and reviewers who made this issue possible. But above all, we are especially thankful to the authors and presenters for making SymOrg 2022 a success! Belgrade, June 6, 2022 Marko Mihić, Ph.D. Sandra Jednak, Ph.D. Gordana Savić, Ph.D.
Author: Aleksandar Marković
Publisher: FON
ISBN: 8676802955
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1795
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Book Description
Author: Leon Trakman
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
ISBN: 1000631761
Category : Law
Languages : en
Pages : 207
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Book Description
There is increasing regulatory interdependence amongst Central, East and South East Asia, European and North American financial markets, and these markets account for over one-third of the world’s population and global financial markets. As these Asian markets become more integral to global financial economy, more cohesive, compatible and integrated insolvency and restructuring laws are essential. This two-volume work reviews why we should internationalise current cross-border insolvency and how we could restructure laws to address inadequacies. The two-volume work evaluates international regulatory reforms directed at detecting and managing cross-border insolvency and restructuring crises across the entire economy including financial markets. The authors call for schemes of arrangements and letters of comfort to be formally accepted as international legal tools. The work also assesses recent, but as yet unregulated developments in financial agreements, namely, the use of close-out netting provisions. They are a significant preventative legal mechanism, protecting debtors, creditors and employees among others, before a declaration of insolvency. The book discusses international arbitration, data protection and artificial intelligence in cross-border insolvency and restructuring. Finally, it seeks a meaningful balance between self-regulation through financial contracts and other party practices, and regulation imposed by governments and international financial regulators. This extensive work will be a useful reference for legal practitioners, policy makers and scholars working on financial regulation and international financial laws.
Author: Błażej Prusak
Publisher: MDPI
ISBN: 303928911X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 202
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Book Description
Bankruptcy prediction is one of the most important research areas in corporate finance. Bankruptcies are an indispensable element of the functioning of the market economy, and at the same time generate significant losses for stakeholders. Hence, this book was established to collect the results of research on the latest trends in predicting the bankruptcy of enterprises. It suggests models developed for different countries using both traditional and more advanced methods. Problems connected with predicting bankruptcy during periods of prosperity and recession, the selection of appropriate explanatory variables, as well as the dynamization of models are presented. The reliability of financial data and the validity of the audit are also referenced. Thus, I hope that this book will inspire you to undertake new research in the field of forecasting the risk of bankruptcy.
Author: Ruud A. de Mooij
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475578296
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 20
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Book Description
Tax provisions favoring corporate debt over equity finance (“debt bias”) are widely recognized as a risk to financial stability. This paper explores whether and how thin-capitalization rules, which restrict interest deductibility beyond a certain amount, affect corporate debt ratios and mitigate financial stability risk. We find that rules targeted at related party borrowing (the majority of today’s rules) have no significant impact on debt bias—which relates to third-party borrowing. Also, these rules have no effect on broader indicators of firm financial distress. Rules applying to all debt, in contrast, turn out to be effective: the presence of such a rule reduces the debt-asset ratio in an average company by 5 percentage points; and they reduce the probability for a firm to be in financial distress by 5 percent. Debt ratios are found to be more responsive to thin capitalization rules in industries characterized by a high share of tangible assets.
