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Author: Concepción Olavarrieta
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Author: Concepción Olavarrieta
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Concepción Olavarrieta
Publisher:
ISBN: 9786075017839
Category : Mexico
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Author: Concepción Olavarrieta
Publisher: Editorial Digital del Tecnológico de Monterrey
ISBN:
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 261
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Book Description
The book compiles 19 authors who approach the 15 Global Challenges identified by the Millennium Project as the main threats and opportunities for the present Millennium as a methodological conceptual framework for Mexico's futures. The first part launches diagnoses that are formulated on each Challenge and visions and reflections are proposed. The second part presents three possible scenarios for Mexico by 2050 and, finally, it concludes with a proposal for guiding projects by 2050.
Author: National Intelligence Council
Publisher: Cosimo Reports
ISBN: 9781646794973
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 158
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Book Description
"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.
Author: Jules N. Pretty
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1136529276
Category : Nature
Languages : en
Pages : 292
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Book Description
Continued population growth, rapidly changing consumption patterns and the impacts of climate change and environmental degradation are driving limited resources of food, energy, water and materials towards critical thresholds worldwide. These pressures are likely to be substantial across Africa, where countries will have to find innovative ways to boost crop and livestock production to avoid becoming more reliant on imports and food aid. Sustainable agricultural intensification - producing more output from the same area of land while reducing the negative environmental impacts - represents a solution for millions of African farmers. This volume presents the lessons learned from 40 sustainable agricultural intensification programmes in 20 countries across Africa, commissioned as part of the UK Government's Foresight project. Through detailed case studies, the authors of each chapter examine how to develop productive and sustainable agricultural systems and how to scale up these systems to reach many more millions of people in the future. Themes covered include crop improvements, agroforestry and soil conservation, conservation agriculture, integrated pest management, horticulture, livestock and fodder crops, aquaculture, and novel policies and partnerships.
Author: José G. Vargas-Hernández
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 19
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Book Description
This research proposal is aimed to analyze the economic, social and political foreseeable scenarios for Mexico by the year 2030. Starting from the analyzes recent economic, social and political developments, it continuous searching the trends in specific economic issues such as international commerce, energy, employment, environmental constraints, etc.; social trends such as demographic transition, fertility, population growth, aging, migration, education, health, housing, human development, etc. and political trends such as democratization processes, social upheaval, human rights, etc. Finally, the research will conclude describing and discussing the scenarios at three levels: pessimistic, more realistic and optimistic. The key findings will be analyzed in more detail. The methodology to be used are time series analysis for historical data, correlation analysis for data series of the different variables, the Delphi technique, panel of experts, interviews to some clue economic, social and political actors. Also for the analysis, will be used prospective techniques. The final paper will identify the factors that will be most important in shaping the economic, social and political landscape of Mexico in 2030 and beyond. It will examine how the Mexican society will cope with the broad range of challenges and will assess what conditions may be key to transforming economic, social and political trends into security and social welfare issues.
Author: Sven Schimpf
Publisher: Fraunhofer IAO / INTRAW project
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 12
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Book Description
The International Raw Materials Observatory will advance international cooperation mechanisms on mineral raw materials, as defined in thematic action plans addressing research and innovation, education and outreach, industry and trade, and recycling, management and substitution of critical raw materials. Considering that actions highly depend on potential future developments (and future developments can be influenced by actions), the scenario method was selected as an appropriate foresight methodology for developing 3 alternative future scenarios for raw materials in 2050. These provide a baseline set of potential future developments in the Action Plans. Within this brochure, the reader will gain insights into the methodology applied and into the main characteristics of each of the three future scenarios.
Author: Julián A. Patrón Coppel
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
This thesis develops two future scenarios for the possible development of the energy sector within México in order to achieve sustainability. Despite the fact that sustainability encompasses too many dimensions within the possible lines of development, in this study is assumed as a state where society's actions do not compromise the needs of future generations. To be more specific, it focuses on energy consumption as way to achieve it. The rationale behind this study lies under the potential impacts that climate change may enhance for future society's development; which has been mostly driven by an increase in GHG atmospheric concentrations as a result of human activities throughout the last years. Of such activities, energy use is considered to be the major contributor to such increase by the burning of fossil fuels. On the other hand, energy has also been perceived as a key element in society's development by enhancing quality of life. México is no exception in such trends; whereas its energy sector is compromised in its majority by fossil fuels. Thus, if sustainability is to be achieved in the long term, actions must start as soon as possible. Hence that the overall aim of this study is to stimulate decision-makers and society in general to take insight into what changes may be required to achieve sustainability within the Mexican energy sector. For this, an 85%-50% reduction in CO2eq emissions from the overall energy sector in México by the year 2050 from the 2000 levels is proposed. Thence two future scenarios are created, the Business As Usual (BAU), which pictures what may happen if we continue to develop under current trends, and; one normative scenario done by a backcasting approach, which envisions a sustainable energy sector throughout the previously stated aim in order to introduce a set of possible strategies on how to attain it.
Author: International Renewable Energy Agency IRENA
Publisher: International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)
ISBN: 9292602500
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 344
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Book Description
This outlook highlights climate-safe investment options until 2050, policies for transition and specific regional challenges. It also explores options to eventually cut emissions to zero.
Author: David G. Ockwell
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1136327657
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 391
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Book Description
Low carbon technology transfer to developing countries has been both a lynchpin of, and a key stumbling block to a global deal on climate change. This book brings together for the first time in one place the work of some of the world's leading contemporary researchers in this field. It provides a practical, empirically grounded guide for policy makers and practitioners, while at the same time making new theoretical advances in combining insights from the literature on technology transfer and the literature on low carbon innovation. The book begins by summarizing the nature of low carbon technology transfer and its contemporary relevance in the context of climate change, before introducing a new theoretical framework through which effective policy mechanisms can be analyzed. The north-south, developed-developing country differences and synergies are then introduced together with the relevant international policy context. Uniquely, the book also introduces questions around the extent to which current approaches to technology transfer under the international policy regime might be considered to be 'pro-poor'. Throughout, the book draws on cutting edge empirical work to illustrate the insights it affords. The book concludes by setting out constructive ways forward towards delivering on existing international commitments in this area, including practical tools for decision makers.
