The Excess Sensitivity of Long-run Term Interest Rates

The Excess Sensitivity of Long-run Term Interest Rates PDF Author: Refet S. Gurkaynak
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Interest rates
Languages : en
Pages : 62

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The Excess Sensitivity of Long-run Term Interest Rates

The Excess Sensitivity of Long-run Term Interest Rates PDF Author: Refet S. Gurkaynak
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Interest rates
Languages : en
Pages : 62

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Book Description


The Excess Sensitivity of Long-term Interest Rates

The Excess Sensitivity of Long-term Interest Rates PDF Author: Refet S. Gürkaynak
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 43

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The sensitivity of long-term interest rates to economic news

The sensitivity of long-term interest rates to economic news PDF Author: Michelle L. Barnes
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP)

Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) PDF Author: Andreas Jobst
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475524471
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 48

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Book Description
More than two years ago the European Central Bank (ECB) adopted a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) to achieve its price stability objective. Negative interest rates have so far supported easier financial conditions and contributed to a modest expansion in credit, demonstrating that the zero lower bound is less binding than previously thought. However, interest rate cuts also weigh on bank profitability. Substantial rate cuts may at some point outweigh the benefits from higher asset values and stronger aggregate demand. Further monetary accommodation may need to rely more on credit easing and an expansion of the ECB’s balance sheet rather than substantial additional reductions in the policy rate.

Excess Sensitivity and Volatility of Long Interest Rates

Excess Sensitivity and Volatility of Long Interest Rates PDF Author: Meredith J. Beechey
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 53

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Book Description
Asymmetric information between the central bank and bond markets creates an inference problem that affects the behaviour of long interest rates. This paper employs a simple macroeconomic model with a time-varying inflation target to illustrate the implications of asymmetry for the sensitivity of long rates and volatility of bond returns. When the central bank's inflation target is not communicated and macroeconomic shocks are imperfectly observed, bond markets infer the value of the target from noisy signals. This heightens the sensitivity of long-run inflation expectations to transitory shocks, thereby raising the measured reaction of long rates to monetary policy and to inflation surprises. Calibrated coeffcients from such regressions are more than twice as large when bondmarkets lack knowledge of the target compared with a full information scenario. Time variation in the inflation target is the main source of volatility, but learning adds to the ability of the model to explain the observed volatility of returns along the yield curve.

Bank Profitability and Risk-Taking

Bank Profitability and Risk-Taking PDF Author: Natalya Martynova
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513565818
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 44

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Book Description
Traditional theory suggests that more profitable banks should have lower risk-taking incentives. Then why did many profitable banks choose to invest in untested financial instruments before the crisis, realizing significant losses? We attempt to reconcile theory and evidence. In our setup, banks are endowed with a fixed core business. They take risk by levering up to engage in risky ‘side activities’(such as market-based investments) alongside the core business. A more profitable core business allows a bank to borrow more and take side risks on a larger scale, offsetting lower incentives to take risk of given size. Consequently, more profitable banks may have higher risk-taking incentives. The framework is consistent with cross-sectional patterns of bank risk-taking in the run up to the recent financial crisis.

Inflation Expectations

Inflation Expectations PDF Author: Peter J. N. Sinclair
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1135179778
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 402

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Book Description
Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards

International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards PDF Author:
Publisher: Lulu.com
ISBN: 9291316695
Category : Bank capital
Languages : en
Pages : 294

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Enabling Deep Negative Rates to Fight Recessions: A Guide

Enabling Deep Negative Rates to Fight Recessions: A Guide PDF Author: Ruchir Agarwal
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484398777
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 89

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Book Description
The experience of the Great Recession and its aftermath revealed that a lower bound on interest rates can be a serious obstacle for fighting recessions. However, the zero lower bound is not a law of nature; it is a policy choice. The central message of this paper is that with readily available tools a central bank can enable deep negative rates whenever needed—thus maintaining the power of monetary policy in the future to end recessions within a short time. This paper demonstrates that a subset of these tools can have a big effect in enabling deep negative rates with administratively small actions on the part of the central bank. To that end, we (i) survey approaches to enable deep negative rates discussed in the literature and present new approaches; (ii) establish how a subset of these approaches allows enabling negative rates while remaining at a minimum distance from the current paper currency policy and minimizing the political costs; (iii) discuss why standard transmission mechanisms from interest rates to aggregate demand are likely to remain unchanged in deep negative rate territory; and (iv) present communication tools that central banks can use both now and in the event to facilitate broader political acceptance of negative interest rate policy at the onset of the next serious recession.

A History of Interest Rates

A History of Interest Rates PDF Author: Sidney Homer
Publisher: New Brunswick, N.J. : Rutgers University Press
ISBN: 9780813508405
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 640

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Book Description
"A History of Interest Rates, Fourth Edition presents a readable account of interest rate trends and lending practices spanning over four millennia of economic history. Filled with in-depth insights and illustrative charts and tables, this unique resource provides a broad perspective on interest rate movements - from which financial professionals can evaluate contemporary interest rate and monetary developments - and applies analytical tools, such as yield-curve averaging and decennial averaging, to the data available." "A History of Interest Rates, Fourth Edition offers a highly detailed analysis of money markets and borrowing practices in major economies. It places the rates and corresponding credit forms in context by summarizing the political and economic events and financial customs of particular times and places." "To help you stay as current as possible, this revised and updated Fourth Edition contains a new chapter of contemporary material as well as added discussions of interest rate developments over the past ten years."--BOOK JACKET.