Trading Responses to Analysts' Earnings Forecasts, Transaction Sizes, News Types and Trader Types PDF Download
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Author: Jason Lee
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
The first author is at Concordia University, Montreal, Quebec and The Hong Kong Polytechnic University. The second author is at McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario and The Hong Kong Polytechnic University. The third author is at Concordia University. They have received very helpful comments from the anonymous referee, Richard Chung, George Kanaan, and participants of the Winter 1994 Ph.D. Seminar of Financial Reporting and Capital Markets and Faculty Workshop at Concordia University. They are grateful to the Certified General Accountants-Canada Research Foundation for financial support. The first author also acknowledges financial support from Deloitte & Touche/CAAA Research Programme while he was involved in this project. They would also like to thank Sun H. Kim and Waldy Goleszny for their research assistance. Analysts' EPS forecast data were provided by the Institutional Brokers Estimation System (I/B/E/S) of I/B/E/S Inc. as part of a broad academic program to encourage earnings expectations research. The usual disclaimer applies.
Author: Jason Lee
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
The first author is at Concordia University, Montreal, Quebec and The Hong Kong Polytechnic University. The second author is at McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario and The Hong Kong Polytechnic University. The third author is at Concordia University. They have received very helpful comments from the anonymous referee, Richard Chung, George Kanaan, and participants of the Winter 1994 Ph.D. Seminar of Financial Reporting and Capital Markets and Faculty Workshop at Concordia University. They are grateful to the Certified General Accountants-Canada Research Foundation for financial support. The first author also acknowledges financial support from Deloitte & Touche/CAAA Research Programme while he was involved in this project. They would also like to thank Sun H. Kim and Waldy Goleszny for their research assistance. Analysts' EPS forecast data were provided by the Institutional Brokers Estimation System (I/B/E/S) of I/B/E/S Inc. as part of a broad academic program to encourage earnings expectations research. The usual disclaimer applies.
Author: Neil Bhattacharya
Publisher:
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Prior research suggests that the earnings expectations of a segment of the market can be described by the seasonal random-walk model. Prior research also provides evidence that less wealthy and less informed investors tend to make smaller trades (small traders) than wealthier and better informed investors (large traders).I hypothesize that it is the earnings expectations of small traders that are associated with predictions from the seasonal random-walk model. By directly analyzing the trading activities of small and large traders, this study provides evidence that is largely consistent with the hypotheses.Specifically, small traders' trading response around earnings announcements is increasing in the magnitude of seasonal random-walk forecast errors even after controlling for absolute analyst forecast errors, contemporaneous price changes, and market-wide trading. Supplementary analysis reveals that this effect is largely confined to firms with relatively impoverished information environments (i.e., smaller firms and firms with little to moderate analyst following).
Author: William M. Cready
Publisher:
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
The use of observed transaction sizes to differentiate between “small” and “large” investor trading patterns is widespread. A significant concern in such studies is spurious effects attributable to misclassification of transactions, particularly those originating from large investors. Such effects can arise unintentionally, strategically, or endogenously. We examine comprehensive records of a sample of institutional investors (i.e., “large” traders), including their order sizes and overall position changes, to assess the degree to which such misclassifications give rise to spurious inferences about “small” and “large” investor trading activities. Our analysis shows that these institutions are heavily involved in small transaction activity. It also shows that they increase their order sizes substantially in announcement periods relative to nonannouncement periods, presumably as an endogenous response to earnings news. In the immediate earnings announcement period, transaction size-based inferences about directional trading are quite misleading -- producing spurious “small trader” effects and, more surprisingly, erroneous inferences about “large trader” activity.
Author: John Shon
Publisher: Pearson Education India
ISBN: 9788131765470
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 228
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Book Description
Author: Nilabhra Bhattacharya
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 130
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Book Description
Author: Larry Harris
Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN: 1934667927
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 94
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Book Description
The true meaning of investment discipline is to trade only when you rationally expect that you will achieve your desired objective. Accordingly, managers must thoroughly understand why they trade. Because trading is a zero-sum game, good investment discipline also requires that managers understand why their counterparties trade. This book surveys the many reasons why people trade and identifies the implications of the zero-sum game for investment discipline. It also identifies the origins of liquidity and thus of transaction costs, as well as when active investment strategies are profitable. The book then explains how managers must measure and control transaction costs to perform well. Electronic trading systems and electronic trading strategies now dominate trading in exchange markets throughout the world. The book identifies why speed is of such great importance to electronic traders, how they obtain it, and the trading strategies they use to exploit it. Finally, the book analyzes many issues associated with electronic trading that currently concern practitioners and regulators.
Author: Ping Zhou
Publisher: FT Press
ISBN: 0132947404
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 258
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Book Description
By trading on corporate earnings, investors can reliably profit in both up and down markets, while avoiding market risk for nearly the entire quarter. In this book, two leading traders and portfolio managers present specific, actionable techniques anyone can use to capture these sizable profits. Ping Zhou and John Shon have performed an unprecedented empirical analysis of thousands of stocks, reviewing tens of millions of data points associated with option prices, earnings announcement returns, and fundamentals. Their massive analysis has identified consistent opportunities associated with focusing on the magnitude of the market’s reaction to earnings, not its direction. Option Trading Set-Ups for Corporate Earnings News offers concrete guidance for improving the likelihood of making correct forecasts, and managing the risks of incorrect forecasts. It introduces several ways to exploit option trading opportunities around earnings news, discuss crucial issues that most retail investors haven’t considered, and explore aspects of earnings-related option trading that have never been empirically examined and documented before. For example, they identify hidden patterns and potential opportunities based on valuation, industry, volatility, analyst forecasts, seasonality, and trades that immediately follow earnings announcements. Simply put, trading on earnings reports offers immense profit opportunities, if you know how. This book provides incontrovertible facts and detailed strategies, not just theories and anecdotes!
Author: Leonard Zacks
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118127765
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 352
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Book Description
Investment pioneer Len Zacks presents the latest academic research on how to beat the market using equity anomalies The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies organizes and summarizes research carried out by hundreds of finance and accounting professors over the last twenty years to identify and measure equity market inefficiencies and provides self-directed individual investors with a framework for incorporating the results of this research into their own investment processes. Edited by Len Zacks, CEO of Zacks Investment Research, and written by leading professors who have performed groundbreaking research on specific anomalies, this book succinctly summarizes the most important anomalies that savvy investors have used for decades to beat the market. Some of the anomalies addressed include the accrual anomaly, net stock anomalies, fundamental anomalies, estimate revisions, changes in and levels of broker recommendations, earnings-per-share surprises, insider trading, price momentum and technical analysis, value and size anomalies, and several seasonal anomalies. This reliable resource also provides insights on how to best use the various anomalies in both market neutral and in long investor portfolios. A treasure trove of investment research and wisdom, the book will save you literally thousands of hours by distilling the essence of twenty years of academic research into eleven clear chapters and providing the framework and conviction to develop market-beating strategies. Strips the academic jargon from the research and highlights the actual returns generated by the anomalies, and documented in the academic literature Provides a theoretical framework within which to understand the concepts of risk adjusted returns and market inefficiencies Anomalies are selected by Len Zacks, a pioneer in the field of investing As the founder of Zacks Investment Research, Len Zacks pioneered the concept of the earnings-per-share surprise in 1982 and developed the Zacks Rank, one of the first anomaly-based stock selection tools. Today, his firm manages U.S. equities for individual and institutional investors and provides investment software and investment data to all types of investors. Now, with his new book, he shows you what it takes to build a quant process to outperform an index based on academically documented market inefficiencies and anomalies.
Author: Richard H. Thaler
Publisher: Russell Sage Foundation
ISBN: 9780871548443
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 628
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Book Description
Modern financial markets offer the real world's best approximation to the idealized price auction market envisioned in economic theory. Nevertheless, as the increasingly exquisite and detailed financial data demonstrate, financial markets often fail to behave as they should if trading were truly dominated by the fully rational investors that populate financial theories. These markets anomalies have spawned a new approach to finance, one which as editor Richard Thaler puts it, "entertains the possibility that some agents in the economy behave less than fully rationally some of the time." Advances in Behavioral Finance collects together twenty-one recent articles that illustrate the power of this approach. These papers demonstrate how specific departures from fully rational decision making by individual market agents can provide explanations of otherwise puzzling market phenomena. To take several examples, Werner De Bondt and Thaler find an explanation for superior price performance of firms with poor recent earnings histories in the tendencies of investors to overreact to recent information. Richard Roll traces the negative effects of corporate takeovers on the stock prices of the acquiring firms to the overconfidence of managers, who fail to recognize the contributions of chance to their past successes. Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny show how the difficulty of establishing a reliable reputation for correctly assessing the value of long term capital projects can lead investment analysis, and hence corporate managers, to focus myopically on short term returns. As a testing ground for assessing the empirical accuracy of behavioral theories, the successful studies in this landmark collection reach beyond the world of finance to suggest, very powerfully, the importance of pursuing behavioral approaches to other areas of economic life. Advances in Behavioral Finance is a solid beachhead for behavioral work in the financial arena and a clear promise of wider application for behavioral economics in the future.
Author: Larry Harris
Publisher: OUP USA
ISBN: 9780195144703
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 664
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Book Description
Focusing on market microstructure, Harris (chief economist, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission) introduces the practices and regulations governing stock trading markets. Writing to be understandable to the lay reader, he examines the structure of trading, puts forward an economic theory of trading, discusses speculative trading strategies, explores liquidity and volatility, and considers the evaluation of trader performance. Annotation (c)2003 Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (booknews.com).
