The Role of Trading Volume in the 'Volatility Puzzle'

The Role of Trading Volume in the 'Volatility Puzzle' PDF Author: Dong Wook Lee
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Languages : en
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Book Description
We find that the negative average-return differential between high- and low-volatility stocks -- the so-called "volatility puzzle" -- is particularly more pronounced when both groups of stocks have large trading volume. Conversely, the return differential is completely absent among low-turnover stocks. Such a high turnover-conditional volatility-future return relation is long-lived and present in various segments of the market and in different time-periods -- e.g., in both small and large stocks and during low- as well as high-investor sentiment periods. While the information contents of large trading volume are likely to be multi-dimensional -- thereby allowing for different explanations, our results at least suggest that trading volume is a useful empirical guide to where to (not) find the average return differential between low- and high-volatility stocks. We also illustrate, in a setting that is neutral about market efficiency, how trading volume interacts with volatility and affects future returns.