Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts

Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts PDF Author: Ms.Sally Chen
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498307922
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 37

Get Book Here

Book Description
Balance sheet recessions have been a drag on activity after the Global Financial Crisis, underscoring the important role of balance sheet adjustment for resuming sustained growth. In this paper we examine private sector deleveraging experiences across 36 advanced and emerging economies countries since 1960. We consider the common features and divergent experiences of deleveraging episodes across countries, and analyze empirically the impact of different aspects of deleveraging during the bust phase of leverage cycles on subsequent medium-term growth. The results suggest that larger and quicker unwinding of non-financial sector debt overhangs is associated with sizable medium-term output gains, and that policies should focus on facilitating up-front balance sheet adjustment.

Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts

Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts PDF Author: Ms.Sally Chen
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498307922
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 37

Get Book Here

Book Description
Balance sheet recessions have been a drag on activity after the Global Financial Crisis, underscoring the important role of balance sheet adjustment for resuming sustained growth. In this paper we examine private sector deleveraging experiences across 36 advanced and emerging economies countries since 1960. We consider the common features and divergent experiences of deleveraging episodes across countries, and analyze empirically the impact of different aspects of deleveraging during the bust phase of leverage cycles on subsequent medium-term growth. The results suggest that larger and quicker unwinding of non-financial sector debt overhangs is associated with sizable medium-term output gains, and that policies should focus on facilitating up-front balance sheet adjustment.

Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts

Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781498338691
Category : Business cycles
Languages : en
Pages : 37

Get Book Here

Book Description
Balance sheet recessions have been a drag on activity after the Global Financial Crisis, underscoring the important role of balance sheet adjustment for resuming sustained growth. In this paper we examine private sector deleveraging experiences across 36 advanced and emerging economies countries since 1960. We consider the common features and divergent experiences of deleveraging episodes across countries, and analyze empirically the impact of different aspects of deleveraging during the bust phase of leverage cycles on subsequent medium-term growth. The results suggest that larger and quicker unwinding of non-financial sector debt overhangs is associated with sizable medium-term output gains, and that policies should focus on facilitating up-front balance sheet adjustment.--Abstract.

A Strategy for Developing a Market for Nonperforming Loans in Italy

A Strategy for Developing a Market for Nonperforming Loans in Italy PDF Author: Nadège Jassaud
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484381106
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 31

Get Book Here

Book Description
Addressing the buildup of nonperforming loans (NPLs) in Italy since the global financial crisis will remain a challenge for some time and be important for supporting a sustained, robust economic recovery. The buildup reflects both the prolonged recession as well as structural factors that have held back NPL write-offs by banks. The paper discusses the impediments to NPL resolution in Italy and a strategy for fostering a market for restructuring distressed assets that could support corporate and financial restructuring.

Bailing Out the People? When Private Debt Becomes Public

Bailing Out the People? When Private Debt Becomes Public PDF Author: Samba Mbaye
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484363825
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 45

Get Book Here

Book Description
This paper documents a form of private sector bailout that is much more common (and yet unnoticed) than the typical bank bailout. Building on the newly-created Global Debt Database, we show that excess private debt systematically turns into higher public debt, regardless of whether the credit boom resulted in a crisis or a more orderly deleveraging process. This debt migration operates mainly through growth rather than explicit bailouts: private deleveraging weighs on activity, prompting a countercyclical government response to support economic activity. Ultimately, whether this debt substitution results in a net increase or a net decline of overall indebtedness in the economy depends on the extent of the growth slowdown during the deleveraging spell. These findings suggest that markets and policymakers should move away from looking at private and sovereign debt in silos and pay closer attention to the total stock of debt in the economy, as the line between the two tends to become blurry.

The Eight Per Cent Solution

The Eight Per Cent Solution PDF Author: Nikhil Gupta
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing
ISBN: 9356403554
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 389

Get Book Here

Book Description
IT IS A WONDERFUL STORY, but time after time in the decades since Independence, it stops short midway. India is poised for growth. The GDP is rising. The lumbering elephant is turning into a tiger. But the leap doesn't quite happen. There has been enormous change, but alongside the problems have also been rising. And for a large mass of people, it remains a future of brutal poverty. If India is to meet the needs of its people, it has to consistently generate enough jobs for the millions of youth who enter the job market every year, and build up an infrastructure in which there is enough to go round for education, health and security of its population. Nikhil Gupta, chief economist with a leading brokerage, has been a close observer of the policies and factors that help India grow. As he puts it, an economy consists of four participants-households, corporate, government and external-and just three activities: consumption, savings/investment and external trade. However, the lack of attention to the finances of the household sector and the unlisted corporate sector is shocking. As too the gap between the real and the financial economy. It is these and other gaps in this complicated scenario that Gupta tries to bridge. The Eight per cent Solution presents Gupta's version of a grand unified theory that brings in the neglected but important elements to show how India can finally achieve that elusive target of a higher phase of growth.

IMF Research Bulletin, June 2015

IMF Research Bulletin, June 2015 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 151350004X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 15

Get Book Here

Book Description
In the June 2015 issue, the Research Summaries review "Migration: An Attractive Insurance Option in African Countries" (Ahmat Jidoud) and "Investment in Emerging Markets" (Nicolas E. Magud and Sebastian Sosa). The Q&A looks at "Seven Questions on Islamic Finance” (Inutu Lukonga). The Bulletin also includes its regular listings of recent IMF Working Papers and Staff Discussion Notes, as well as information on the "IMF Economic Review." A new IMF eLibrary discussion site on energy and climate change is highlighted, along with new recommendations from IMF Publications.

Global Waves of Debt

Global Waves of Debt PDF Author: M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464815453
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 420

Get Book Here

Book Description
The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2015

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2015 PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475547587
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 162

Get Book Here

Book Description
The current report finds that, despite an improvement in economic prospects in some key advanced economies, new challenges to global financial stability have arisen. The global financial system is being buffeted by a series of changes, including lower oil prices and, in some cases, diverging growth patterns and monetary policies. Expectations for rising U.S. policy rates sparked a significant appreciation of the U.S. dollar, while long term bond yields in many advanced economies have decreased—and have turned negative for almost a third of euro area sovereign bonds—on disinflation concerns and the prospect of continued monetary accommodation. Emerging markets are caught in these global cross currents, with some oil exporters and other facing new stability challenges, while others have gained more policy space as a result of lower fuel prices and reduced inflationary pressures. The report also examines changes in international banking since the global financial crisis and finds that these changes are likely to promote more stable bank lending in host countries. Finally, the report finds that the asset management industry needs to strengthen its oversight framework to address financial stability risks from incentive problems between end-investors and portfolio managers and the risk of runs due to liquidity mismatches.

Cyprus

Cyprus PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 148433275X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 46

Get Book Here

Book Description
This paper analyzes the economic effects of weak claims enforcement for Cyprus. Claims enforcement in Cyprus is considerably less efficient than in most European Union countries. The banking crisis, which led to a spike in the number of pending litigious civil and commercial cases, could be a factor in the low enforcement efficiency. For Cyprus, piecemeal reform of the enforcement framework may have limited success, and a wholesale review is likely needed. Adding updated components may not fit well with the underlying civil procedure. Instead a comprehensive review, with a focus on limiting case suspensions allowed under interim applications and considering an alternative compensation basis for lawyers should be considered.

Fiscal Monitor, October 2016

Fiscal Monitor, October 2016 PDF Author: Ms.Marialuz Moreno Badia
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475537093
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 110

Get Book Here

Book Description
Drawing on an expanded data set covering emerging markets and low-income countries as well as advanced economies, this issue examines the extent and makeup of global debt and asks what role fiscal policy can play in facilitating the adjustment. The analytical framework explicitly models the interlinkages between private and public debt in analyzing the role of fiscal policy in the deleveraging process. Country case studies provide useful insights on what fiscal policy should and should not do to facilitate deleveraging while minimizing the drag on the economy.