The Hypothesis of Export-led Growth Revisited PDF Download
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Author: Elhanan Helpman
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 50
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Book Description
Author: Elhanan Helpman
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 50
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Book Description
Author: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 16
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Book Description
Numerous studies in the literature have tried to test whether export causes economic growth or economic growth causes export growth. The statistical approach has been one of applying Granger or Sims causality test to data drawn from individual country. In order to increase the power of existing tests, in this paper we pool data from 61 developing countries over 1960-1999 period and employ panel unit root tests and panel cointegration technique to establish the long rrun relationship between exports and output. Cointegration receives support in a model in which export is the dependent variable.
Author: David Matesanz Gómez
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 49
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Author: Emilio J. Medina-Smith
Publisher: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 64
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The export-led growth hypothesis (ELGH) postulates that export growth is one of the determinants of economic growth. This study tests the hypothesis by examining the economy of Costa Rica, using data going back to 1950. It found that although exports had a positive effect on growth, their impact was relatively. It thus challenges some of the empirical literature on ELGH and expresses doubts about using exports as a comprehensive development strategy.
Author: Gottfried Bombach
Publisher: North Holland
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 164
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Book Description
This book gives a retrospective look at growth during the post-war epoch and also dwells on the question of to what extent neo-classical growth theory helps one to understand and interpret what has occurred, and how future prospects appear. The decisive impact of the development of aggregate demand on growth is stressed, thereby touching on the crucial question of the neutrality of money in the long run. Nine alternative hypotheses are investigated in order to explain why capitalist countries had such success and why growth came to such a sudden end. In contrast to present day mainstream economics, attention is paid to the importance of demand, including the argument of export-led growth, failures of stabilization policy, and the slowdown of capital formation. A final chapter is devoted to the mystery' of the declining growth of labour productivity.
Author: Gershon Feder
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 9780686397656
Category : Commerce
Languages : en
Pages : 24
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Author: Daniel Lederman
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 0821384910
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 153
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Book Description
Does what economies export matter for development? If so, can industrial policies improve on the export basket generated by the market? This book approaches these questions from a variety of conceptual and policy viewpoints. Reviewing the theoretical arguments in favor of industrial policies, the authors first ask whether existing indicators allow policy makers to identify growth-promoting sectors with confidence. To this end, they assess, and ultimately cast doubt upon, the reliability of many popular indicators advocated by proponents of industrial policy. Second, and central to their critique, the authors document extraordinary differences in the performance of countries exporting seemingly identical products, be they natural resources or 'high-tech' goods. Further, they argue that globalization has so fragmented the production process that even talking about exported goods as opposed to tasks may be misleading. Reviewing evidence from history and from around the world, the authors conclude that policy makers should focus less on what is produced, and more on how it is produced. They analyze alternative approaches to picking winners but conclude by favoring 'horizontal-ish' policies--for instance, those that build human capital or foment innovation in existing and future products—that only incidentally favor some sectors over others.
Author: Md Fokhrul Islam
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Purpose of the study: The purpose of this piece of work is to find out whether there persists any long-run relationship between the exports and economic growth in Bangladesh as a member of the LDCs. In this connection, the export-led growth hypothesis has been assessed for the Bangladeshi economy for the last three decades of timeframe.Methodology: Time-series econometric approach, the Johansen Cointegration test is followed in the study to find out the long-run relationship among the variables. The Granger casualty test was done to find the direction of the casualty. The Time-series data from the period 1991 to 2020 are analyzed through several econometric test procedures. The gross domestic product is regarded as the dependent variable, whereas the Exports of goods & services and the Gross Capital Formation are considered independent variables. The estimated model is examined for a structural break using the Chow Test. The Breusch-Godfrey and Durbin-Watson tests are performed to figure out whether autocorrelation exists.Findings: It is recognized that export-led economic growth has no long-term significance for Bangladesh's economy. The findings are consistent with those of Li et al. (2010) on low-income nations. The R-squared value of the estimated model(83%)shows that the model fits the data quite well.Implications: As Bangladesh is likely to become a middle-income country very soon, the study is highly pertinent to the country's current development dynamics.Limitations and Future direction: This study simply revisited the traditional export-led growth hypothesis through the latest contemporary dataset. Future work may include investigating the reasons why LDCs do not sustain export-induced growth in the long run.
Author: World Bank
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464814953
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 511
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Book Description
Global value chains (GVCs) powered the surge of international trade after 1990 and now account for almost half of all trade. This shift enabled an unprecedented economic convergence: poor countries grew rapidly and began to catch up with richer countries. Since the 2008 global financial crisis, however, the growth of trade has been sluggish and the expansion of GVCs has stalled. Meanwhile, serious threats have emerged to the model of trade-led growth. New technologies could draw production closer to the consumer and reduce the demand for labor. And trade conflicts among large countries could lead to a retrenchment or a segmentation of GVCs. World Development Report 2020: Trading for Development in the Age of Global Value Chains examines whether there is still a path to development through GVCs and trade. It concludes that technological change is, at this stage, more a boon than a curse. GVCs can continue to boost growth, create better jobs, and reduce poverty provided that developing countries implement deeper reforms to promote GVC participation; industrial countries pursue open, predictable policies; and all countries revive multilateral cooperation.
Author: Andrea Ciani
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464815585
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 178
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Economic and social progress requires a diverse ecosystem of firms that play complementary roles. Making It Big: Why Developing Countries Need More Large Firms constitutes one of the most up-to-date assessments of how large firms are created in low- and middle-income countries and their role in development. It argues that large firms advance a range of development objectives in ways that other firms do not: large firms are more likely to innovate, export, and offer training and are more likely to adopt international standards of quality, among other contributions. Their particularities are closely associated with productivity advantages and translate into improved outcomes not only for their owners but also for their workers and for smaller enterprises in their value chains. The challenge for economic development, however, is that production does not reach economic scale in low- and middle-income countries. Why are large firms scarcer in developing countries? Drawing on a rare set of data from public and private sources, as well as proprietary data from the International Finance Corporation and case studies, this book shows that large firms are often born large—or with the attributes of largeness. In other words, what is distinct about them is often in place from day one of their operations. To fill the “missing top†? of the firm-size distribution with additional large firms, governments should support the creation of such firms by opening markets to greater competition. In low-income countries, this objective can be achieved through simple policy reorientation, such as breaking oligopolies, removing unnecessary restrictions to international trade and investment, and establishing strong rules to prevent the abuse of market power. Governments should also strive to ensure that private actors have the skills, technology, intelligence, infrastructure, and finance they need to create large ventures. Additionally, they should actively work to spread the benefits from production at scale across the largest possible number of market participants. This book seeks to bring frontier thinking and evidence on the role and origins of large firms to a wide range of readers, including academics, development practitioners and policy makers.