Market Liquidity and Stock Size Premia in African Emerging Financial Markets

Market Liquidity and Stock Size Premia in African Emerging Financial Markets PDF Author: Bruce Allen Hearn
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 33

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Book Description
Equity markets are increasingly seen as important sources of investment funds in many emerging economies, both in Africa and elsewhere. Furthermore, many countries perceive the development of such markets as a means to facilitate both foreign equity portfolio investment and foreign direct investment (FDI) through the acquisition of shareholdings in domestic companies, and thus supplement the low levels of funding from domestic savings. But many emerging stock markets exhibit substantial risk premia, which both push up the cost of equity for listed domestic firms and deter potential foreign investors. This paper estimates the cost of equity in four major African markets: South Africa, Kenya, Egypt and Morocco. These collectively represent the largest and most developed equity markets in Africa and also act as hub markets in their respective regions. London is also included as a link between the emerging and developed financial market. The Fama and French (1993) three-factor model Capital Asset Pricing Model is augmented to take account of company size and illiquidity factors that feature in African financial markets. Results show that the premia associated with size are more prevalent than with liquidity although both are highly significant in both valuation and cost of equity estimates. The evidence suggests that the lowest cost of equity is achieved between the large international market of London and the smaller but well regulated Moroccan market, while Egypt has a higher cost of equity. The small developing market of Kenya has the second highest cost of equity, although the costs associated with the main market are less than ten percent of that faced by companies in the fledgling Alternative Investment Market. South Africa has the highest cost of equity although this reflects a proliferation of smaller firms in this market.

Market Liquidity and Stock Size Premia in African Emerging Financial Markets

Market Liquidity and Stock Size Premia in African Emerging Financial Markets PDF Author: Bruce Allen Hearn
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 33

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Book Description
Equity markets are increasingly seen as important sources of investment funds in many emerging economies, both in Africa and elsewhere. Furthermore, many countries perceive the development of such markets as a means to facilitate both foreign equity portfolio investment and foreign direct investment (FDI) through the acquisition of shareholdings in domestic companies, and thus supplement the low levels of funding from domestic savings. But many emerging stock markets exhibit substantial risk premia, which both push up the cost of equity for listed domestic firms and deter potential foreign investors. This paper estimates the cost of equity in four major African markets: South Africa, Kenya, Egypt and Morocco. These collectively represent the largest and most developed equity markets in Africa and also act as hub markets in their respective regions. London is also included as a link between the emerging and developed financial market. The Fama and French (1993) three-factor model Capital Asset Pricing Model is augmented to take account of company size and illiquidity factors that feature in African financial markets. Results show that the premia associated with size are more prevalent than with liquidity although both are highly significant in both valuation and cost of equity estimates. The evidence suggests that the lowest cost of equity is achieved between the large international market of London and the smaller but well regulated Moroccan market, while Egypt has a higher cost of equity. The small developing market of Kenya has the second highest cost of equity, although the costs associated with the main market are less than ten percent of that faced by companies in the fledgling Alternative Investment Market. South Africa has the highest cost of equity although this reflects a proliferation of smaller firms in this market.

Market Liquidity and Stock Size Premia in Emerging Financial Markets

Market Liquidity and Stock Size Premia in Emerging Financial Markets PDF Author: Roger Strange
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 29

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Book Description
Equity markets are increasingly seen as important sources of investment funds in many emerging economies, both in Africa and elsewhere. Furthermore, many countries perceive the development of such markets as a means to facilitate both foreign equity portfolio investment and foreign direct investment (FDI) through the acquisition of shareholdings in domestic companies, and thus supplement the low levels of funding from domestic savings. But many emerging stock markets exhibit substantial risk premia, which both push up the cost of equity for listed domestic firms and deter potential foreign investors. This paper estimates the cost of equity in four major African markets: South Africa, Kenya, Egypt and Morocco. These collectively represent the largest and most developed equity markets in Africa and also act as hub markets in their respective regions. London is also included as a link between the emerging and developed financial market. The Fama and French (1993) three-factor model Capital Asset Pricing Model is augmented to take account of company size and illiquidity factors that feature in African financial markets. Results show that the premia associated with size are more prevalent than with liquidity although both are highly significant in both valuation and cost of equity estimates. The evidence suggests that the lowest cost of equity is achieved in the two major international markets of London and Johannesburg, while the less-advanced North African markets of Morocco and Egypt have higher costs of equity. The small developing market of Kenya has the highest cost of equity, although the costs associated with the main market are less than one-third of that faced by companies in the fledgling Alternative Investment Market.

Efficient Market Hypothesis in Africa's Sub-Saharan Stock Markets

Efficient Market Hypothesis in Africa's Sub-Saharan Stock Markets PDF Author: Sebastian Groh
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3640438531
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 69

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Book Description
Bachelor Thesis from the year 2009 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1,3, University of Mannheim (Lehrstuhl für Volkswirtschaftslehre, insbes. Ökonometrie), course: Bachelorarbeit, language: English, abstract: In recent years foreign aid was often conditioned on good institutions. Due to this course the development of financial institutions has been considered vital for the development process. This thesis points in its theoretical part to the positive effects of efficient stock markets on economic growth and examines empirically the efficiency of Africa's sub-Saharan stock markets. Results are then compared with the same tests on four emerging markets in Asia and as a benchmark on S&P 500 and DAX. It discusses further the relationship between market efficiency and financial crisis and comes to the conclusion that a crisis worsens the respective efficiency level. Nevertheless, all African markets are at least able to pass the critical lowest hurdle of market efficiency. However, conclusions from the research propose, that the Asian markets perform better than the African markets, although the study comes to some inconclusive results. Limits to the efficient market hypothesis itself and its empirical analysis are shown throughout the paper. The study suggests that former reforms need to be intensified in order to avoid a further increase in overall income inequalities.

The Determinants of Stock Market Development in Emerging Economies

The Determinants of Stock Market Development in Emerging Economies PDF Author: Charles Amo Yartey
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 38

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Book Description
This paper examines the institutional and macroeconomic determinants of stock market development using a panel data of 42 emerging economies for the period 1990 to 2004. The paper finds that macroeconomic factors such as income level, gross domestic investment, banking sector development, private capital flows, and stock market liquidity are important determinants of stock market development in emerging market countries. The results also show that political risk, law and order, and bureaucratic quality are important determinants of stock market development because they enhance the viability of external finance. This result suggests that the resolution of political risk can be an important factor in the development of emerging stock markets. The analysis also shows the factors identified above as determining stock market development in emerging economies can also explain the development of the stock market in South Africa.

African Emerging Markets: Contemporary issues

African Emerging Markets: Contemporary issues PDF Author: Sam Mensah
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 260

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Book Description
The African Capital Markets Forum was formed in 1996 to support efforts to build capital markets in Africa and to expand the knowledge base of African markets. ACMF seeks to promote best practice in capital market regulation, and operates by periodically compiling and making relavant research available to capital market regulators and professionals around the world. The essays in this volume are divided into two parts. The first part provides an overview of research topics relevant to the development of capital markets in developing economies in general e.g.Political risk in emerging and developed markets; open markets, foreign investors and emerging nations; securities markets. Part two covers recent research on African capital markets, e.g. studies of the Ghana stockmarket/stock exchange; Nigeria's stock market; the Botswana share market and its role in financial and economic development; and integrating Africa into international financial markets.

Efficient Market Hypothesis in Africa’s Sub-Saharan Stock Markets

Efficient Market Hypothesis in Africa’s Sub-Saharan Stock Markets PDF Author: Sebastian Groh
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3640438663
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 63

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Book Description
Bachelor Thesis from the year 2009 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 1,3, University of Mannheim (Lehrstuhl für Volkswirtschaftslehre, insbes. Ökonometrie), course: Bachelorarbeit, language: English, abstract: In recent years foreign aid was often conditioned on good institutions. Due to this course the development of financial institutions has been considered vital for the development process. This thesis points in its theoretical part to the positive effects of efficient stock markets on economic growth and examines empirically the efficiency of Africa’s sub-Saharan stock markets. Results are then compared with the same tests on four emerging markets in Asia and as a benchmark on S&P 500 and DAX. It discusses further the relationship between market efficiency and financial crisis and comes to the conclusion that a crisis worsens the respective efficiency level. Nevertheless, all African markets are at least able to pass the critical lowest hurdle of market efficiency. However, conclusions from the research propose, that the Asian markets perform better than the African markets, although the study comes to some inconclusive results. Limits to the efficient market hypothesis itself and its empirical analysis are shown throughout the paper. The study suggests that former reforms need to be intensified in order to avoid a further increase in overall income inequalities.

African Stock Market Returns and Liquidity Premia

African Stock Market Returns and Liquidity Premia PDF Author: Tibebe A. Assefa
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
We investigate the association between African real stock returns and stock liquidity for sixteen countries over the years 1995-2010. Using fixed effect models (FEM) and system generalized method of moments (SGMM), stock returns and liquidity measures are positively related when South Africa is excluded from the sample, making liquidity “priced in” these less liquid markets. The discount rate (MSCI world index return) is negatively (positively) related with African stock returns. Overall, the results on controls are more robust in dynamic panels: equity markets respond negatively to local currency appreciation, consistent with the export-commodity nature of many of these countries.

Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization

Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization PDF Author: Augusto de la Torre
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 0821365444
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 232

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Book Description
Back in the early 1990s, economists and policy makers had high expectations about the prospects for domestic capital market development in emerging economies, particularly in Latin America. Unfortunately, they are now faced with disheartening results. Stock and bond markets remain illiquid and segmented. Debt is concentrated at the short end of the maturity spectrum and denominated in foreign currency, exposing countries to maturity and currency risk. Capital markets in Latin America look particularly underdeveloped when considering the many efforts undertaken to improve the macroeconomic environment and to reform the institutions believed to foster capital market development. The disappointing performance has made conventional policy recommendations questionable, at best. 'Emerging Capital Markets and Globalization' analyzes where we stand and where we are heading on capital market development. First, it takes stock of the state and evolution of Latin American capital markets and related reforms over time and relative to other countries. Second, it analyzes the factors related to the development of capital markets, with particular interest on measuring the impact of reforms. And third, in light of this analysis, it discusses the prospects for capital market development in Latin America and emerging economies and the implications for the reform agenda.

Africa's Emerging Securities Markets

Africa's Emerging Securities Markets PDF Author: Robert A. Clark
Publisher: Praeger
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 256

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Book Description
The increasing globalization of financial markets has resulted in a substantial increase in net private capital flows to developing countries, primarily the emerging economies of Asia, Eastern Europe, and Latin America. Until recently, investors have ignored opportunities in Africa. African markets caught investors' attention in 1994 with Kenya's 179% U.S. dollar returns leading world equity markets, along with six of the world's top ten markets being in Africa. With low levels of correlation between African and developed world markets, the African exchanges represent ideal portfolio diversification opportunities. Moreover, rates of return for African investments are among the highest returns in the world, yet African nations have not attracted the foreign direct investment that is required to change their economies. Dr. Clark's research examines the nature and evolution of Africa's emerging securities markets and their role in regional economic development. He shows that the continent's trading systems represent many different trading arrangements without standardized rules and procedures. African countries continue to implement reforms to strengthen the development of financial markets, but without the appropriate market microstructure and custodial arrangements international investors will not provide African projects with the equity capital required for further development. The government's role in the regulation of developing equity markets, therefore, is a critical element to the success of the reform process. Clark argues that freeing the economies to international competition will reap significant dividends for the continent's emerging economies. As the markets evolve, structural impediments will reduce, leading to increased efficiencies and lower capital costs.

African Emerging Markets

African Emerging Markets PDF Author: Sam Mensah
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789988803032
Category : Capital market
Languages : en
Pages : 287

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Book Description
The African Capital Markets Forum was formed in 1996 to support efforts to build capital markets in Africa and to expand the knowledge base of African markets. ACMF seeks to promote best practice in capital market regulation and operations, by periodically compiling and making relevant research available to capital market regulators and professionals around the world. The chapters in this volume are divided into three parts. Part one considers emerging markets in general, e.g., financial regulatory harmonisation and globalisation; mutual funds; foreign portfolio equity investments; and securities exchanges. Part two addresses African capital markets specifically: their efficiency; and small stock markets, introducing case studies on Zambia, Ghana, and Ivory Coast. Part three comprises more wide-ranging and speculative essays on improving liquidity in government bond markets; government debt market development in small markets, index linked bonds, and primers on securitisation.