Essays on Adaptive Learning and Monetary Policy in an Open Economy

Essays on Adaptive Learning and Monetary Policy in an Open Economy PDF Author: Pisut Kulthanavit
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Monetary policy
Languages : en
Pages : 180

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Essays on Adaptive Learning and Monetary Policy in an Open Economy

Essays on Adaptive Learning and Monetary Policy in an Open Economy PDF Author: Pisut Kulthanavit
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Monetary policy
Languages : en
Pages : 180

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Essays in Monetary Policy and Learning

Essays in Monetary Policy and Learning PDF Author: Gabriela Best
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781124115863
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 133

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My dissertation is composed by three chapters that study monetary policy, international economics, and adaptive learning. The first and third chapters estimate New Keynesian DSGE models in order to examine the fear of floating phenomenon pervasive in emerging markets and the causes of the Great Inflation in the U.S. The first chapter estimates a small open economy model for the period after the 1994 crisis in Mexico. I find that the estimation of a Taylor rule for setting nominal interest rates favors a consistent response to the short-run nominal exchange rate post 1994. These results provide evidence that Mexico suffers from fear of floating. The second and the third chapters of my dissertation contribute to the studies of the implications of adaptive learning in monetary policy. The second chapter evaluates the desirability of policy rules that respond to wage inflation in a model with staggered price and wage setting in the context of determinacy and stability under adaptive learning. I find that, when the central bank responds to wage and price inflation and to the output gap a Taylor principle for wage and price inflation arises, but it is not necessarily related to stability under learning dynamics The third chapter proposed two potential channels through which monetary policy played a role in the Great Inflation. One approach holds that monetary policymakers during the 1970s preferred stabilizing output while post 1979 they preferred inflation stabilization. An alternative explanation contends that the Federal Reserve held misperceptions about the structure of the economy. The Great Inflation analysis incorporates policymakers that are learning adaptively and in that fashion, they form erroneous beliefs about the structure of the economy. The empirical results conclude that both channels are necessary to illustrate the role played by monetary policy in propagating and ending the Great Inflation. My dissertation results support Sargent's (1999) view that adaptive learning is a relevant mechanism affecting inflation policy.

Three essays on adaptive learning in monetary economics

Three essays on adaptive learning in monetary economics PDF Author: Suleyman Cem Karaman
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Essays on Adaptive Learning with Applications to Monetary Policy

Essays on Adaptive Learning with Applications to Monetary Policy PDF Author: Oliver Fries
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Dissertation Abstracts International

Dissertation Abstracts International PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Dissertations, Academic
Languages : en
Pages : 546

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Essays in Economic Dynamics

Essays in Economic Dynamics PDF Author: Akio Matsumoto
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 981101521X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 257

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Book Description
This book reflects the state of the art in nonlinear economic dynamics, providing a broad overview of dynamic economic models at different levels. The wide variety of approaches ranges from theoretical and simulation analysis to methodological study. In particular, it examines the local and global asymptotical behavior of both macro- and micro- level mathematical models, theoretically as well as using simulation. It also focuses on systems with one or more time delays for which new methodology has to be developed to investigate their asymptotic properties. The book offers a comprehensive summary of the existing methodology with extensions to the more complex model variants, since considerations on bounded rationality of complex economic behavior provide the foundation underlying choice-theoretic and policy-oriented studies of macro behavior, which impact the real macro economy. It includes 13 chapters addressing traditional models such as monopoly, duopoly and oligopoly in microeconomics and Keynesian, Goodwinian, and Kaldor–Kaleckian models in macroeconomics. Each chapter presents new aspects of these traditional models that have never been seen before. This work renews the past wisdom and reveals tomorrow's knowledge.

Essays on Information Frictions and Liquidity in Macroeconomics

Essays on Information Frictions and Liquidity in Macroeconomics PDF Author: Cathy Zhang
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781303141652
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 225

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This dissertation consists of three essays on information frictions and liquidity in macroeconomics. The first chapter introduces a form of bounded rationality called adaptive learning in a news-driven economy in order to better explain the depth and persistence of recessions. In doing so, this paper adopts expectational stability ("E-stability") as a natural criterion for rationality. In examining the model's stability properties, I find that when agents do not observe current state variables when forming expectations, the rational expectations equilibrium (REE) is not learnable for calibrated parameter values capable of generating news-driven recessions. The second chapter develops an information-based theory of international currency based on search frictions, private trading histories, and imperfect recognizability of assets. Using an open-economy search model with multiple competing currencies, the value of each currency is determined without requiring agents to use a particular currency to purchase a country's goods. Strategic complementarities in portfolio choices and information acquisition decisions generate multiple equilibria with different types of payment arrangements. While some inflation can benefit the country issuing an international currency, the threat of losing international status puts an inflation discipline on the issuing country. When monetary authorities interact in a simple policy game, the temptation to inflate can lead optimal policy to deviate from the Friedman rule. The third chapter is joint work with Sebastien Lotz and studies the choice of payment instruments in a simple model where both money and credit can be used as means of payment. We endogenize the acceptability of credit by allowing retailers to invest in a costly record-keeping technology. Our framework captures the two-sided market interaction between consumers and retailers, leading to strategic complementarities that can generate multiple steady-state equilibria. In addition, limited commitment makes debt contracts self-enforcing and yields an endogenous upper bound on credit use. Our model can explain why the demand for credit declines as inflation falls, and how hold-up problems in technological adoption can prevent retailers from accepting credit as consumers continue to coordinate on cash usage.

Essays on Business Cycles and Monetary Policy in Open Economics

Essays on Business Cycles and Monetary Policy in Open Economics PDF Author: Eurilton Alves Araujo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Selected Essays in Monetary Economics (Collected Works of Harry Johnson)

Selected Essays in Monetary Economics (Collected Works of Harry Johnson) PDF Author: Harry Johnson
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1135052492
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 355

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Book Description
This volume consists of selected previously published key essays which have proved most useful for teaching advanced monetary economics. A short introduction was added which places the selection of essays and the issues they cover in the contemporaneous context of simultaneous high inflation and high unemployment. As relevant today as they were when they were first written, they enable the reader to anticipate intelligently what is likely to happen and why.

The Taylor Rule and the Transformation of Monetary Policy

The Taylor Rule and the Transformation of Monetary Policy PDF Author: Robert Leeson
Publisher: Hoover Press
ISBN: 0817914064
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 368

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Book Description
A contributors' "who's who" from the academic and policy communities explain and provide perspectives on John Taylor's revolutionary thinking about monetary policy. They explore some of the literature that Taylor inspired and help us understand how the new ways of thinking that he pioneered have influenced actual policy here and abroad.