Does the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Hold for Services Exports in Emerging Economies?

Does the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Hold for Services Exports in Emerging Economies? PDF Author: Lilian Okpeku
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
The export-led growth hypothesis states a positive relationship between the growth of exports and long-run economic growth. This study examines the validity of the export-led growth hypothesis of services exports in 5 emerging economies, including Brazil, India, Nigeria, China, and South Africa (BINCS), for the period of 1980-2019. The study employs the panel mean group autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) procedure to identify a causal relationship between services exports and gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. The findings show that the export-led growth hypothesis in services only has a positive effect on economic growth in the short run while other variables, including foreign direct investment (FDI), gross capital formation, and labour, increase economic growth in the long run. Hence, the emerging countries should focus more on internal investment to boost growth in the long and short run.

Does the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Hold for Services Exports in Emerging Economies?

Does the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Hold for Services Exports in Emerging Economies? PDF Author: Lilian Okpeku
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
The export-led growth hypothesis states a positive relationship between the growth of exports and long-run economic growth. This study examines the validity of the export-led growth hypothesis of services exports in 5 emerging economies, including Brazil, India, Nigeria, China, and South Africa (BINCS), for the period of 1980-2019. The study employs the panel mean group autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) procedure to identify a causal relationship between services exports and gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. The findings show that the export-led growth hypothesis in services only has a positive effect on economic growth in the short run while other variables, including foreign direct investment (FDI), gross capital formation, and labour, increase economic growth in the long run. Hence, the emerging countries should focus more on internal investment to boost growth in the long and short run.

On the Export-led Growth Hypothesis

On the Export-led Growth Hypothesis PDF Author: Jordan Shan
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781875338931
Category : China
Languages : en
Pages : 32

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The Engine of Growth Or Its Handmaiden?

The Engine of Growth Or Its Handmaiden? PDF Author: Raymond Glenn Riezman
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 64

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Export-Led Growth Hypothesis

Export-Led Growth Hypothesis PDF Author: Yee Ee Chia
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 25

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Does What You Export Matter?

Does What You Export Matter? PDF Author: Daniel Lederman
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 0821384910
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 153

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Book Description
Does what economies export matter for development? If so, can industrial policies improve on the export basket generated by the market? This book approaches these questions from a variety of conceptual and policy viewpoints. Reviewing the theoretical arguments in favor of industrial policies, the authors first ask whether existing indicators allow policy makers to identify growth-promoting sectors with confidence. To this end, they assess, and ultimately cast doubt upon, the reliability of many popular indicators advocated by proponents of industrial policy. Second, and central to their critique, the authors document extraordinary differences in the performance of countries exporting seemingly identical products, be they natural resources or 'high-tech' goods. Further, they argue that globalization has so fragmented the production process that even talking about exported goods as opposed to tasks may be misleading. Reviewing evidence from history and from around the world, the authors conclude that policy makers should focus less on what is produced, and more on how it is produced. They analyze alternative approaches to picking winners but conclude by favoring 'horizontal-ish' policies--for instance, those that build human capital or foment innovation in existing and future products—that only incidentally favor some sectors over others.

Foreign Direct Investment, Exports, and Economic Growth in Selected Emerging Countries

Foreign Direct Investment, Exports, and Economic Growth in Selected Emerging Countries PDF Author: Kaliappa Kalirajan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
The paper adopts a time series framework of the Vector Error Correction Models (VECM) to study the dynamic relationship between export, FDI and GDP for six emerging countries of Chile, India, Mexico, Malaysia, Pakistan and Thailand. Stationarity of the series with structural breaks is also examined in the model. Given that these countries are at different stages of growth, we will be able to identify the impact of FDI and export on economic growth at different stages of growth. The results suggest that in South Asia, there is evidence of an export led growth hypothesis. However, in the long run, we identify GDP growth as the common factor that drives growth in other variables such as exports in the case of Pakistan and FDI in the case of India. The Latin American countries of Mexico and Chile show a different relationship in the short run but in the long run, exports affect the growth of FDI and output. In the case of East Asian countries, we find bi-directional long run relationship among exports, FDI and GDP in Malaysia, while we find a long run uni-directional relationship from GDP to export in case of Thailand.

China's Growing Role in World Trade

China's Growing Role in World Trade PDF Author: Robert C. Feenstra
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226239721
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 603

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Book Description
In less than three decades, China has grown from playing a negligible role in international trade to being one of the world's largest exporters, a substantial importer of raw materials, intermediate outputs, and other goods, and both a recipient and source of foreign investment. Not surprisingly, China's economic dynamism has generated considerable attention and concern in the United States and beyond. While some analysts have warned of the potential pitfalls of China's rise—the loss of jobs, for example—others have highlighted the benefits of new market and investment opportunities for US firms. Bringing together an expert group of contributors, China's Growing Role in World Trade undertakes an empirical investigation of the effects of China's new status. The essays collected here provide detailed analyses of the microstructure of trade, the macroeconomic implications, sector-level issues, and foreign direct investment. This volume's careful examination of micro data in light of established economic theories clarifies a number of misconceptions, disproves some conventional wisdom, and documents data patterns that enhance our understanding of China's trade and what it may mean to the rest of the world.

Export-led Initial Growth in the Fully Industrialized Countries and the Olson Hypothesis

Export-led Initial Growth in the Fully Industrialized Countries and the Olson Hypothesis PDF Author: Natalie Jean McPherson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Commercial policy
Languages : en
Pages : 420

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Book Description


Make in India

Make in India PDF Author: Rahul Anand
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513542273
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 65

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Book Description
Structural transformation depends not only on how much countries export but also on what they export and with whom they trade. This paper breaks new ground in analyzing India’s exports by the technological content, quality, sophistication, and complexity of the export basket. We identify five priority areas for policies: (1) reduction of trade costs, at and behind the border; (2) further liberalization of FDI including through simplification of regulations and procedures; (3) improving infrastructure including in urban areas to enhance manufacturing and services in cities; (4) preparing labor resources (skills) and markets (flexibility) for the technological progress that will shape jobs in the years ahead; and (5) creating an enabling environment for innovation and entrepreneurship to draw the economy into higher productivity activities.

Is the Export-led Growth Hypothesis Valid for Developing Countries?

Is the Export-led Growth Hypothesis Valid for Developing Countries? PDF Author: Emilio J. Medina-Smith
Publisher: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 64

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Book Description
The export-led growth hypothesis (ELGH) postulates that export growth is one of the determinants of economic growth. This study tests the hypothesis by examining the economy of Costa Rica, using data going back to 1950. It found that although exports had a positive effect on growth, their impact was relatively. It thus challenges some of the empirical literature on ELGH and expresses doubts about using exports as a comprehensive development strategy.