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Author: Abdelhak Lamiri
Publisher: Austin Macauley Publishers
ISBN: 1035852004
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 221
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Book Description
This book presents the culmination of a 14-year pathbreaking research project examining the risks of civilisation collapse and potential solutions to avoid such an outcome. A profound diagnosis reveals that the root issue lies in the widening rift between the hard and social sciences, which have proven largely ineffective at managing the deficiencies of the former. Of course, the prevailing strategies, structures, and human resource management processes of modern nations have also played a significant role in destabilising societies. In economics, we still operate on principles of partial and general equilibrium, whereas we urgently need to adopt the global equilibrium framework proposed here. As things stand currently, we face two major failings in confronting this crisis. First, we lack the knowledge to overcome the existential threats before us. Second, the forces calling for change have adopted inadequate strategies, organisations, and leadership compared to the well-oiled machinery of the status quo. What we need is to jointly develop the missing knowledge and use it to take appropriate action, beginning with the creation of a new discipline, Global Science, to make sense of it all.
Author: Abdelhak Lamiri
Publisher: Austin Macauley Publishers
ISBN: 1035852004
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 221
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book presents the culmination of a 14-year pathbreaking research project examining the risks of civilisation collapse and potential solutions to avoid such an outcome. A profound diagnosis reveals that the root issue lies in the widening rift between the hard and social sciences, which have proven largely ineffective at managing the deficiencies of the former. Of course, the prevailing strategies, structures, and human resource management processes of modern nations have also played a significant role in destabilising societies. In economics, we still operate on principles of partial and general equilibrium, whereas we urgently need to adopt the global equilibrium framework proposed here. As things stand currently, we face two major failings in confronting this crisis. First, we lack the knowledge to overcome the existential threats before us. Second, the forces calling for change have adopted inadequate strategies, organisations, and leadership compared to the well-oiled machinery of the status quo. What we need is to jointly develop the missing knowledge and use it to take appropriate action, beginning with the creation of a new discipline, Global Science, to make sense of it all.
Author: National Intelligence Council
Publisher: Cosimo Reports
ISBN: 9781646794973
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 158
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Book Description
"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.
Author: Ugo Bardi
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030290387
Category : Nature
Languages : en
Pages : 256
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Book Description
Nobody has to tell you that when things go bad, they go bad quickly and seemingly in bunches. Complicated structures like buildings or bridges are slow and laborious to build but, with a design flaw or enough explosive energy, take only seconds to collapse. This fate can befall a company, the stock market, or your house or town after a natural disaster, and the metaphor extends to economies, governments, and even whole societies. As we proceed blindly and incrementally in one direction or another, collapse often takes us by surprise. We step over what you will come to know as a “Seneca cliff”, which is named after the ancient Roman philosopher, Lucius Annaeus Seneca, who was the first to observe the ubiquitous truth that growth is slow but ruin is rapid. Modern science, like ancient philosophy, tell us that collapse is not a bug; it is a feature of the universe. Understanding this reality will help you to see and navigate the Seneca cliffs of life, or what Malcolm Gladwell called “tipping points.” Efforts to stave off collapse often mean that the cliff will be even steeper when you step over it. But the good news is that what looks to you like a collapse may be nothing more than the passage to a new condition that is better than the old. This book gives deeper meaning to familiar adages such as “it’s a house of cards”, “let nature take its course”, “reach a tipping point”, or the popular Silicon Valley expression, “fail fast, fail often.” As the old Roman philosopher noted, “nothing that exists today is not the result of a past collapse”, and this is the basis of what we call “The Seneca Strategy.” This engaging and insightful book will help you to use the Seneca Strategy to face failure and collapse at all scales, to understand why change may be inevitable, and to navigate the swirl of events that frequently threaten your balance and happiness. You will learn: How ancient philosophy and modern science agree that failure and collapse are normal features of the universe Principles that help us manage, rather than be managed by, the biggest challenges of our lives and times Why technological progress may not prevent economic or societal collapse Why the best strategy to oppose failure is not to resist at all costs How you can “rebound” after collapse, to do better than before, and to avoid the same mistakes.
Author: Naomi Oreskes
Publisher: Columbia University Press
ISBN: 0231537956
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 105
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Book Description
The year is 2393, and the world is almost unrecognizable. Clear warnings of climate catastrophe went ignored for decades, leading to soaring temperatures, rising sea levels, widespread drought and—finally—the disaster now known as the Great Collapse of 2093, when the disintegration of the West Antarctica Ice Sheet led to mass migration and a complete reshuffling of the global order. Writing from the Second People's Republic of China on the 300th anniversary of the Great Collapse, a senior scholar presents a gripping and deeply disturbing account of how the children of the Enlightenment—the political and economic elites of the so-called advanced industrial societies—failed to act, and so brought about the collapse of Western civilization. In this haunting, provocative work of science-based fiction, Naomi Oreskes and Eric M. Conway imagine a world devastated by climate change. Dramatizing the science in ways traditional nonfiction cannot, the book reasserts the importance of scientists and the work they do and reveals the self-serving interests of the so called "carbon combustion complex" that have turned the practice of science into political fodder. Based on sound scholarship and yet unafraid to speak boldly, this book provides a welcome moment of clarity amid the cacophony of climate change literature.
Author: Jared Diamond
Publisher: Penguin UK
ISBN: 0141976969
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 608
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Book Description
From the author of Guns, Germs and Steel, Jared Diamond's Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Survive is a visionary study of the mysterious downfall of past civilizations. Now in a revised edition with a new afterword, Jared Diamond's Collapse uncovers the secret behind why some societies flourish, while others founder - and what this means for our future. What happened to the people who made the forlorn long-abandoned statues of Easter Island? What happened to the architects of the crumbling Maya pyramids? Will we go the same way, our skyscrapers one day standing derelict and overgrown like the temples at Angkor Wat? Bringing together new evidence from a startling range of sources and piecing together the myriad influences, from climate to culture, that make societies self-destruct, Jared Diamond's Collapse also shows how - unlike our ancestors - we can benefit from our knowledge of the past and learn to be survivors. 'A grand sweep from a master storyteller of the human race' - Daily Mail 'Riveting, superb, terrifying' - Observer 'Gripping ... the book fulfils its huge ambition, and Diamond is the only man who could have written it' - Economis 'This book shines like all Diamond's work' - Sunday Times
Author: Laurie Garrett
Publisher: Hachette Books
ISBN: 1401303862
Category : Medical
Languages : en
Pages : 1295
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Book Description
In this "meticulously researched" account (New York Times Book Review), a Pulitzer Prize-winning author examines the dangers of a failing public health system unequipped to handle large-scale global risks like a coronavirus pandemic. The New York Times bestselling author of The Coming Plague, Laurie Garrett takes on perhaps the most crucial global issue of our time in this eye-opening book. She asks: is our collective health in a state of decline? If so, how dire is this crisis and has the public health system itself contributed to it? Using riveting detail and finely-honed storytelling, exploring outbreaks around the world, Garrett exposes the underbelly of the world's globalization to find out if it can still be assumed that government can and will protect the people's health, or if that trust has been irrevocably broken. "A frightening vision of the future and a deeply unsettling one . . . a sober, scary book that not only limns the dangers posed by emerging diseases but also raises serious questions about two centuries' worth of Enlightenment beliefs in science and technology and progress." -- Michiko Kakutani, The New York Times
Author: Abdelhak Lamiri
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
This book is the product of a fourteen years long path breaking research on the risks of the collapse of the entire human civilisation and the alternatives to avoid such an outcome. A profound diagnosis shows that the crux of the matter remains the widening gap between hard and social sciences which were powerless to manage the deficiencies of the formers. Of course, the strategies, the structuring and the process of human resource management of nations played also a significant role in engineering Brownian societies. In economics we still think in terms of partial and general equilibrium whereas we should work with the global equilibrium principles presented here. We accumulate to major deficiencies in dealing with that question. First, we lack the knowledge to overcome the modern perils we face. Second, the forces of changes adopt the wrong strategies, the wrong organization and the wrong leadership process compared to the forces of the status quo well organized and professionally managed. We need to develop together the missing knowledge to undertake the right actions. We should begin by creating this new discipline which we might call Global Science, to get a grip on the situation. We present its goals, its theoretical underpinnings, its practice, the method, the main principles, and its manifesto to a large debate to overcome the present "frog effect", situation were the comforts of inertia may lead to our annihilation. We mainly propose its economic foundations and propose what would be the main contributions of other sciences. Today, we do not known of how to create nations of peace, more equality, ethics, and most of all based on equilibrium that preserve the biosphere. Tomorrow we will be able to do so.The book conclude by asserting that either we raise ourselves to a galactic civilisation or be annihilated. It's only by mobilizing with the Global Science method most human brains and the resources that we have a chance to overcome the dangers facing us.
Author: Anol Bhattacherjee
Publisher: CreateSpace
ISBN: 9781475146127
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 156
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Book Description
This book is designed to introduce doctoral and graduate students to the process of conducting scientific research in the social sciences, business, education, public health, and related disciplines. It is a one-stop, comprehensive, and compact source for foundational concepts in behavioral research, and can serve as a stand-alone text or as a supplement to research readings in any doctoral seminar or research methods class. This book is currently used as a research text at universities on six continents and will shortly be available in nine different languages.
Author: Robert D. Putnam
Publisher: Simon & Schuster
ISBN: 1982130849
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 592
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Book Description
Updated to include a new chapter about the influence of social media and the Internet—the 20th anniversary edition of Bowling Alone remains a seminal work of social analysis, and its examination of what happened to our sense of community remains more relevant than ever in today’s fractured America. Twenty years, ago, Robert D. Putnam made a seemingly simple observation: once we bowled in leagues, usually after work; but no longer. This seemingly small phenomenon symbolized a significant social change that became the basis of the acclaimed bestseller, Bowling Alone, which The Washington Post called “a very important book” and Putnam, “the de Tocqueville of our generation.” Bowling Alone surveyed in detail Americans’ changing behavior over the decades, showing how we had become increasingly disconnected from family, friends, neighbors, and social structures, whether it’s with the PTA, church, clubs, political parties, or bowling leagues. In the revised edition of his classic work, Putnam shows how our shrinking access to the “social capital” that is the reward of communal activity and community sharing still poses a serious threat to our civic and personal health, and how these consequences have a new resonance for our divided country today. He includes critical new material on the pervasive influence of social media and the internet, which has introduced previously unthinkable opportunities for social connection—as well as unprecedented levels of alienation and isolation. At the time of its publication, Putnam’s then-groundbreaking work showed how social bonds are the most powerful predictor of life satisfaction, and how the loss of social capital is felt in critical ways, acting as a strong predictor of crime rates and other measures of neighborhood quality of life, and affecting our health in other ways. While the ways in which we connect, or become disconnected, have changed over the decades, his central argument remains as powerful and urgent as ever: mending our frayed social capital is key to preserving the very fabric of our society.
Author: Daniel Rirdan
Publisher: Daniel Rirdan
ISBN: 1470135884
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 495
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Book Description
From climate change to land degradation to fossil fuel shortages, we are faced with an impending calamity that threatens to bankrupt the planetary ecosystem and with it much of the manmade world. This book offers a plan that truly goes the distance: a highly detailed, planetary-wide blueprint that lays out a new course for our technological and industrial engines. It calls for sweeping adjustments in the way every person thinks and lives.--Inside front cover.
