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Author: Gerrit Cornelis Van Kooten
Publisher: Forest Economics and Policy Analysis Research Unit, University of British Columbia
ISBN:
Category : Atmospheric carbon dioxide
Languages : en
Pages : 62
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Book Description
Author: Gerrit Cornelis Van Kooten
Publisher: Forest Economics and Policy Analysis Research Unit, University of British Columbia
ISBN:
Category : Atmospheric carbon dioxide
Languages : en
Pages : 62
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Book Description
Author: Grant Hauer
Publisher: Canadian Forest Service, Northern Forestry Centre
ISBN:
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 72
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Book Description
The purpose of social science analysis of climate change is to assist policy makers in understanding the expected flows of benefits and costs of policy options over time and to improve our understanding of the human dimensions of the climate change issue. This report deals with socioeconomic criteria for assessment and with the development of methods and approaches for obtaining a better understanding of the socioeconomic impacts and adaptive responses to climate change in Canada's forest sector. Policy makers responding to the climate change issue must deal with many complex issues and unique circumstances. These issues and circumstances also have a bearing on methodologies for undertaking analysis of the future impacts of climate change. Climate change and the effects of climate change on human society spans multiple scales, which leads to the need to consider feedback's and interactions between environmental and human systems, between political systems and between different parts or segments of economies. The implications are that dynamic general or partial equilibrium models integrated with ecosystem response models will be required in order to understand the implications of climate change for land use change, future ecosystem distributions and the supply of timber from Canada's forests. In addition to affecting future timber supply and future commercial forest areas, climate change will influence the benefits Canadians receive from non-market benefits such as outdoor recreation. Currently there is limited analysis of the effects of climate change on non-market values and this area requires more work. Another factor influencing climate change analysis is that the issue spans unusually long time frames for policy analysis and economic analysis. This raises questions about suitable discount rates and accounting for social welfare of future generations. Finally, there is significant uncertainty in long term predictions of climate change and in how the integrated human/biological system will respond over time. Decision analysis, safe minimum standards, precautionary principles and maximin criterion provide some way to incorporate uncertainty into decision making. In terms of integrated assessment models, systematic consideration for the diversity of opinions and results from scientific studies regarding future climate and ecosystems shifts is required.
Author: Thomas Odhiambo Ochuodho
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Agriculture
Languages : en
Pages : 238
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Book Description
"Climate change could have significant economic impacts in regional economies. This dissertation has presented a comprehensive analysis of economic impacts assessment of climate change in both forest and agriculture sectors in Canada and by extension, US and rest of the world using computable general equilibrium (CGE) analysis. Specific contributions include: (i) estimating the potential economic impacts of climate change on Canada’s forests using single-region levels specification CGE models, and cost effectiveness of implementing adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts; (ii) assessing long-term economy-wide economic impacts of climate change on forestry sector across Canada’s provinces and the territories, and potential differences associated with using single-region as opposed to multi-regional CGE modeling framework; (iii) assessing long-term economy-wide economic impacts of climate change on agricultural crop production across Canada’s provinces and the territories, and extent of regional aggregation differences using two global multi-regional CGE models; (iv) investigating the extent and nature of potential interactions of economic impacts of climate change between agriculture and forestry sectors in a simultaneous CGE modeling analysis. Key findings of these analyses include the following: (i) the physical and economic impacts of climate change in Canadian forests may be substantial and varied across Canada's regions, and adaptation activities to climate change could be supported on economic grounds ; (ii) that single-region CGE models produce more conservative economic impact estimates relative to a multi-regional model, (iii) regional disaggregation tended to better capture individual regional uniqueness in terms of economic size, structure, and trade patterns; and (iv) individual and additive sector analyses produced economic impact estimates that were often overly pessimistic (i.e., less positive or more negative) relative to those produced by the preferred, simultaneous sector analysis. The results of this study have greatly enhanced understanding of the various aspects of economic impacts of climate change in both agriculture and forest sectors. The knowledge generated from this research will help governments and their agencies, policy makers, and researchers working on climate change impact assessments using CGE models make more informed decisions as they strive to mitigate climate change impacts at various levels."-- Pages ii-iii.
Author: G. A. McKinnon
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Nature
Languages : en
Pages : 84
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Book Description
This is the report of a workshop held to provide a forum for the exchange of information on both the expected impacts of climate change on Canada's western & northern forests, and potential adaptive strategies. Topics covered in presentations & poster sessions included climate change science and the implications of climate change for environmental, social, & economic values of the forest. Facilitated interactive sessions focussed on knowledge gaps, policy, and institutional barriers to adaptation, followed by suggestions for moving the climate change impacts & adaptation agenda forward in the forest sector.
Author: T. B. Williamson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Nature
Languages : en
Pages : 108
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Book Description
Forest managers can expect the unexpected and they can expect that change will be ongoing and unrelenting. Some general recommendations for beginning to address climate change in Canada's forest sector include enhancing the capacity to undertake integrated assessment of vulnerabilities to climate change at various scales; increasing resources to monitor the impacts of climate change; increasing resources for impacts and adaptation science; reviewing forest policies, forest planning, forest management approaches, and institutions to assess our ability to achieve social objectives under climate change; embedding principles of risk management and adaptive management into forest management; and maintaining or improving the capacity for communicating, networking, and information sharing with the Canadian public and within the forest sector."--Pub. website.
Author: T. C. Lemprière
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Nature
Languages : en
Pages : 80
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Book Description
This report summarizes current knowledge about recent changes in the climate of Canadas forests and projects further changes over this century based on scenarios of future global greenhouse gas emissions developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Even with sustained reductions in global emissions the future climate is predicted to be quite different, meaning that adaptation will be essential. Impacts on the forest are already occurring and will be substantial in the future. The current upward trend in area burned annually is expected to continue. Forests will be prone to widespread stress induced by the changing climate, increasing the likelihood of pest outbreaks in the short to medium term. Recent outbreaks of several pests have exceeded in scope all previous known epidemics of these pests and are associated with the crossing of a climatic threshold. Invasion of the boreal forest by the mountain pine beetle, Dendroctonus ponderosae (Hopkins), appears likely, although the effect of this range expansion would likely be less severe than that observed recently in British Columbia, and outbreaks of the spruce budworm, Choristoneura fumiferana (Clemens), are predicted to be longer and more severe in the future. Future forest growth in response to climate change is expected to be variable, with growth reduction because of drought in parts of Canadas western forests perhaps the most dramatic short- to medium-term outcome, though modestly increased growth in the east is predicted. Such impacts have implications for the cost and characteristics of timber supply, and climate change will also affect forestry operations, recreation opportunities, biodiversity, and carbon storage. Planning based on past approaches will need to be reconsidered. Current objectives for sustainable forest management may not be attainable in the future, although there may be some new opportunities. Climate change may produce public safety risks, significant economic and social dislocation in forest-dependent communities including Aboriginal communities, and impacts on the competitiveness of companies as well as on the actions and policies of all levels of government. These effects can be reduced through early identification and implementation of actions to reduce vulnerabilities or take advantage of new opportunities. The key needs associated with adaptation in the forest sector include awareness building and debate, improved knowledge and information, vulnerability assessments, planning frameworks and tools, and enhanced coordination and cooperation among governments and other forest sector participants. Meeting the challenge of adaptation will require sustained effort for many years.
Author: Felipe Bravo
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1402083432
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 334
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Book Description
Climate changes, particularly warming trends, have been recorded around the globe. For many countries, these changes in climate have become evident through insect epidemics (e.g., Mountain Pine Beetle epidemic in Western Canada, bark beetle in secondary spruce forests in Central Europe), water shortages and intense forest fires in the Mediterranean countries (e.g., 2005 droughts in Spain), and unusual storm activities (e.g., the 2004 South-East Asia Tsunami). Climate changes are expected to impact vegetation as manifested by changes in vegetation extent, migration of species, tree species composition, growth rates, and mortality. The International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has included discussions on how forests may be impacted, and how they may be used to mitigate the impacts of changes in climate, to possibly slow the rate of change. This book provides current scientific information on the biological and economical impacts of climate changes in forest environments, as well as information on how forest management activities might mitigate these impacts, particularly through carbon sequestration. Case studies from a wide geographic range are presented. This information is beneficial to managers and researchers interested in climate change and impacts upon forest environments and economic activities. This volume, which forms part of Springer’s book series Managing Forest Ecosystems, presents state-of-the-art research results, visions and theories, as well as specific methods for sustainable forest management in changing climatic conditions.
Author: Elaine E. Wheaton
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Climatic changes
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Book Description
Author: Ralph J. Alig
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 1437943438
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 80
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Book Description
This report is a compilation of six briefing papers based on literature reviews and syntheses, prepared for U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), Forest Service policy analysts and decision-makers about specific questions pertaining to climate change. The main topics addressed here are economic effects on the forest sector at the national and global scales, costs of forest carbon sequestration as part of mitigation strategies, and mitigation aspects for non-industrial private and public forest ownerships in the U.S. forest sector. Salient findings from the literature are summarized in the synthesis of the literature, along with identified research needs. Charts and tables. This is a print on demand edition of an important, hard-to-find publication.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Climatic changes
Languages : en
Pages : 52
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Book Description
