Stochastic Modeling of Stock Prices Incorporating Jump Diffusion and Shot Noise Models PDF Download
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Author: Daniel Janocha
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3656987599
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 103
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Book Description
Master's Thesis from the year 2016 in the subject Mathematics - Stochastics, grade: 1,7, Technical University of Darmstadt (Forschungsgebiet Stochastik), course: Mathematik - Finanzmathematik, language: English, abstract: In this thesis, we present a stochastic model for stock prices incorporating jump diffusion and shot noise models based on the work of Altmann, Schmidt and Stute ("A Shot Noise Model For Financial Assets") and on its continuation by Schmidt and Stute ("Shot noise processes and the minimal martingale measure"). These papers differ in modeling the decay of the jump effect: Whereas it is deterministic in the first paper, it is stochastic in the last paper. In general, jump effects exist because of overreaction due to news in the press, due to illiquidity or due to incomplete information, i.e. because certain information are available only to few market participants. In financial markets, jump effects fade away as time passes: On the one hand, if the stock price falls, new investors are motivated to buy the stock. On the other hand, a rise of the stock price may lead to profit-taking, i.e. some investors sell the stock in order to lock in gains. Shot noise models are based on Merton's jump diffusion models where the decline of the jump effect after a price jump is neglected. In contrast to jump diffusion models, shot noise models respect the decay of jump effects. In complete markets, the so-called equivalent martingale measure is used to price European options and for hedging. Since stock price models incorporating jumps describe incomplete markets, the equivalent martingale measure cannot be determined uniquely. Hence, in this thesis, we deduce the so-called equivalent minimal martingale measure, both in discrete and continuous time. In contrast to Merton's jump diffusion models and to the well-known pricing model of Black and Scholes, the presented shot noise models are able to reproduce volatility smile effects which can be observed in financial markets.
Author: Daniel Janocha
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3656987599
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 103
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Book Description
Master's Thesis from the year 2016 in the subject Mathematics - Stochastics, grade: 1,7, Technical University of Darmstadt (Forschungsgebiet Stochastik), course: Mathematik - Finanzmathematik, language: English, abstract: In this thesis, we present a stochastic model for stock prices incorporating jump diffusion and shot noise models based on the work of Altmann, Schmidt and Stute ("A Shot Noise Model For Financial Assets") and on its continuation by Schmidt and Stute ("Shot noise processes and the minimal martingale measure"). These papers differ in modeling the decay of the jump effect: Whereas it is deterministic in the first paper, it is stochastic in the last paper. In general, jump effects exist because of overreaction due to news in the press, due to illiquidity or due to incomplete information, i.e. because certain information are available only to few market participants. In financial markets, jump effects fade away as time passes: On the one hand, if the stock price falls, new investors are motivated to buy the stock. On the other hand, a rise of the stock price may lead to profit-taking, i.e. some investors sell the stock in order to lock in gains. Shot noise models are based on Merton's jump diffusion models where the decline of the jump effect after a price jump is neglected. In contrast to jump diffusion models, shot noise models respect the decay of jump effects. In complete markets, the so-called equivalent martingale measure is used to price European options and for hedging. Since stock price models incorporating jumps describe incomplete markets, the equivalent martingale measure cannot be determined uniquely. Hence, in this thesis, we deduce the so-called equivalent minimal martingale measure, both in discrete and continuous time. In contrast to Merton's jump diffusion models and to the well-known pricing model of Black and Scholes, the presented shot noise models are able to reproduce volatility smile effects which can be observed in financial markets.
Author: Manuel Moreno
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 47
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Book Description
This paper analyses the evolution through time of stock prices considering an extension of jump diffusion processes that incorporates Shot Noise effects. This extension follows the model recently proposed by Altmann et al (2004). The shot noise process introduces a new situation in which the jump effects may fade away on the long run. Thus, this model generalizes other specifications of jump diffusion models as, for instance, Merton (1976) and, then, implies a major flexibility of the model. In addition, many statistical distributions appear as marginal distributions for simple shot-noise processes. This paper provides a general expression for the distribution of the process, which is crucial for its estimation. We also present an estimation procedure based on spectral analysis and perform an exhaustive Monte Carlo study. Finally, an empirical application to real stock prices data is implemented reflecting evidence of shot noise effects in many of the series under analysis.
Author: Peng Cheng
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 60
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Book Description
We aim at accommodating the existing affine jump-diffusion and quadratic models under the same roof, namely the linear-quadratic jump-diffusion (LQJD) class. We give a complete characterization of the dynamics underlying this class of models as well as identification constraints, and compute standard and extended transforms relevant to asset pricing. We also show that the LQJD class can be embedded into the affine class through use of an augmented state vector. We further establish that an equivalence relationship holds between both classes in terms of transform analysis. An option pricing application to multifactor stochastic volatility models reveals that adding nonlinearity into the model significantly reduces pricing errors, and further addition of a jump component in the stock price largely improves goodness-of-fit for in-the-money calls but less for out-of-the-money ones.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 63
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Book Description
Author: Thomas More Arnold
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 240
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Book Description
Author: Wei Wei
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Author: Valerie May Beaman
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stochastic analysis
Languages : en
Pages : 92
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Book Description
Author: Howard M. Taylor
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 1483269272
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 410
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Book Description
An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling provides information pertinent to the standard concepts and methods of stochastic modeling. This book presents the rich diversity of applications of stochastic processes in the sciences. Organized into nine chapters, this book begins with an overview of diverse types of stochastic models, which predicts a set of possible outcomes weighed by their likelihoods or probabilities. This text then provides exercises in the applications of simple stochastic analysis to appropriate problems. Other chapters consider the study of general functions of independent, identically distributed, nonnegative random variables representing the successive intervals between renewals. This book discusses as well the numerous examples of Markov branching processes that arise naturally in various scientific disciplines. The final chapter deals with queueing models, which aid the design process by predicting system performance. This book is a valuable resource for students of engineering and management science. Engineers will also find this book useful.
Author: Peter Tankov
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1135437947
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 552
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Book Description
WINNER of a Riskbook.com Best of 2004 Book Award! During the last decade, financial models based on jump processes have acquired increasing popularity in risk management and option pricing. Much has been published on the subject, but the technical nature of most papers makes them difficult for nonspecialists to understand, and the mathematic
Author: Richard Durrett
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319456148
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 282
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Book Description
Building upon the previous editions, this textbook is a first course in stochastic processes taken by undergraduate and graduate students (MS and PhD students from math, statistics, economics, computer science, engineering, and finance departments) who have had a course in probability theory. It covers Markov chains in discrete and continuous time, Poisson processes, renewal processes, martingales, and option pricing. One can only learn a subject by seeing it in action, so there are a large number of examples and more than 300 carefully chosen exercises to deepen the reader’s understanding. Drawing from teaching experience and student feedback, there are many new examples and problems with solutions that use TI-83 to eliminate the tedious details of solving linear equations by hand, and the collection of exercises is much improved, with many more biological examples. Originally included in previous editions, material too advanced for this first course in stochastic processes has been eliminated while treatment of other topics useful for applications has been expanded. In addition, the ordering of topics has been improved; for example, the difficult subject of martingales is delayed until its usefulness can be applied in the treatment of mathematical finance.
