Ignorance and Uncertainty

Ignorance and Uncertainty PDF Author: Olivier Compte
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108422020
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 303

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Book Description
Proposes novel methods to incorporate ignorance and uncertainty into economic modeling without complex mathematics.

Ignorance and Uncertainty

Ignorance and Uncertainty PDF Author: Olivier Compte
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108422020
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 303

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Book Description
Proposes novel methods to incorporate ignorance and uncertainty into economic modeling without complex mathematics.

Time, Ignorance, and Uncertainty in Economic Models

Time, Ignorance, and Uncertainty in Economic Models PDF Author: Donald W. Katzner
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
ISBN: 0472109383
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 502

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Book Description
Formal economic analysis using Shackle's ideas of historical time and nonprobabilistic uncertainty

Robustness

Robustness PDF Author: Lars Peter Hansen
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691170975
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 453

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Book Description
The standard theory of decision making under uncertainty advises the decision maker to form a statistical model linking outcomes to decisions and then to choose the optimal distribution of outcomes. This assumes that the decision maker trusts the model completely. But what should a decision maker do if the model cannot be trusted? Lars Hansen and Thomas Sargent, two leading macroeconomists, push the field forward as they set about answering this question. They adapt robust control techniques and apply them to economics. By using this theory to let decision makers acknowledge misspecification in economic modeling, the authors develop applications to a variety of problems in dynamic macroeconomics. Technical, rigorous, and self-contained, this book will be useful for macroeconomists who seek to improve the robustness of decision-making processes.

Models, Mathematics, and Methodology in Economic Explanation

Models, Mathematics, and Methodology in Economic Explanation PDF Author: Donald W. Katzner
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108418775
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 261

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Book Description
This book provides a practitioner's foundation for the process of explanatory model building, breaking down that process into five stages. Donald W. Katzner presents a concrete example with unquantified variable values to show how the five-stage procedure works. He describes what is involved in explanatory model building for those interested in this practice, while simultaneously providing a guide for those actually engaged in it. The combination of Katzner's focus on modeling and on mathematics, along with his focus on the explanatory performance of modeling, promises to become an important contribution to the field.

Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty

Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty PDF Author: Mark Machina
Publisher: Newnes
ISBN: 0444536868
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 897

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Book Description
The need to understand the theories and applications of economic and finance risk has been clear to everyone since the financial crisis, and this collection of original essays proffers broad, high-level explanations of risk and uncertainty. The economics of risk and uncertainty is unlike most branches of economics in spanning from the individual decision-maker to the market (and indeed, social decisions), and ranging from purely theoretical analysis through individual experimentation, empirical analysis, and applied and policy decisions. It also has close and sometimes conflicting relationships with theoretical and applied statistics, and psychology. The aim of this volume is to provide an overview of diverse aspects of this field, ranging from classical and foundational work through current developments. - Presents coherent summaries of risk and uncertainty that inform major areas in economics and finance - Divides coverage between theoretical, empirical, and experimental findings - Makes the economics of risk and uncertainty accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Complexity, Endogenous Money and Macroeconomic Theory

Complexity, Endogenous Money and Macroeconomic Theory PDF Author: Mark Setterfield
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1847203116
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 437

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Book Description
That the chapters in the volume cover such a wide range of important, often fundamental, topics is a proper tribute to Basil Moore s influence and contributions over his working life. From the foreword by G.C. Harcourt, Jesus College, Cambridge, UK During a distinguished career, Basil Moore has made numerous important contributions to macroeconomics and monetary economics, and is renowned as the progenitor of the horizontalist analysis of endogenous money. More recently, he has embraced complexity theory as part of an ongoing effort to understand macroeconomics as an evolving, path-dependent process. This book celebrates and explores Basil Moore s interests in and contributions to monetary and macroeconomic theory. Complexity, Endogenous Money and Macroeconomic Theory features original essays by internationally acclaimed and expert authors. It comprises a selection of papers on five distinct but interrelated themes: economic concepts, tools and methodology; complexity, uncertainty and path dependence; the macroeconomics of endogenous money; the macroeconomics of exogenous interest rates; and unemployment, inflation and the determination of aggregate income. These papers combine to provide a comprehensive methodological and theoretical discussion of the macroeconomics of a monetary production economy. The book will be of interest to professionals and research students in the fields of macroeconomics and monetary economics especially those with an interest in the Post Keynesian approach to analyzing these fields, including the wide audience that has been reached by the contributions of Basil Moore himself.

Culture and Economic Explanation

Culture and Economic Explanation PDF Author: Donald W. Katzner
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1135974837
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 378

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Book Description
There is a common view among many economists that one model is capable of explaining a specific type of behaviour in all cultural environments. It is only necessary to make appropriate adjustments to bring the model in line with prevailing cultural conditions. This book argues that such an approach can lead to error, in particular to incorrect explanation and understanding of the phenomenon in question, and therefore may result in inappropriate policy recommendations. Katzner’s fascinating book compares the two cultures of Japan and USA and provides insights into the economic workings and differences between the two nations. He shows that an understanding of the culture of a country is essential to the development of appropriate models of economic behaviour of economic agents in that country, and that the failure to understand cultural differences weakens the predictive (and prescriptive) power of economic models. The argument is made in a collection of essays supporting the following: (a) Thought processes are heavily dependent on cultural environments and (b) Because cultures vary widely from society to society, to explain economic behaviour in one society may require a model with a completely different structure from that in another. The book applies this argument to elucidate certain features of economic theorizing and to explain the so-called Japanese economic miracle.

Path Dependency and Macroeconomics

Path Dependency and Macroeconomics PDF Author: P. Arestis
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230251099
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 273

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Book Description
This fifth volume in the International Papers in Political Economy (IPPE) series focuses on the theme of path dependency and macroeconomics in terms of both theory and applications. The volume examines how path dependency is linked with notions of fundamental uncertainty, non-ergodicity and hysteresis.

The Elgar Companion to Post Keynesian Economics

The Elgar Companion to Post Keynesian Economics PDF Author: J. E. King
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1781002436
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 641

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Book Description
The Elgar Companion to Post Keynesian Economics is a comprehensive guide to economic analyses in the tradition of Keynes and the so-called Cambridge (UK) school of economics. The coverage of themes and different theoretical orientations within Post Keynesianism is remarkable and the quality of the various entries is impressive. John Kings invisible hand is responsible for a minimum of overlaps and an optimum in quality and comprehensibility. This book has already proved to be of interest to a wide range of economists and can be expected to continue to do so for a long time to come. Heinz D. Kurz, University of Graz, Austria This thoroughly revised and updated second edition provides a comprehensive guide to Post Keynesian methodology, theory and policy prescriptions. The Companion reflects the challenges posed by the global financial crisis that began in 2008 and by the consolidation of the New Neoclassical Synthesis in macroeconomic theory. There are 41 entirely new entries, marking the emergence of a new generation of Post Keynesian scholars. The central issues that were dealt with in the first edition remain at the core of the book, but much more attention is paid in this second edition to financial markets, to Post Keynesian economics outside its traditional Anglo-American heartland and to gender issues and environmental policy. Including major theoretical, methodological and policy issues in Post Keynesian economics, this enriching Companion will strongly appeal to postgraduate and advanced undergraduate students in economics as well as related social science disciplines including international political economy, international relations, politics, public policy and sociology.

In Defense of Post-Keynesian and Heterodox Economics

In Defense of Post-Keynesian and Heterodox Economics PDF Author: Frederic S. Lee
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 0415694361
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 282

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Book Description
This text makes it clear that post Keynesian/heterodox economics is, in spite of internal problems, a viable and important approach to economics and that it should resist the attempts of the critics to bury it.