The Logic of Intuitive Decision Making

The Logic of Intuitive Decision Making PDF Author: Weston H. Agor
Publisher: Praeger
ISBN: 0899301770
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
The message of this book is to actively seek input and advice from all the sources you possibly can before making a key decision, keep yourself open to these cues. However in the final analysis, you must make the decision based on how you feel. You must trust yourself. The book tells you how to use your intuition to help make key decisions at work and in your personal life. It also outlines steps you can take to develop your present intuitive ability further, and how you can join or establish an 'intuition network' worldwide to promote the use of this skill in your own organization.

The Logic of Intuitive Decision Making

The Logic of Intuitive Decision Making PDF Author: Weston H. Agor
Publisher: Praeger
ISBN: 0899301770
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

Get Book

Book Description
The message of this book is to actively seek input and advice from all the sources you possibly can before making a key decision, keep yourself open to these cues. However in the final analysis, you must make the decision based on how you feel. You must trust yourself. The book tells you how to use your intuition to help make key decisions at work and in your personal life. It also outlines steps you can take to develop your present intuitive ability further, and how you can join or establish an 'intuition network' worldwide to promote the use of this skill in your own organization.

Intuition in Judgment and Decision Making

Intuition in Judgment and Decision Making PDF Author: Henning Plessner
Publisher: Psychology Press
ISBN: 1136875212
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 506

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Book Description
The central goal of this volume is to bring the learning perspective into the discussion of intuition in judgment and decision making. The book gathers recent work on intuitive decision making that goes beyond the current dominant heuristic processing perspective. However, that does not mean that the book will strictly oppose this perspective. The unique perspective of this book will help to tie together these different conceptualizations of intuition and develop an integrative approach to the psychological understanding of intuition in judgment and decision making. Accordingly, some of the chapters reflect prior research from the heuristic processing perspective in the new light of the learning perspective. This book provides a representative overview of what we currently know about intuition in judgment and decision making. The authors provide latest theoretical developments, integrative frameworks and state-of-the-art reviews of research in the laboratory and in the field. Moreover, some chapters deal with applied topics. Intuition in Judgment and Decision Making aims not only at the interest of students and researchers of psychology, but also at scholars from neighboring social and behavioral sciences such as economy, sociology, political sciences, and neurosciences.

The Intuitive Compass

The Intuitive Compass PDF Author: Francis Cholle
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118077547
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 286

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Book Description
A dynamic new way to understand intuition, already implemented around the world at top companies and business schools Neuroscience shows that instinct has a leading role in complex decision-making, yet imaginative play is the most direct means of activating our creativity and problem-solving abilities. Based on over 20 years of Cholle's wide-ranging professional experience and insights, The Intuitive Compass offers a fascinating new approach to innovative problem-solving, decision-making, and sustainable value creation. Through a concept known as Intuitive Intelligence, Cholle shows how anyone can improve creative brainpower by harnessing the balance between reason and instinct. Explores the tension between linear efficiency and random play, and the synergy between reason and instinct Helps us realize our natural tendencies to think holistically, think paradoxically, notice the unusual, or lead by influence Shows these tenets in action through case studies of the luxury house Hermes, Paris; Google and its paradoxical work culture; Virgin America, and its ability to notice the unusual about what matters for consumers and exert leadership in its industry The Intuitive Compass shows how to thrive within chaos and offers actionable information for reinventing our path to sustainable success.

Gut Feelings

Gut Feelings PDF Author: Gerd Gigerenzer
Publisher: Penguin UK
ISBN: 0141015918
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 284

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Book Description
Think less � and know more. A sportsman can catch a ball without calculating its speed or distance. A group of amateurs beat the experts at playing the stock market. A man falls for the right woman even though she�s �wrong� on paper. All these people succeeded by trusting their instincts � but how does it work? In Gut Feelings psychologist and behavioural expert Gerd Gigerenzer reveals the secrets of fast and effective decision-making. He explains that, in an uncertain world, sometimes we have to ignore too much information and rely on our brain�s �short cut�, or heuristic. By explaining how intuition works and analyzing the techniques that people use to make good decisions � whether it�s in personnel selection or heart surgery � Gigerenzer will show you why gut thinking can change your world.

Judgment Misguided

Judgment Misguided PDF Author: Jonathan Baron
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0195111087
Category : Policy sciences
Languages : en
Pages : 238

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Book Description
People often follow intuitive principles of decision making, ranging from group loyalty to the belief that nature is benign. But instead of using these principles as rules of thumb, we often treat them as absolutes and ignore the consequences of following them blindly. In Judgment Misguided, Jonathan Baron explores our well-meant and deeply felt personal intuitions about what is right and wrong, and how they affect the public domain. Baron argues that when these intuitions are valued in their own right, rather than as a means to another end, they often prevent us from achieving the results we want. Focusing on cases where our intuitive principles take over public decision making, the book examines some of our most common intuitions and the ways they can be misused. According to Baron, we can avoid these problems by paying more attention to the effects of our decisions. Written in a accessible style, the book is filled with compelling case studies, such as abortion, nuclear power, immigration, and the decline of the Atlantic fishery, among others, which illustrate a range of intuitions and how they impede the public's best interests. Judgment Misguided will be important reading for those involved in public decision making, and researchers and students in psychology and the social sciences, as well as everyone looking for insight into the decisions that affect us all.

Rational Decisions in Organisations

Rational Decisions in Organisations PDF Author: Frédéric Adam
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1000543102
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 245

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Book Description
Managers in organisations must make rational decisions. Rational decision making is the opposite of intuitive decision making. It is a strict procedure utilising objective knowledge and logic. It involves identifying the problem to solve, gathering facts, identifying options and outcomes, analysing them, considering all the relationships and selecting the decision. Rational decision making requires support: methods and software tools. The identification of the problem to solve needs methods that would measure and evaluate the current situation. Identification and evaluation of options and analysis of the available possibilities involves analysis and optimisation methods. Incorporating intuition into rational decision making needs adequate methods that would translate ideas or observed behaviours into hard data. Communication, observation and opinions recording is hardly possible today without adequate software. Information and data that form the input, intermediate variables and the output must be stored, managed and made accessible in a user-friendly manner. Rational Decisions in Organisations: Theoretical and Practical Aspects presents selected recent developments in the support of the widely understood rational decision making in organisations, illustrated through case studies. The book shows not only the variety of perspectives involved in decision making, but also the variety of domains where rational decision support systems are needed. The case studies present decision making by medical doctors, students and managers of various universities, IT project teams, construction companies, banks and small and large manufacturing companies. Covering the richness of relationships in which the decisions should and must be taken, the book illustrates how modern organisations operate in chains and networks; they have multiple responsibilities, including social, legal, business and ethical duties. Nowadays, managers in organisations can make transparent decisions and consider a multitude of stakeholders and their diverse features, incorporating diverse criteria, using multiple types and drivers of information and decision-making patterns, and referring to numerous lessons learned. As the book makes clear, the marriage of theoretical ideas with the possibilities offered by technology can make the decisions in organisations more rational and, at the same time, more human.

Executive ESP

Executive ESP PDF Author: Douglas Dean
Publisher: Prentice Hall
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 316

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Book Description


Bursting the Big Data Bubble

Bursting the Big Data Bubble PDF Author: Jay Liebowitz
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1040074987
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 356

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Book Description
As we get caught up in the quagmire of big data and analytics, it is important to be able to reflect and apply insights, experience, and intuition as part of the decision-making process. This book focuses on this intuition-based decision making. The first part of the book presents contributions from leading researchers worldwide on the topic of intuition-based decision making as applied to management. In the second part, executives and senior managers in industry, government, universities, and not-for-profits present vignettes that illustrate how they have used intuition in making key decisions.

General Systems Theory

General Systems Theory PDF Author: Jeffrey Yi-Lin Forrest
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3030045587
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 370

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Book Description
This book demonstrates the theoretical value and practical significance of systems science and its logic of thinking by presenting a rigorously developed foundation—a tool for intuitive reasoning, which is supported by both theory and empirical evidence, as well as practical applications in business decision making. Following a foundation of general systems theory, the book presents an applied method to intuitively learn system-sciences fundamentals. The third and final part examines applications of the yoyo model and the theoretical results developed earlier within the context of problems facing business decision makers by organically combining methods of traditional science, the first dimension of science, with those of systems science, the second dimension, as argued by George Klir in the 1990s. This text would benefit graduate students, researchers, or practitioners in the areas of mathematics, systems science or engineering, economics, and business decision science.

Developing the Intuitive Executive

Developing the Intuitive Executive PDF Author: Jay Liebowitz
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1003808891
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 217

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Book Description
The leading traits of executives often include creativity and innovation. Research shows that intuition can significantly enhance to these traits. Developing intuitive executives and honing intuition, coupled with the ability to apply data and evidence to inform decision making, is the focus of Developing the Intuitive Executive: Using Analytics and Intuition for Success. Some researchers call the complement of applying data analytics to intuition as quantitative intuition, rational intuition, or informed intuition. Certainly, in today's data-driven environment, analytics plays a key role in executive decision-making. However, an executive’s many years of experiential learning are not formally considered as part of the decision-making process. Learning from both failures and successes can help fine-tune intuitive awareness—what this book calls intuition-based decision-making. Research also shows that many executives do not trust the internal data quality in their organizations, and so they rely on their intuition rather than strictly on data. This book presents the work of leading researchers worldwide on intuition in the management and executive domain. Their chapters cover key issues, trends, concepts, techniques, and opportunities for applying intuition as part of the executive decision-making process. Highlights include: Using intuition to manage new opportunities Intuition in medicine Rules based on intuition Balancing logic and intuition in decision-making Smart heuristics to manage complexity Intuition and competitiveness Intuitive investment decision-making across cultures Showing how intuition in executive decision making should play an important role, this book enables managers to complement their knowledge gained from experience with analytics to improve decision-making and business success.