Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making

Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making PDF Author: Glenn Koller
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1420035940
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 332

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Book Description
Risk or uncertainty assessments are used as aids to decision making in nearly every aspect of business, education, and government. As a follow-up to the author's bestselling Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry: A Practical Guide, Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making presents comprehensive examples of risk

Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making

Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making PDF Author: Glenn Koller
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1420035940
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 332

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Book Description
Risk or uncertainty assessments are used as aids to decision making in nearly every aspect of business, education, and government. As a follow-up to the author's bestselling Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry: A Practical Guide, Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making presents comprehensive examples of risk

Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making

Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making PDF Author: Glenn Koller
Publisher: Chapman and Hall/CRC
ISBN: 9781584881674
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 336

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Book Description
Risk or uncertainty assessments are used as aids to decision making in nearly every aspect of business, education, and government. As a follow-up to the author's bestselling Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry: A Practical Guide, Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making presents comprehensive examples of risk/uncertainty analyses from a broad range of applications. Decision/option selection Manufacturing Environmental assessment Pricing Identification of business drivers Production sharing Insurance Scheduling and optimization Investing Security Law Emphasizing value as the focus of risk assessment, this book offers discussions on how to make decisions using each risk model and what insights the model can provide. The presentation of each model also includes computer code that encapsulates its logic and direction on how to apply the model to other types of problems. The author devotes a chapter to techniques for consistently collecting data in an inconsistent world and offers another chapter on how to reflect the effect of "soft" issues in the value of an opportunity. The book's final chapters delineate the techniques and technologies used to perform risk/uncertainty analyses, including sections on distribution, Monte Carlo process, dependence, sensitivity analysis, time series analysis, and chance of failure. Visit RiskSupport.com for more information!

Security Valuation and Risk Analysis: Assessing Value in Investment Decision-Making

Security Valuation and Risk Analysis: Assessing Value in Investment Decision-Making PDF Author: Kenneth S. Hackel
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 0071744436
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 626

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Book Description
A superior new replacement to traditional discounted cash flow valuation models Executives and corporate finance practitioners now have a more reliable discount rate to value companies and make important business and investment decisions. In today's market, it’s free cash flow, cost of capital and return on invested capital that really matters, and now there's a superior tool to help analyze these metrics—Security Valuation and Risk Analysis. In this pioneering book, valuation authority Kenneth Hackel presents his next-generation methodology for placing a confident value on an enterprise and identifying discrepancies in value—a system that will provide even the most well-informed investor with an important competitive advantage. At the core of Security Valuation and Risk Analysis is Hackel's successful credit model for determining an accurate fair value and reliable discount rate for a company. Using free cash flow as the basis for evaluating return on invested capital is the most effective method for determining value. Hackel takes you step by step through years of compelling evidence that shows how his method has earned outsized returns and helped turn around companies that were heading toward failure. Whether used for corporate portfolio strategy, acquisitions, or performance management, the tools presented in Security Valuation and Risk Analysis are unmatched in their accuracy and reliability. Reading through this informative book, you'll discover how to: Take advantage of early warning signs related to cash flow and credit metrics Estimate the cost of equity capital from which free cash flows are discounted Identify where management can free up resources by using a better definition of free cash flow Security Valuation and Risk Analysis provides a complete education on cash flow and credit, from how traditional analysts value a company and spot market mispricing (and why many of those traditional methods are obsolete) to working with the most recent financial innovations, including derivatives, special purpose entities, pensions, and more. Security Valuation and Risk Analysis is your answer to a credit market gone bad, from an expert who knows bad credit from good.

The Failure of Risk Management

The Failure of Risk Management PDF Author: Douglas W. Hubbard
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470387955
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 304

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Book Description
An essential guide to the calibrated risk analysis approach The Failure of Risk Management takes a close look at misused and misapplied basic analysis methods and shows how some of the most popular "risk management" methods are no better than astrology! Using examples from the 2008 credit crisis, natural disasters, outsourcing to China, engineering disasters, and more, Hubbard reveals critical flaws in risk management methods–and shows how all of these problems can be fixed. The solutions involve combinations of scientifically proven and frequently used methods from nuclear power, exploratory oil, and other areas of business and government. Finally, Hubbard explains how new forms of collaboration across all industries and government can improve risk management in every field. Douglas W. Hubbard (Glen Ellyn, IL) is the inventor of Applied Information Economics (AIE) and the author of Wiley's How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business (978-0-470-11012-6), the #1 bestseller in business math on Amazon. He has applied innovative risk assessment and risk management methods in government and corporations since 1994. "Doug Hubbard, a recognized expert among experts in the field of risk management, covers the entire spectrum of risk management in this invaluable guide. There are specific value-added take aways in each chapter that are sure to enrich all readers including IT, business management, students, and academics alike" —Peter Julian, former chief-information officer of the New York Metro Transit Authority. President of Alliance Group consulting "In his trademark style, Doug asks the tough questions on risk management. A must-read not only for analysts, but also for the executive who is making critical business decisions." —Jim Franklin, VP Enterprise Performance Management and General Manager, Crystal Ball Global Business Unit, Oracle Corporation.

Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management

Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management PDF Author: Yacov Y. Haimes
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118210921
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 810

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Book Description
Examines timely multidisciplinary applications, problems, and case histories in risk modeling, assessment, and management Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management, Third Edition describes the state of the art of risk analysis, a rapidly growing field with important applications in engineering, science, manufacturing, business, homeland security, management, and public policy. Unlike any other text on the subject, this definitive work applies the art and science of risk analysis to current and emergent engineering and socioeconomic problems. It clearly demonstrates how to quantify risk and construct probabilities for real-world decision-making problems, including a host of institutional, organizational, and political issues. Avoiding higher mathematics whenever possible, this important new edition presents basic concepts as well as advanced material. It incorporates numerous examples and case studies to illustrate the analytical methods under discussion and features restructured and updated chapters, as well as: A new chapter applying systems-driven and risk-based analysis to a variety of Homeland Security issues An accompanying FTP site—developed with Professor Joost Santos—that offers 150 example problems with an Instructor's Solution Manual and case studies from a variety of journals Case studies on the 9/11 attack and Hurricane Katrina An adaptive multiplayer Hierarchical Holographic Modeling (HHM) game added to Chapter Three This is an indispensable resource for academic, industry, and government professionals in such diverse areas as homeland and cyber security, healthcare, the environment, physical infrastructure systems, engineering, business, and more. It is also a valuable textbook for both undergraduate and graduate students in systems engineering and systems management courses with a focus on our uncertain world.

Financial Risk Management and Modeling

Financial Risk Management and Modeling PDF Author: Constantin Zopounidis
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030666913
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 480

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Book Description
Risk is the main source of uncertainty for investors, debtholders, corporate managers and other stakeholders. For all these actors, it is vital to focus on identifying and managing risk before making decisions. The success of their businesses depends on the relevance of their decisions and consequently, on their ability to manage and deal with the different types of risk. Accordingly, the main objective of this book is to promote scientific research in the different areas of risk management, aiming at being transversal and dealing with different aspects of risk management related to corporate finance as well as market finance. Thus, this book should provide useful insights for academics as well as professionals to better understand and assess the different types of risk.

Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry

Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry PDF Author: Glenn Koller
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1420035053
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 351

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Book Description
Building upon the technical and organizational groundwork presented in the first edition, Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry: A Practical Guide, Second Edition addresses the many aspects of risk/uncertainty (R/U) process implementation. This comprehensive volume covers four broad aspects of R/U: general concepts, i

Risk Monetization

Risk Monetization PDF Author: Glenn R. Koller
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1439818304
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 324

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Book Description
Risk Monetization: Converting Threats and Opportunities into Impact on Project Value addresses the organizational, political, cultural, and technical issues related to implementing a successful risk assessment, management, and monetization process. Suitable for readers in any organization or area of expertise, the book assumes no prior background i

Soft Computing Applications in Business

Soft Computing Applications in Business PDF Author: Bhanu Prasad
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540790047
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 295

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Book Description
Soft computing techniques are widely used in most businesses. This book consists of several important papers on the applications of soft computing techniques for the business field. The soft computing techniques used in this book include (or very closely related to): Bayesian networks, biclustering methods, case-based reasoning, data mining, Dempster-Shafer theory, ensemble learning, evolutionary programming, fuzzy decision trees, hidden Markov models, intelligent agents, k-means clustering, maximum likelihood Hebbian learning, neural networks, opportunistic scheduling, probability distributions combined with Monte Carlo methods, rough sets, self organizing maps, support vector machines, uncertain reasoning, other statistical and machine learning techniques, and combinations of these techniques. The businesses or business problems addressed in this book include (or very closely related to): analysis of correlations between currency exchange rates, analysis of USA banks and Moody’s bank financial strength rating, arrears management, business risk identification, company audit fee evaluation, dental treatments, business internal control, intelligent tutoring systems and educational assessment, modeling agent behavior, motor insurance industry, personal loan defaults, pricing strategies for increasing the market share, pricing strategies in supply chain management, probabilistic sales forecasting, user relevance feedback analysis for online text retrieval, and world crude oil spot price forecasting.

Improving Homeland Security Decisions

Improving Homeland Security Decisions PDF Author: Ali E. Abbas
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107161886
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 787

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Book Description
Are we safer from terrorism today and is our homeland security money well spent? This book offers answers and more.