Validation of Accident Models for Intersections

Validation of Accident Models for Intersections PDF Author: Simon Washington
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Low-volume roads
Languages : en
Pages : 316

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Book Description
This report describes the results of validation and calibration of motor vehicle crash models for rural intersections. Both the validation and recalibration activities were conducted in pursuit of one overriding research objective, which was to make marginal improvements to an existing set of statistical models for predicting crashes at two and four lane intersections, with the primary intent to be used in the Interactive Highway Safety Design Module (IHSDM). The five types of intersection models for which conclusions are drawn and recommendations are made are: Three-legged stop controlled intersections of two-lane roads; four-legged stop controlled intersections of two-lane roads; three-legged stop controlled intersections with two lanes on minor and four lanes on major road; and four-legged stop controlled intersections with two lanes on minor and four lanes on major road, and signalized intersections of two-lane roads.

Validation of Accident Models for Intersections

Validation of Accident Models for Intersections PDF Author: Simon Washington
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Low-volume roads
Languages : en
Pages : 316

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Book Description
This report describes the results of validation and calibration of motor vehicle crash models for rural intersections. Both the validation and recalibration activities were conducted in pursuit of one overriding research objective, which was to make marginal improvements to an existing set of statistical models for predicting crashes at two and four lane intersections, with the primary intent to be used in the Interactive Highway Safety Design Module (IHSDM). The five types of intersection models for which conclusions are drawn and recommendations are made are: Three-legged stop controlled intersections of two-lane roads; four-legged stop controlled intersections of two-lane roads; three-legged stop controlled intersections with two lanes on minor and four lanes on major road; and four-legged stop controlled intersections with two lanes on minor and four lanes on major road, and signalized intersections of two-lane roads.

Validation of Accident Models for Intersections

Validation of Accident Models for Intersections PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 311

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Book Description
This report describes the results of validation and calibration of motor vehicle crash models for rural intesections. Both the validation and recalibration activities were conducted in pursuit of one overriding research objective, which was to make marginal improvements to an existing set of statistical models for predicting crashes at two and four lane intersections, with the primary intent to be used in the Interactiv Highway Safety Design Module (IHSDM).

Validation of FHWA Crash Models for Rural Intersections

Validation of FHWA Crash Models for Rural Intersections PDF Author: Transportation research board
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Roads
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
A national-level safety analysis tool is needed to complement existing analytical tools for assessment of the safety impacts of roadway design alternatives. The Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) has sponsored the development of the Interactive Highway Safety Design Model (IHSDM), which is roadway design and redesign software that estimates the safety effects of alternative designs. Considering the importance of IHSDM in shaping the future of safety-related transportation investment decisions, FHWA justifiably sponsored research with the sole intent of independently validating some of the statistical models and algorithms in IHSDM. Statistical model validation aims to accomplish many important tasks, including (a) assessment of the logical defensibility of proposed models, (b) assessment of the transferability of models over future time periods and across different geographic locations, and (c) identification of areas in which future model improvements should be made. These three activities are reported for five proposed types of rural intersection crash prediction models. The internal validation of the model revealed that the crash models potentially suffer from omitted variables that affect safety, site selection and countermeasure selection bias, poorly measured and surrogate variables, and misspecification of model functional forms. The external validation indicated the inability of models to perform on par with model estimation performance. Recommendations for improving the state of the practice from this research include the systematic conduct of carefully designed before-and-after studies, improvements in data standardization and collection practices, and the development of analytical methods to combine the results of before-and-after studies with cross-sectional studies in a meaningful and useful way.

Accident Prediction Model Development for Unsignalized Intersections

Accident Prediction Model Development for Unsignalized Intersections PDF Author: Michael Y. K. Lau
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Roads
Languages : en
Pages : 600

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Book Description


Development of Accident Prediction Models and Improvement Strategies

Development of Accident Prediction Models and Improvement Strategies PDF Author: Yiu-Kuen Michael Lau
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 608

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Book Description


Transportation Cyber-Physical Systems

Transportation Cyber-Physical Systems PDF Author: Lipika Deka
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0128142960
Category : Transportation
Languages : en
Pages : 350

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Book Description
Transportation Cyber-Physical Systems provides current and future researchers, developers and practitioners with the latest thinking on the emerging interdisciplinary field of Transportation Cyber Physical Systems (TCPS). The book focuses on enhancing efficiency, reducing environmental stress, and meeting societal demands across the continually growing air, water and land transportation needs of both people and goods. Users will find a valuable resource that helps accelerate the research and development of transportation and mobility CPS-driven innovation for the security, reliability and stability of society at-large. The book integrates ideas from Transport and CPS experts and visionaries, consolidating the latest thinking on the topic. As cars, traffic lights and the built environment are becoming connected and augmented with embedded intelligence, it is important to understand how smart ecosystems that encompass hardware, software, and physical components can help sense the changing state of the real world. Bridges the gap between the transportation, CPS and civil engineering communities Includes numerous examples of practical applications that show how diverse technologies and topics are integrated in practice Examines timely, state-of-the-art topics, such as big data analytics, privacy, cybersecurity and smart cities Shows how TCPS can be developed and deployed, along with its associated challenges Includes pedagogical aids, such as Illustrations of application scenarios, architecture details, tables describing available methods and tools, chapter objectives, and a glossary Contains international contributions from academia, government and industry

Accident Models for Two-lane Rural Roads

Accident Models for Two-lane Rural Roads PDF Author: Andrew Vogt
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Roads
Languages : en
Pages : 192

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Book Description


Modeling Traffic Accidents at Signalized Intersections in the City of Norfolk, VA

Modeling Traffic Accidents at Signalized Intersections in the City of Norfolk, VA PDF Author: Sharad K. Maheshwari
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Signalized intersections
Languages : en
Pages : 28

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Book Description
"This study was an attempt to apply a proactive approach using traffic pattern and signalized intersection characteristics to predict accident rates at signalized intersections in a city's arterial network. An earlier analysis of accident data at selected intersections within the City of Norfolk indicated that in addition to traffic volume, other controllable factors contributed to traffic accidents at specific intersections. These factors included area topography, lane patterns, type of road signs, turning lanes, etc. It is also known that administrative factors such as signal types, signal polic[i]es, road closures, etc., and maintenance factors such as road conditions, condition of the signals, condition of road signs, etc. also impact road accidents. / The objective of this study was to relate these variables to accident rate and delineate variables that are statistically more significant for accident rate. Data on several topographical variables was collected in the City of Norfolk. These variables included number of lanes, turn lanes, pedestrian crossing, restricted lanes, etc. A linear regression model was used to establish relationship between these variables and the accident rate. The resulting regression model explained 60% of the variability. It also showed that four topographical variables are more important than other variables. Those variables included number of lanes, number of turn lanes, presence of median and presence of permanent hazard like railway crossing. However, validation of model showed higher than expected variation. The model developed, in this study, overestimates the accident rate by 33% thus, limiting its practical application."--Executive summary (p. 1).

Accident Prediction Models for Signalized and Unsignalized Intersections

Accident Prediction Models for Signalized and Unsignalized Intersections PDF Author: Matthew T. Naclerio
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Information storage and retrieval systems
Languages : en
Pages : 198

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Book Description


Statistical Models of At-grade Intersection Accidents

Statistical Models of At-grade Intersection Accidents PDF Author: K. M. Bauer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Regression analysis
Languages : en
Pages : 164

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Book Description
The objective of this research was to develop statistical models of the relationship between traffic accidents and highway geometric elements for at-grade intersections. These models also incorporated the effect of traffic control features and traffic volumes on intersection accidents. The data base used to develop the models was obtained from the California Department of Transportation. Field data were also collected for a sample of urban, four-leg, signalized intersections to provide data on additional geometric design variables and turning-movement counts that were not available from existing highway agency files.