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Author: Douglas J. Clouatre
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA
ISBN: 1440828679
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 401
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Book Description
This unique book examines election upsets in American presidential campaigns, offers in-depth analysis of several surprising election results, and explains why the front-running candidate lost. Controversial and unexpected presidential election results have occurred throughout American history. Presidential Upsets: Dark Horses, Underdogs, and Corrupt Bargains carefully examines eleven presidential upsets spread across two centuries of American history, ranking these election upsets by order of magnitude and allowing readers to compare the issues and processes of American elections. After an introductory chapter that establishes the factors that contribute to a presidential upset, such as the comparative advantages of candidates, the issues facing the candidates and electorate, and the political environment during the election, the book offers in-depth analysis of notable surprise election results and explains why the front-running candidate lost. Each major period of American history—such as the Jacksonian period, the Antebellum era, Reconstruction, World War I, the Cold War era, and the post-Cold War era—is covered. The author utilizes primary and secondary sources of material to provide contemporary and historical analysis of these elections, and bases his analysis upon criteria used by political scientists to predict presidential election results.
Author: Douglas J. Clouatre
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA
ISBN: 1440828679
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 401
Get Book Here
Book Description
This unique book examines election upsets in American presidential campaigns, offers in-depth analysis of several surprising election results, and explains why the front-running candidate lost. Controversial and unexpected presidential election results have occurred throughout American history. Presidential Upsets: Dark Horses, Underdogs, and Corrupt Bargains carefully examines eleven presidential upsets spread across two centuries of American history, ranking these election upsets by order of magnitude and allowing readers to compare the issues and processes of American elections. After an introductory chapter that establishes the factors that contribute to a presidential upset, such as the comparative advantages of candidates, the issues facing the candidates and electorate, and the political environment during the election, the book offers in-depth analysis of notable surprise election results and explains why the front-running candidate lost. Each major period of American history—such as the Jacksonian period, the Antebellum era, Reconstruction, World War I, the Cold War era, and the post-Cold War era—is covered. The author utilizes primary and secondary sources of material to provide contemporary and historical analysis of these elections, and bases his analysis upon criteria used by political scientists to predict presidential election results.
Author: W. Joseph Campbell
Publisher: Univ of California Press
ISBN: 0520972139
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 365
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Book Description
A sweeping look at the messy and contentious past of US presidential pre-election polls and why they aren’t as reliable as we think. Polls in U.S. presidential elections can and do get it wrong—as surprising outcomes in 2020, in 2016, in 2012, in 2004, in 2000 all remind us. Lost in a Gallup captures in lively and unprecedented fashion the stories of polling flops, epic upsets, unforeseen landslides, and exit poll fiascoes in presidential elections since 1936. Polling’s checkered record in elections has rarely been considered in detail and, until now, has never been addressed collectively. Polling embarrassments are not all alike. Pollsters have anticipated tight elections when landslides occurred; they have indicated the wrong winner in closer elections; state polls have confounded expected national outcomes. Exit polling has thrown Election Day into confusion. The work of venerable pollsters has been singularly and memorably in error. It is a rare presidential election not to be marred by polling controversies. Lost in a Gallup casts a critical eye on major figures in election polling such as George Gallup, a prickly founding father of public opinion research. The book also considers the polling innovations of Warren Mitofsky, whose admonition rings true across generations: “There’s a lot of room for humility in polling. Every time you get cocky, you lose.” Lost in a Gallup examines how polling failure often equates to journalistic failure. Historically, poll-bashing was quite pronounced among prominent journalists, including well-known newspaper columnists such as Mike Royko in Chicago and Jimmy Breslin in New York. They and other journalists challenged the presumption that polls could accurately measure or interpret what the public was thinking. Even so, polls drive news media narratives about presidential elections, shaping conventional wisdom about how competitive those races are. As Lost in a Gallup makes clear, polls are not always in error. But when they fail, they can fail in surprising ways.
Author: Larry Sabato
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 1442279400
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 268
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Book Description
In 2016, Donald Trump broke almost all the rules of politics to win the Republican nomination and, even more improbably, to edge out heavily favored Hillary Clinton in one of the great upsets in presidential campaign history. In Trumped: The 2016 Election That Broke All the Rules, Larry Sabato, Kyle Kondik, and Geoffrey Skelley, leading experts in American politics, bring together respected journalists, analysts, and scholars to examine every facet of the stunning 2016 election and what its improbable outcome will mean for the nation moving forward under a Trump administration. In frank, accessible prose, each author offers insight that goes beyond the headlines and dives into the underlying forces and shifts that drove the election from its earliest developments to its dramatic conclusion as one of the greatest upsets in presidential campaign history. Trumped will be an indispensable read for political junkies and all students of American politics. Contributions by Alan Abramowitz, Matt Barreto, David Byler, Anthony Cilluffo, Rhodes Cook, Robert Costa, Ariel Edwards-Levy, Natalie Jackson, Kyle Kondik, Susan MacManus, Diana Owen, Ron Rapoport, Larry Sabato, Greg Sargent, Tom Schaller, Gary Segura, Geoffrey Skelley, Walter Stone, Michael Toner, Karen Trainer, Sean Trende, and Janie Valencia.
Author: Olin "Sam." McCulley
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Presidents
Languages : en
Pages : 424
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Book Description
Author: Jeff Berman
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780984934010
Category : Campaign management
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
This is the inside story of Barack Obama's historic quest for the 2008 presidential delegate majority from the unique vantage point of Jeff Berman, Obama's national delegate director. Called Obama's secret weapon, Berman led the effort to devise and execute the delegate plan that Obama used to capture the presidential nomination. Learn how the 2008 fight for delegates produced one of the greatest presidential upsets of all time.
Author: Stefan Lorant
Publisher: Authors Edition Incorporated
ISBN:
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 1114
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Book Description
Author: David J. Goldman
Publisher: Carolrhoda Books
ISBN: 9780822501008
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 72
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Book Description
Highlights the political careers of a variety of candidates who lost their elections to the nation's highest office, including three-time presidential loser Henry Clay and Al Gore, who was defeated in the 2000 election after winning the popular vote.
Author: Harry S. Truman
Publisher: University of Missouri Press
ISBN: 9780826212030
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 614
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Book Description
This correspondence, which encompasses Truman's courtship of his wife, his service in the senate, his presidency, and after, reveals not only the character of Truman's mind but also a shrewd observer's view of American politics.
Author: Jon Ward
Publisher: Twelve
ISBN: 1455591378
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 348
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Book Description
From a strange, dark chapter in American political history comes the captivating story of Ted Kennedy's 1980 campaign for president against the incumbent Jimmy Carter, told in full for the first time. The Carter presidency was on life support. The Democrats, desperate to keep power and yearning to resurrect former glory, turned to Kennedy. And so, 1980 became a civil war. It was the last time an American president received a serious reelection challenge from inside his own party, the last contested convention, and the last all-out floor fight, where political combatants fought in real time to decide who would be the nominee. It was the last gasp of an outdated system, an insider's game that old Kennedy hands thought they had mastered, and the year that marked the unraveling of the Democratic Party as America had known it. Camelot's End details the incredible drama of Kennedy's challenge -- what led to it, how it unfolded, and its lasting effects -- with cinematic sweep. It is a story about what happened to the Democratic Party when the country's long string of successes, luck, and global dominance following World War II ran its course, and how, on a quest to recapture the magic of JFK, Democrats plunged themselves into an intra-party civil war. And, at its heart, Camelot's End is the tale of two extraordinary and deeply flawed men: Teddy Kennedy, one of the nation's greatest lawmakers, a man of flaws and of great character; and Jimmy Carter, a politically tenacious but frequently underestimated trailblazer. Comprehensive and nuanced, featuring new interviews with major party leaders and behind-the-scenes revelations from the time, Camelot's End presents both Kennedy and Carter in a new light, and takes readers deep inside a dark chapter in American political history.
Author: Doug Wead
Publisher: Biteback Publishing
ISBN: 1785902288
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 271
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Book Description
Enter Hillary Clinton: a seasoned politician with a slick PR team and the majority of the world's media behind her. Now enter Donald Trump: a brash reality TV star with a penchant for aggressive outbursts on Twitter. Even if these aren't the most obvious ingredients for a presidential race, surely the outcome is a given? Yet, in one of the most incredible upsets in modern political history, Donald Trump defied the odds and emerged triumphant, leaving his opponent – and the rest of the world – reeling from her shock defeat. But where did it all go so wrong for Clinton? In Game of Thorns, White House insider and renowned political commentator Doug Wead cuts to the beating heart of the campaign trail. He navigates us through scandal after scandal, even the gravest of which proved powerless to shake Trump's ardent support; explores the media's inability to save Clinton's sinking ship; and explains how even Hillary's staggering campaign spending was still no match for "the Donald". Here, for the first time, is the full story of Donald Trump's astonishing rise to power.
