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Author: Binzhen Wu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 38
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Book Description
In the last decade, China's house prices have skyrocketed along with its continually rising household saving rate. Can rising house prices be an important contributor to the increase in household saving rate? Using data from an urban household survey in China, we find that, on average, local house prices do not significantly change household saving rate, regardless of whether housing expenditure is classified as current consumption. When house prices increase, however, households with single male adults, house renters, and owners of homes with below-average value show a significant increase in saving rate. By contrast, households with single female adults and owners of homes with above-average value do not show changes in saving rate.
Author: Binzhen Wu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 38
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Book Description
In the last decade, China's house prices have skyrocketed along with its continually rising household saving rate. Can rising house prices be an important contributor to the increase in household saving rate? Using data from an urban household survey in China, we find that, on average, local house prices do not significantly change household saving rate, regardless of whether housing expenditure is classified as current consumption. When house prices increase, however, households with single male adults, house renters, and owners of homes with below-average value show a significant increase in saving rate. By contrast, households with single female adults and owners of homes with above-average value do not show changes in saving rate.
Author: Neale Kennedy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Ejendomspriser
Languages : en
Pages : 74
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Book Description
Author: Xin Wang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 43
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Book Description
China's over 25% aggregate household saving rate is one of the highest in the world. One popular view attributes the high saving rate to fast-rising housing prices in China. However, cross-sectional data do not show a significant relationship between housing prices and household saving rates. This article uses a simple consumption-saving model to explain why rising housing prices per se cannot explain China's high household saving rate. Although borrowing constraints and demographic changes can translate housing prices to the aggregate saving rate, quantitative simulations of our model using Chinese time-series data on household income, housing prices, and demographics indicate that rising mortgage costs can increase the aggregate saving rate by at most 2 to 4 percentage points in the best down-payment structure.
Author: Gary V. Engelhardt
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Homeowners
Languages : en
Pages : 52
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Book Description
This paper examines the empirical link between house price appreciation and the savings behavior of home owners during the 1980s. The analysis uses household asset and debt data for a sample of under age sixty-five home owning households from the 1984 and 1989 waves of the PSID to construct changes in real household wealth as a measure of household saving behavior. Cross-time and cross-regional variation in housing market conditions are used to identify behavior savings effects. The empirical analysis suggests that the estimated marginal propensity to consume out of real housing capital gains is 0.03 for the median saver household. However, there is an asymmetry in the saving response to both total and unanticipated real housing capital gains. All of the savings offset comes from households that experience real housing capital losses. Households that experience real gains do not change their saving behavior. The existence of this asymmetry casts doubt on the power of changes in house prices to explain the time series path of saving in the U.S.
Author: Erkki Koskela
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 28
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Book Description
Author: Romain Bouis
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589064070
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 49
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Book Description
Historically high household debt in several economies is calling for a deleveraging, but according to some economists, this adjustment can slow GDP growth by weighing on consumption. Using a sample of advanced and emerging market economies, this paper finds evidence of a negative relationship between changes of household debt-to-income ratios and saving rates. This relationship is however asymmetric, being significant only for debt build-ups. Declining debt ratios and saving are significantly related in some economies, but the relationship is driven by consumer credit, not by mortgages. Results therefore suggest that the economic cost associated with household deleveraging may be overestimated and motivate a deleveraging via lower mortgages.
Author: Eduard Suari Andreu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36
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Book Description
In this paper I analyse the effect of a decrease in house prices on the savings of households. The life cycle model predicts that homeowners compensate an unexpected decrease in home equity by increasing their savings, and that the effect becomes stronger as the age of the household increases. To test these hypotheses I use panel data from the Dutch Central Bank Household Survey (DHS) for the period between 2003 and 2013. The results of the econometric analysis show a negative and significant effect on the savings of homeowners of the yearly price change in the second hand housing market. The effect becomes stronger with age and it appears to be asymmetric between positive and negative changes in house prices.However, homeowners do not appear to react neither to self-reported measures of house price changes nor to their own one-year expectations about future house prices. This might be because, on the one hand, households are not consistent in the way they report changes in the price of the own house, and, on the other hand, longer term expectations may be more important than one-year expectations.
Author: Askar Darmenov
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
This thesis investigates the correlation between house prices and home owners savings. The data from Panel Study of Income Dynamics is used to construct a sample of under age 65 home owning households for period of 1999-2005. Results of analysis suggests that on average increasing of house value has negative affect on households savings with magnitude of 4 cents per each dollar. The recent housing market crisis shows that housing wealth is not an absolutely reliable source of financial wealth even though perceived as stable saving instrument. So, actual existence of established relationship might be a source of concern about households financial security. Households who save less in response to housing prices increase are more vulnerable to the crises on the housing market.
Author: Vladimir Klyuev
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Home equity conversion
Languages : en
Pages : 32
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Book Description
This paper examines the role increasing personal wealth and home equity withdrawal (HEW) have had in the decline in the personal saving rate in the United States. It does so by comparing the U.S. experience with those of Australia, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Mortgage market liberalization and innovation should reduce household cash flow and collateral constraints while making housing wealth more liquid as HEW becomes easier over time. Regression analysis indicates the expected negative relationship between U.S. saving and net worth, with a somewhat smaller coefficient than in previous studies. HEW is estimated to have a temporary negative impact on saving of the order of 20 cents on the dollar.
Author: Yukio Noguchi
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226590208
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 280
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Book Description
Although Japan and the United States are the world's leading economies, there are significant differences in the ways their wealth is translated into living standards. A careful comparison of housing markets illustrates not only how living standards in the two countries differ, but also reveals much about saving patterns and how they affect wealth accumulation. In this volume, ten essays discuss the evolution of housing prices, housing markets and personal savings, housing finance, commuting, and the impact of public policy on housing markets. The studies reveal surprising differences in housing investment in the two countries. For example, because down payments in Japan are much higher than in the United States, Japanese tend to delay home purchases relative to their American counterparts. In the United States, the advent of home equity credit may have reduced private saving overall. This book is the first comparison of housing markets in Japan and the United States, and its findings illuminate the effects of housing markets on productivity growth, business investment, and trade.
