Author: Ravi Jagannathan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
We evaluate the empirical support for a broad class of long run risk models using information in factors extracted through principal component analysis of the covariance matrix of log price dividend ratios of twenty five equity portfolios formed on Size and Book-to-Market. We identify two price-dividend ratio factor proxies for economy wide long run risk, one tracking the volatility of the growth rate in economy wide aggregate consumption, and the other predicting the growth rates in the stock index portfolio dividends and aggregate consumption, consistent with the implications of these models. We show that that the long run risk factor driving expected consumption growth is not recoverable from the cross section of excess returns alone. The price dividend ratio factors perform better than the stock index price dividend ratio and the corporate yield spread, and has information in addition to what is in the slope of the term structure of interest rates, in forecasting the growth rate in real time consumption and stock index dividends. The covariance of excess returns with factor innovations explain the cross section of excess returns on size, book/market, earnings/price ratio, long term reversal, and short term reversal sorted portfolios in a manner robust to look-ahead and useless factor biases. Our findings suggest that the widely used Fama and French (1993) three factor model and the long run risk models studied in the literature are not necessarily inconsistent with each other. They may be representing the same underlying phenomenon, but emphasizing different aspects of reality.
Price Dividend Ratio Factors
Author: Ravi Jagannathan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
We evaluate the empirical support for a broad class of long run risk models using information in factors extracted through principal component analysis of the covariance matrix of log price dividend ratios of twenty five equity portfolios formed on Size and Book-to-Market. We identify two price-dividend ratio factor proxies for economy wide long run risk, one tracking the volatility of the growth rate in economy wide aggregate consumption, and the other predicting the growth rates in the stock index portfolio dividends and aggregate consumption, consistent with the implications of these models. We show that that the long run risk factor driving expected consumption growth is not recoverable from the cross section of excess returns alone. The price dividend ratio factors perform better than the stock index price dividend ratio and the corporate yield spread, and has information in addition to what is in the slope of the term structure of interest rates, in forecasting the growth rate in real time consumption and stock index dividends. The covariance of excess returns with factor innovations explain the cross section of excess returns on size, book/market, earnings/price ratio, long term reversal, and short term reversal sorted portfolios in a manner robust to look-ahead and useless factor biases. Our findings suggest that the widely used Fama and French (1993) three factor model and the long run risk models studied in the literature are not necessarily inconsistent with each other. They may be representing the same underlying phenomenon, but emphasizing different aspects of reality.
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
We evaluate the empirical support for a broad class of long run risk models using information in factors extracted through principal component analysis of the covariance matrix of log price dividend ratios of twenty five equity portfolios formed on Size and Book-to-Market. We identify two price-dividend ratio factor proxies for economy wide long run risk, one tracking the volatility of the growth rate in economy wide aggregate consumption, and the other predicting the growth rates in the stock index portfolio dividends and aggregate consumption, consistent with the implications of these models. We show that that the long run risk factor driving expected consumption growth is not recoverable from the cross section of excess returns alone. The price dividend ratio factors perform better than the stock index price dividend ratio and the corporate yield spread, and has information in addition to what is in the slope of the term structure of interest rates, in forecasting the growth rate in real time consumption and stock index dividends. The covariance of excess returns with factor innovations explain the cross section of excess returns on size, book/market, earnings/price ratio, long term reversal, and short term reversal sorted portfolios in a manner robust to look-ahead and useless factor biases. Our findings suggest that the widely used Fama and French (1993) three factor model and the long run risk models studied in the literature are not necessarily inconsistent with each other. They may be representing the same underlying phenomenon, but emphasizing different aspects of reality.
Price Dividend Ratio Factors
Author: Ravi Jagannathan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
Long run risks & price/dividend ratio factors
Author: Ravi Jagannathan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 65
Book Description
We show that long run consumption risk models imply that the covariance matrix of the logarithm of price to dividend (P/D) ratios of stocks has a strict factor structure. Factor analysis of the P/D ratios of 25 portfolios formed by sorting stocks based on their size and book to market ratio during the 1943 to 2008 reveals two significant factors. Consistent with theory, these factors predict growth in US aggregate consumption & dividends and consumption growth volatility, and explain the cross section of average excess returns on portfolios based on size, book/market, long term reversal, short term reversal, and earnings to price ratios.
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 65
Book Description
We show that long run consumption risk models imply that the covariance matrix of the logarithm of price to dividend (P/D) ratios of stocks has a strict factor structure. Factor analysis of the P/D ratios of 25 portfolios formed by sorting stocks based on their size and book to market ratio during the 1943 to 2008 reveals two significant factors. Consistent with theory, these factors predict growth in US aggregate consumption & dividends and consumption growth volatility, and explain the cross section of average excess returns on portfolios based on size, book/market, long term reversal, short term reversal, and earnings to price ratios.
Long Run Risk & Price/dividend Ratio Factors
Author: Ravi Jagannathan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 65
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 65
Book Description
Long Run Risks & Price/Dividend Ratio Factors
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
Book Description
Study Of Factors Affecting Dividend Yield And Dividend Payout Ratio
Author: Rabia Qamar
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN: 9783659306907
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 84
Book Description
This book is regarding factors like profitability, market to book value, financial leverage, lagged value of dividend, stock price and size of firm which has great effect on dividend yield and dividend payout ratio.Dividend is very important activity of an organisation.Dividend value attracts the investor or shareholder towards an organisation, without shareholder investment organisation has no fu
Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN: 9783659306907
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 84
Book Description
This book is regarding factors like profitability, market to book value, financial leverage, lagged value of dividend, stock price and size of firm which has great effect on dividend yield and dividend payout ratio.Dividend is very important activity of an organisation.Dividend value attracts the investor or shareholder towards an organisation, without shareholder investment organisation has no fu
The Dividend-price Ratio and Expections of Future Dividends and Discount Factors
Author: John Y. Campbell
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Dividends
Languages : en
Pages : 49
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Dividends
Languages : en
Pages : 49
Book Description
Stock-Market Equilibrium and the Dividend Yield
Author: Charles Frederick Kramer
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 30
Book Description
Can fundamentals account for the recent performance of the U.S. stock market? The price/earnings ratio is out of line with historical averages, and the dividend/price ratio has recently reached a historic low. These developments and record levels of inflows into mutual funds have led some to conclude that stock prices are above their fundamental levels. This paper assesses the recent rise in the stock market using a model for the equilibrium dividend/price ratio. While economic variables can account for most of the recent fall in the dividend/price ratio, mutual-fund inflows still have some marginal explanatory power.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 30
Book Description
Can fundamentals account for the recent performance of the U.S. stock market? The price/earnings ratio is out of line with historical averages, and the dividend/price ratio has recently reached a historic low. These developments and record levels of inflows into mutual funds have led some to conclude that stock prices are above their fundamental levels. This paper assesses the recent rise in the stock market using a model for the equilibrium dividend/price ratio. While economic variables can account for most of the recent fall in the dividend/price ratio, mutual-fund inflows still have some marginal explanatory power.
Effects of Bank Capital on Lending
Author: Joseph M. Berrospide
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 1437939864
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 50
Book Description
The effect of bank capital on lending is a critical determinant of the linkage between financial conditions and real activity, and has received especial attention in the recent financial crisis. The authors use panel-regression techniques to study the lending of large bank holding companies (BHCs) and find small effects of capital on lending. They then consider the effect of capital ratios on lending using a variant of Lown and Morgan's VAR model, and again find modest effects of bank capital ratio changes on lending. The authors¿ estimated models are then used to understand recent developments in bank lending and, in particular, to consider the role of TARP-related capital injections in affecting these developments. Illus. A print on demand pub.
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 1437939864
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 50
Book Description
The effect of bank capital on lending is a critical determinant of the linkage between financial conditions and real activity, and has received especial attention in the recent financial crisis. The authors use panel-regression techniques to study the lending of large bank holding companies (BHCs) and find small effects of capital on lending. They then consider the effect of capital ratios on lending using a variant of Lown and Morgan's VAR model, and again find modest effects of bank capital ratio changes on lending. The authors¿ estimated models are then used to understand recent developments in bank lending and, in particular, to consider the role of TARP-related capital injections in affecting these developments. Illus. A print on demand pub.
THE DIVIDEND-PRICE RATIO AND EXPECTATIONS OF FUTURE DIVIDENS AND DISCOUNT FACTORS
Author: John Y. Campbell
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Book Description