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Estimating Potential Output with a Multivariate Filter

Estimating Potential Output with a Multivariate Filter PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455210927
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 39

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Book Description
This paper develops a simple model for measuring potential output that uses data on inflation, unemployment, and capacity utilization. We apply the model to 10 countries, in addition to the United States and the euro area. While there is a substantial amount of uncertainty around our estimates, we find that the financial crisis has resulted in a reduction in potential output.