Modeling and Predicting the Yield Curve's Risk Premium

Modeling and Predicting the Yield Curve's Risk Premium PDF Author: Eric Van Den Bosch
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Interest rates
Languages : en
Pages : 70

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Book Description


Bond Pricing and Yield Curve Modeling

Bond Pricing and Yield Curve Modeling PDF Author: Riccardo Rebonato
Publisher:
ISBN: 1107165857
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 781

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Book Description
Rebonato provides an authoritative, clear, and up-to-date explanation of the cutting-edge innovations in affine modeling for government bonds, and provides readers with the precise tools to develop their own models. This book combines precise theory with up-to-date empirical evidence to build, with the minimum mathematical sophistication required for the task, a critical understanding of what drives the government bond market.

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting PDF Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691146802
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 223

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Book Description
Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.

Yield Curve Modeling

Yield Curve Modeling PDF Author: Y. Stander
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230513743
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 202

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Book Description
This book will give the reader insight into how to model yield curves in our incomplete and imperfect financial markets. An extensive list of yield curve models are shown and discussed. Using actual market instruments, these models are then applied and the different yield curves are compared. It is assumed that the reader has a basic understanding of the financial instruments available in the market. Various issues that have to be taken into account in practice are discussed, like daycount conventions, business-day rules, the credit quality of the instrument and liquidity to name but a few. It is also shown how yield curves can be used to estimate credit spreads and country risk premiums. Creating a yield curve model has some implications in risk management. Specifically - the model, operational, liquidity and basis risks are discussed.

Bond Pricing and Yield Curve Modeling

Bond Pricing and Yield Curve Modeling PDF Author: Riccardo Rebonato
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1316732959
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 781

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Book Description
In this book, well-known expert Riccardo Rebonato provides the theoretical foundations (no-arbitrage, convexity, expectations, risk premia) needed for the affine modeling of the government bond markets. He presents and critically discusses the wealth of empirical findings that have appeared in the literature of the last decade, and introduces the 'structural' models that are used by central banks, institutional investors, sovereign wealth funds, academics, and advanced practitioners to model the yield curve, to answer policy questions, to estimate the magnitude of the risk premium, to gauge market expectations, and to assess investment opportunities. Rebonato weaves precise theory with up-to-date empirical evidence to build, with the minimum mathematical sophistication required for the task, a critical understanding of what drives the government bond market.

Yield Curve Decomposition with Stochastic Market Price of Risk

Yield Curve Decomposition with Stochastic Market Price of Risk PDF Author: Swati Mital
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 37

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Book Description
Affine Term Structure model that unifies two views in yield curve modeling: Principal Components as state variables in Affine world of models providing indispensable econometric knowledge of market observed yields and Stochastic Market Price of Risk which decouples the hard deterministic relationship between risk premium and return predicting factors.

Yield Curve Dynamics

Yield Curve Dynamics PDF Author: Ronald J. Ryan
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 9781884964749
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 219

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Book Description
Yield-Curve Dynamics examines both the advanced theory and the practice of state-of-the-art techniques for modeling, trading and hedging. Topics include: single- and multi-factor models; applying yield-curve modeling to risk management; yield-curve volatility; options pricing models; and forecasting short-term interest rates. This is an important and useful book for anyone involved in risk management, trading, research, options and exotic derivatives, and currency markets.

Modelling the Yield Curve

Modelling the Yield Curve PDF Author: Mr.Mark P. Taylor
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40

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Book Description
We test and estimate a variety of alternative models of the yield curve, using weekly, high-quality U.K. data. We extend the Campbell-Shiller technique to the overlapping data case and apply it to reject the pure expectations hypothesis under rational expectations. We also find that risk measures, in the form of conditional interest rate volatility, are unable to explain the term premium. A simple, market segmentation approach is, however, moderately successful in explaining the term premium.

Yield Curves and Chance-Risk Classification : Modeling, Forecasting, and Pension Product Portfolios

Yield Curves and Chance-Risk Classification : Modeling, Forecasting, and Pension Product Portfolios PDF Author: Franziska Diez
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description


Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting

Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting PDF Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400845416
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 225

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Book Description
Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.