Models of Business Cycles

Models of Business Cycles PDF Author: Robert E. Lucas, Jr.
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell
ISBN: 9780631147916
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 128

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Book Description
In the past decade macroeconomic theory has undergone a remarkable transformation. At the forefront has been the "rational expectations revolution," and this school's most brilliant exponent is Robert E. Lucas. In this elegant and relatively non-technical survey, Lucas reviews the nature and consequences of recent developments in monetary and business cycle theory. He discusses the usefulness of alternative models in determining the effects of economic policy on consumption streams and individual welfare. Drawing on a specific model of aggregate activity which represents the current frontier in business cycle research, he then examines the contemporary theory of unemployment. Finally and most controversially, he explores the role of monetary disturbances.

Business Cycles

Business Cycles PDF Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 9780691012186
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 442

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Book Description
Table of Contents

Business Cycle Dynamics

Business Cycle Dynamics PDF Author: Iryna Sushko
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540321683
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 336

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Book Description
Business cycle theory has been one of the fastest growing fields in modern nonlinear economic dynamics. This book presents new mathematical methods for global analysis which have not previously been available in this easily accessible form. In addition it contains a presentation of full analyses of several models left open in the 1950s when the tools then available did not permit more systematic analysis.

Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting

Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting PDF Author: James H. Stock
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226774740
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 350

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Book Description
The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis.

Studies in Business-cycle Theory

Studies in Business-cycle Theory PDF Author: Robert E. Lucas
Publisher: MIT Press (MA)
ISBN: 9780262620444
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 300

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Book Description
An academic colleague has called Lucas "the dominant figure in Americanmacroeconomics." And another refers to this group of 14 essays, nearly all of which were firstpublished during the 1970s, as the most influential contribution to macroeconomics in thatdecade.

Labor Markets and Business Cycles

Labor Markets and Business Cycles PDF Author: Robert Shimer
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400835232
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 189

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Book Description
Labor Markets and Business Cycles integrates search and matching theory with the neoclassical growth model to better understand labor market outcomes. Robert Shimer shows analytically and quantitatively that rigid wages are important for explaining the volatile behavior of the unemployment rate in business cycles. The book focuses on the labor wedge that arises when the marginal rate of substitution between consumption and leisure does not equal the marginal product of labor. According to competitive models of the labor market, the labor wedge should be constant and equal to the labor income tax rate. But in U.S. data, the wedge is strongly countercyclical, making it seem as if recessions are periods when workers are dissuaded from working and firms are dissuaded from hiring because of an increase in the labor income tax rate. When job searches are time consuming and wages are flexible, search frictions--the cost of a job search--act like labor adjustment costs, further exacerbating inconsistencies between the competitive model and data. The book shows that wage rigidities can reconcile the search model with the data, providing a quantitatively more accurate depiction of labor markets, consumption, and investment dynamics. Developing detailed search and matching models, Labor Markets and Business Cycles will be the main reference for those interested in the intersection of labor market dynamics and business cycle research.

Growth and Business Cycles with Equilibrium Indeterminacy

Growth and Business Cycles with Equilibrium Indeterminacy PDF Author: Kazuo Mino
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 4431556095
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 240

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Book Description
Over the past two decades, the issue of equilibrium indeterminacy has been one of the major research concerns in macroeconomic dynamics. Growth and Business Cycles with Equilibrium Indeterminacy discusses the main topics in this literature. Based on comprehensive surveys and the author’s original research, this book explores sunspot-driven fluctuations in real business cycle models, multiple equilibria in endogenous growth models, and the stabilization effects of fiscal and monetary policy rules. The book also considers equilibrium indeterminacy in open economy models.

Frontiers of Business Cycle Research

Frontiers of Business Cycle Research PDF Author: Thomas F. Cooley
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 9780691043234
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 452

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Book Description
This introduction to modern business cycle theory uses a neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods, it applies concepts to t

Business Cycles in Economic Thought

Business Cycles in Economic Thought PDF Author: Alain Alcouffe
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1317207785
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 425

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Book Description
Business Cycles in Economic Thought underlines how, over the time span of two centuries, economic thought interacted with cycles in a continuous renewal of theories and rethinking of policies, whilst economic actions embedded themselves into past economic thought. This book argues that studying crises and periods of growth in different European countries will help to understand how different national, political and cultural traditions influenced the complex interaction of economic cycles and economic theorizing. The editors of this great volume bring together expert contributors consisting of economists, historians of economic thought and historians of economics, to analyse crises and theories of the nineteenth and the twentieth century. This is alongside a comprehensive outlook on the most relevant advances of economic theory in France, Germany and Italy, as well as coverage of non-European countries, such as the United States. Several of the highly prestigious Villa Vigoni Trilateral Conferences formed the background for the discussions in this book. This volume is of great interest to students and academics who study history of economic thought, political economy and macroeconomics.

Business Cycles: Fact, Fallacy And Fantasy

Business Cycles: Fact, Fallacy And Fantasy PDF Author: Sumru G Altug
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814470465
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 161

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Book Description
This book provides an overview of the modern theory and empirics of business cycles. Written by one of the pioneering authors in this field, it examines the notion of a business cycle and discusses alternative approaches to modeling. Arguably, one of the most important debates in this literature has been the issue of “matching” a business cycle to the data. In their original contribution, Kydland and Prescott (1982) proposed the method of calibration as a way of examining the implications of a business cycle model; yet, even at its inception, this approach came under criticism from a variety of sources. This monograph will examine some of these criticisms and discuss alternative approaches that have been put forward. More generally, it will discuss what lies ahead for modern business cycle theory.