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Author: Frank Smets
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
In the identified VAR literature the role of the exchange rate in measuring monetary policy shocks has often been neglected. However, many open economies find it useful to target the exchange rate. In such a regime exchange rate innovations will better capture domestic monetary policy shocks. This paper first estimates the weight on the ECU exchange rate in France, Germany and Italy under the ERM regime. Next, these weights are used to identify a typical monetary policy shock in these countries and analyse its effects on output, inflation, the interest rate and the exchange rate.
Author: Frank Smets
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
In the identified VAR literature the role of the exchange rate in measuring monetary policy shocks has often been neglected. However, many open economies find it useful to target the exchange rate. In such a regime exchange rate innovations will better capture domestic monetary policy shocks. This paper first estimates the weight on the ECU exchange rate in France, Germany and Italy under the ERM regime. Next, these weights are used to identify a typical monetary policy shock in these countries and analyse its effects on output, inflation, the interest rate and the exchange rate.
Author: Imke Bruggemann
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
A structural vector error correction (SVEC) model is used to investigate several monetary policy issues. While being data-oriented the SVEC framework allows structural modeling of the short-run and long-run properties of the data. The statistical model is estimated with monthly German data for 1975-98 where a structural break is detected in 1984. After splitting the sample, three stable long-run relations are found in each subsample which can be interpreted in terms of a money-demand equation, a policy rule and a relation for real output, respectively. Since the cointegration restrictions imply a particular shape of the long-run covariance matrix this information can be used to distinguish between permanent and transitory innovations in the estimated system. Additional restrictions are introduced to identify a monetary policy shock.
Author: Fabio C. Bagliano
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Autoregression (Statistics)
Languages : en
Pages : 50
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Book Description
Author: International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 50
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Book Description
Germany’s macroprudential policy framework and toolkit are well developed. The FSAP found the institutional arrangements for macroprudential policy to be mostly sound and operating well. Capacity and expertise in risk monitoring is good, thanks to the analytical power and data access of the central bank, and close coordination between the macro- and microprudential arms of the financial supervisory authorities. Germany’s macroprudential toolkit continues to develop. The principal outstanding task is to add powers to set caps on debt-to-income and debt service-to-income ratios on residential real estate loans to the already-established powers over loan-to-value ratios and amortization rates. These additions will place Germany’s toolkit on a par with its peers.
Author: Christina D. Romer
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226724832
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 434
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Book Description
While there is ample evidence that high inflation is harmful, little is known about how best to reduce inflation or how far it should be reduced. In this volume, sixteen distinguished economists analyze the appropriateness of low inflation as a goal for monetary policy and discuss possible strategies for reducing inflation. Section I discusses the consequences of inflation. These papers analyze inflation's impact on the tax system, labor market flexibility, equilibrium unemployment, and the public's sense of well-being. Section II considers the obstacles facing central bankers in achieving low inflation. These papers study the precision of estimates of equilibrium unemployment, the sources of the high inflation of the 1970s, and the use of non-traditional indicators in policy formation. The papers in section III consider how institutions can be designed to promote successful monetary policy, and the importance of institutions to the performance of policy in the United States, Germany, and other countries. This timely volume should be read by anyone who studies or conducts monetary policy.
Author: Nicoletta Batini
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513546082
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 75
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Book Description
This paper builds a model-based dynamic monetary and fiscal conditions index (DMFCI) and uses it to examine the evolution of the joint stance of monetary and fiscal policies in the euro area (EA) and in its three largest member countries over the period 2007-2018. The index is based on the relative impacts of monetary and fiscal policy on demand using actual and simulated data from rich estimated models featuring also financial intermediaries and long-term government debt. The analysis highlights a short-lived fiscal expansion in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis, followed by a quick tightening, with monetary policy left to be the “only game in town” after 2013. Individual countries’ DMFCIs show that national policy stances did not always mirror the evolution of the aggregate stance at the EA level, due to heterogeneity in the fiscal stance.
Author: Ronald Schettkat
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134044429
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 183
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Book Description
This book offers a fresh, innovative analysis of contemporary German economic policy, containing essays from non-Germanic, internationally distinguished economists from around the world, arguing for a more expansionary macroeconomic policy.
Author: James S. Cloyne
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783957299116
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Author: Andreas Beyer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Deutsche Bundesbank
Languages : en
Pages : 67
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Book Description
During the turbulent 1970s and 1980s the Bundesbank established an outstanding reputation in the world of central banking. Germany achieved a high degree of domestic stability and provided safe haven for investors in times of turmoil in the international financial system. Eventually the Bundesbank provided the role model for the European Central Bank. Hence, we examine an episode of lasting importance in European monetary history. The purpose of this paper is to highlight how the Bundesbank monetary policy strategy contributed to this success. We analyze the strategy as it was conceived, communicated and refined by the Bundesbank itself. We propose a theoretical framework (following Söderström, 2005) where monetary targeting is interpreted, first and foremost, as a commitment device. In our setting, a monetary target helps anchoring inflation and inflation expectations. We derive an interest rate rule and show empirically that it approximates the way the Bundesbank conducted monetary policy over the period 1975-1998. We compare the Bundesbank's monetary policy rule with those of the FED and of the Bank of England. We find that the Bundesbank's policy reaction function was characterized by strong persistence of policy rates as well as a strong response to deviations of inflation from target and to the activity growth gap. In contrast, the response to the level of the output gap was not significant. In our empirical analysis we use real-time data, as available to policymakers at the time. -- Inflation ; Price Stability ; Monetary Policy ; Monetary Targeting ; Policy Rules.
Author: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Publisher: Paris
ISBN: 9789264111271
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 136
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Book Description
This report analyses the working of monetary policy in Germany, focusing on the period 1960-1971. Part 1 reviews the general background for monetary policy in Germany as set by the main economic trends, fiscal policy and financial structure. Part 2 reviews the main instruments and operating targets of monetary policy. Part 3 is a review of policy developments in their cyclical context and assesses the impact of policy changes on capital flows, monetary and financial aggregates and interest rates. Part 4 carries this evaluation further to the impact on major components of expenditures. The concluding part 5 attempts an overall assessment of the use and effects of monetary policy.
