Getting Into the Nitty-Gritty of Fiscal Multipliers: Small Details, Big Impacts

Getting Into the Nitty-Gritty of Fiscal Multipliers: Small Details, Big Impacts PDF Author: José Federico Geli
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 50

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Book Description
Despite the remarkable progress the literature has made throughout the past years in studying fiscal multipliers, estimates still vary considerably across studies. Partly, estimates differ because of context-specific variables that affect multipliers, but also because of the lack of a standardized framework to calculate and report them, making comparisons among studies hard to make. In this paper, we use a large panel of countries to study how some important methodological details affect the empirical estimates. Focusing on emerging economies, we show how slight changes in the filtering approach of fiscal forecast errors or the accumulation procedure of responses can significantly impact estimates. We emphasize that one of the most important features of estimating multipliers is the endogenous dynamic responses of fiscal variables to fiscal shocks, and therefore we argue against reporting multipliers as simply the output response to exogenous fiscal innovations. Although our baseline results are in line with the previous studies, our standardized framework allow us to make fairer comparisons of multiplier estimates across budgetary items and country income groups.

Getting Into the Nitty-Gritty of Fiscal Multipliers: Small Details, Big Impacts

Getting Into the Nitty-Gritty of Fiscal Multipliers: Small Details, Big Impacts PDF Author: José Federico Geli
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 50

Get Book

Book Description
Despite the remarkable progress the literature has made throughout the past years in studying fiscal multipliers, estimates still vary considerably across studies. Partly, estimates differ because of context-specific variables that affect multipliers, but also because of the lack of a standardized framework to calculate and report them, making comparisons among studies hard to make. In this paper, we use a large panel of countries to study how some important methodological details affect the empirical estimates. Focusing on emerging economies, we show how slight changes in the filtering approach of fiscal forecast errors or the accumulation procedure of responses can significantly impact estimates. We emphasize that one of the most important features of estimating multipliers is the endogenous dynamic responses of fiscal variables to fiscal shocks, and therefore we argue against reporting multipliers as simply the output response to exogenous fiscal innovations. Although our baseline results are in line with the previous studies, our standardized framework allow us to make fairer comparisons of multiplier estimates across budgetary items and country income groups.

Estimating Fiscal Multipliers Under Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes: The Case of Bolivia

Estimating Fiscal Multipliers Under Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes: The Case of Bolivia PDF Author: Tannous Kass-Hanna
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 41

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Book Description
Empirical (employing the Blanchard-Perotti framework) and modeling (using a country-specific DSGE model) approaches are used to estimate fiscal multipliers by policy instrument for Bolivia, to evaluate possible adjustments in a fiscal consolidation strategy. Multipliers are also estimated using alternative assumptions about the accompanying exchange rate regime and capital mobility, highlighting the importance of the policy mix in determining the impact of fiscal adjustments. The study exploits the DSGE modeling structure to assess this interaction of fiscal and monetary policy in a lower middle-income country under different exchange rate regimes. It finds that expenditure multipliers fall into the range of 1/3 to 2/3, with public investment multipliers slightly higher than government consumption multipliers over longer horizons, and multipliers generally higher under a peg than inflation targeting. Tax multipliers are shown to be about half of expenditure multipliers.

Corporate Crime in America

Corporate Crime in America PDF Author: Richard P. Conaboy
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 0788171615
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 504

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Book Description
This symposium focused on the ways in which companies, industries, & enforcement officials have responded to the organizational sentencing guidelines' incentives & other changes in the enforcement landscape that encourage businesses to develop strong compliance programs & adopt crime-controlling measures. Topics included organizational guidelines, corporate experiences in developing effective compliance programs, evolving compliance standards, enforcement schemes & policies, protection of compliance practices from disclosure, & the government's role in fostering good corporate citizenship.Ó Illustrated.

Fiscal Policy Multipliers in Small States

Fiscal Policy Multipliers in Small States PDF Author: Ali Alichi
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498305482
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 39

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Book Description
Government debt in many small states has risen beyond sustainable levels and some governments are considering fiscal consolidation. This paper estimates fiscal policy multipliers for small states using two distinct models: an empirical forecast error model with data from 23 small states across the world; and a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model calibrated to a hypothetical small state’s economy. The results suggest that fiscal policy using government current primary spending is ineffective, but using government investment is very potent in small states in affecting the level of their GDP over the medium term. These results are robust to different model specifications and characteristics of small states. Inability to affect GDP using current primary spending could be frustrating for policymakers when an expansionary policy is needed, but encouraging at the current juncture when many governments are considering fiscal consolidation. For the short term, however, multipliers for government current primary spending are larger and affected by imports as share of GDP, level of government debt, and position of the economy in the business cycle, among other factors.

Building Back Better: How Big Are Green Spending Multipliers?

Building Back Better: How Big Are Green Spending Multipliers? PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513574469
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 47

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Book Description
This paper provides estimates of output multipliers for spending in clean energy and biodiversity conservation, as well as for spending on non-ecofriendly energy and land use activities. Using a new international dataset, we find that every dollar spent on key carbon-neutral or carbon-sink activities can generate more than a dollar’s worth of economic activity. Although not all green and non-ecofriendly expenditures in the dataset are strictly comparable due to data limitations, estimated multipliers associated with spending on renewable and fossil fuel energy investment are comparable, and the former (1.1-1.5) are larger than the latter (0.5-0.6) with over 90 percent probability. These findings survive several robustness checks and lend support to bottom-up analyses arguing that stabilizing climate and reversing biodiversity loss are not at odds with continuing economic advances.

Quantitative Trading

Quantitative Trading PDF Author: Ernie Chan
Publisher: Wiley
ISBN: 9780470284889
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
While institutional traders continue to implement quantitative (or algorithmic) trading, many independent traders have wondered if they can still challenge powerful industry professionals at their own game? The answer is "yes," and in Quantitative Trading, Dr. Ernest Chan, a respected independent trader and consultant, will show you how. Whether you're an independent "retail" trader looking to start your own quantitative trading business or an individual who aspires to work as a quantitative trader at a major financial institution, this practical guide contains the information you need to succeed.

New Challenges, New Tools for Defense Decisionmaking

New Challenges, New Tools for Defense Decisionmaking PDF Author: Stuart E. Johnson
Publisher: Rand Corporation
ISBN: 0833034103
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 415

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Book Description
It is still easy to underestimate how much the collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War?--and then the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001?--transformed the task of American foreign and defense policymaking. In place of predictability (if a sometimes terrifying predictability), the world is now very unpredictable. In place of a single overriding threat and benchmark by which all else could be measured, a number of possible threats have arisen, not all of them states. In place of force-on-force engagements, U.S. defense planners have to assume "asymmetric" threats?--ways not to defeat U.S. power but to render it irrelevant. This book frames the challenges for defense policy that the transformed world engenders, and it sketches new tools for dealing with those challenges?--from new techniques in modeling and gaming, to planning based on capabilities rather than threats, to personnel planning and making use of "best practices" from the private sector.

Teaching STEM in the Secondary School

Teaching STEM in the Secondary School PDF Author: Frank Banks
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 100031832X
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 333

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Book Description
This book looks at the purpose and pedagogy of STEM teaching and explores the ways in which STEM subjects can interact in the curriculum to enhance student understanding, achievement and motivation. By reaching outside their own classroom, teachers can collaborate across STEM subjects to enrich learning and help students relate school science, technology and maths to the wider world. Packed with ideas and practical details for teachers of STEM subjects, the new revised edition of this book: ■ considers what the STEM subjects contribute separately to the curriculum and how they relate to each other in the wider education of secondary school students; ■ describes and evaluates different curriculum models for STEM; ■ suggests ways in which a critical approach to the pedagogy of the classroom, laboratory and workshop can support and encourage all pupils to engage fully in STEM; ■ addresses the practicalities of introducing, organising and sustaining STEM-related activities in the secondary school; ■ looks to ways schools can manage and sustain STEM approaches in the long-term. This new revised edition is essential reading for trainee and practising teachers, those engaged in further professional development and all who wish to make the learning of science, technology, engineering and mathematics an interesting, motivating and exciting experience for their students.

An Agenda for a Growing Europe

An Agenda for a Growing Europe PDF Author: André Sapir
Publisher: Oxford University Press on Demand
ISBN: 0199271488
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 235

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Book Description
This book is the report of a high-level group commissioned by the President of the European Commission to review the EU economic system and propose a blueprint for an economic system capable of delivering faster growth along with stability and cohesion. It assesses the EU's economic performance, and more.

The Information Revolution and National Security

The Information Revolution and National Security PDF Author: Thomas E. Copeland
Publisher: Strategic Studies Institute
ISBN:
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 156

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Book Description
The effects of the information revolution are particularly profound in the realm of national security strategy. They are creating new opportunities for those who master them. The U.S. military, for instance, is exploring ways to seize information superiority during conflicts and thus gain decisive advantages over its opponents. But the information revolution also creates new security threats and vulnerabilities. No nation has made more effective use of the information revolution than the United States, but none is more dependent on information technology. To protect American security, then, military leaders and defense policymakers must understand the information revolution. The essays in this volume are intended to contribute to such an understanding. They grew from a December 1999 conference co-sponsored by the U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute and the University of Pittsburgh Matthew B. Ridgway Center for International Security Studies. The conference brought together some of the foremost members of the academic strategic studies community with representatives of the U.S. Government and U.S. military. As could be expected when examining a topic as complex as the relationship between the information revolution and national security, the presentations and discussions were far-ranging, covering such issues as the global implications of the information revolution, the need for a national information security strategy, and the role of information in U.S. military operations. While many more questions emerged than answers, the conference did suggest some vital tasks that military leaders and defense policymakers must undertake.