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Author: Ronald B. Shelton
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471168133
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 234
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Book Description
Die Spieltheorie betrachtet Entscheidungen als "Schachzüge" in einem Spiel, dessen Ausgang von den Entscheidungen aller Spieler bestimmt wird. Diese Theorie wird hier erstmals auf Investmentgeschäfte am Finanzmarkt angewendet. Nach der Definition der "Spielregeln" und der "Spieler" wird, basierend auf Formeln der Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung, ein Spielmodell entwickelt, das die Rentabilität von beliebigen Finanzaktionen wie Aktienkauf und -verkauf vorhersagt.
Author: Ronald B. Shelton
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471168133
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 234
Get Book Here
Book Description
Die Spieltheorie betrachtet Entscheidungen als "Schachzüge" in einem Spiel, dessen Ausgang von den Entscheidungen aller Spieler bestimmt wird. Diese Theorie wird hier erstmals auf Investmentgeschäfte am Finanzmarkt angewendet. Nach der Definition der "Spielregeln" und der "Spieler" wird, basierend auf Formeln der Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung, ein Spielmodell entwickelt, das die Rentabilität von beliebigen Finanzaktionen wie Aktienkauf und -verkauf vorhersagt.
Author: Christian Funke
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3638646122
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 65
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Book Description
Seminar paper from the year 2003 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, printed single-sided, grade: 1,0 (A), European Business School - International University Schloss Reichartshausen Oestrich-Winkel (Department for Corporate Finance and Capital Markets), course: Seminar International Corporate Finance, 50 entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: The groundbreaking work of MODIGLIANI & MILLER (MM) introduced the rigors of economic analysis to financial research. This is generally considered the beginning point of modern managerial finance. Their first economic models were challenged by financial practitioners for being overly simplistic in their assumptions and, therefore, lacking real world application value. MM acknowledged and addressed this fact in their first paper. Later models relaxed some assumptions, such as symmetric information or complete contracts, while trying to retain an explanatory value in the spirit of the original MM papers. This incorporation of more realistic elements, such as strategic interaction and asymmetric information, brought several problems to financial economists' models: they required a lot of definitions, became even more complex and were not easily comparable. Game theory provided a solution for those problems in its first applications to economics in the 70s and 80s: a set of common definitions and a basic language to guarantee comparability and empirical testability of financial models using game theoretic concepts. Nowadays, there are few issues in finance research which have not been modeled by applying game theoretic concepts, and therefore it is crucial to be familiar with the basics of game theory and its application in finance. The objective of this paper is to provide an intuitive approach to game theory in finance by first giving an overview of the basic foundations of game theory, and then providing a survey of some selected applications most relevant to the financial practitioner."
Author: Ilhan K. Geckil
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 158488844X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 222
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Book Description
Useful Tools to Help Solve Decision Making ProblemsApplied Game Theory and Strategic Behavior demonstrates the use of various game theory techniques to address practical business, economic, legal, and public policy issues. It also illustrates the benefits of employing strategic thinking that incorporates the uncertainty surrounding the behavior of
Author: Gisèle Umbhauer
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1317362985
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 428
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Book Description
Game Theory and Exercises introduces the main concepts of game theory, along with interactive exercises to aid readers’ learning and understanding. Game theory is used to help players understand decision-making, risk-taking and strategy and the impact that the choices they make have on other players; and how the choices of those players, in turn, influence their own behaviour. So, it is not surprising that game theory is used in politics, economics, law and management. This book covers classic topics of game theory including dominance, Nash equilibrium, backward induction, repeated games, perturbed strategie s, beliefs, perfect equilibrium, Perfect Bayesian equilibrium and replicator dynamics. It also covers recent topics in game theory such as level-k reasoning, best reply matching, regret minimization and quantal responses. This textbook provides many economic applications, namely on auctions and negotiations. It studies original games that are not usually found in other textbooks, including Nim games and traveller’s dilemma. The many exercises and the inserts for students throughout the chapters aid the reader’s understanding of the concepts. With more than 20 years’ teaching experience, Umbhauer’s expertise and classroom experience helps students understand what game theory is and how it can be applied to real life examples. This textbook is suitable for both undergraduate and postgraduate students who study game theory, behavioural economics and microeconomics.
Author: Glenn Shafer
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471461717
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 438
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Book Description
Provides a foundation for probability based on game theory rather than measure theory. A strong philosophical approach with practical applications. Presents in-depth coverage of classical probability theory as well as new theory.
Author: Ken Binmore
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400833094
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 214
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Book Description
It is widely held that Bayesian decision theory is the final word on how a rational person should make decisions. However, Leonard Savage--the inventor of Bayesian decision theory--argued that it would be ridiculous to use his theory outside the kind of small world in which it is always possible to "look before you leap." If taken seriously, this view makes Bayesian decision theory inappropriate for the large worlds of scientific discovery and macroeconomic enterprise. When is it correct to use Bayesian decision theory--and when does it need to be modified? Using a minimum of mathematics, Rational Decisions clearly explains the foundations of Bayesian decision theory and shows why Savage restricted the theory's application to small worlds. The book is a wide-ranging exploration of standard theories of choice and belief under risk and uncertainty. Ken Binmore discusses the various philosophical attitudes related to the nature of probability and offers resolutions to paradoxes believed to hinder further progress. In arguing that the Bayesian approach to knowledge is inadequate in a large world, Binmore proposes an extension to Bayesian decision theory--allowing the idea of a mixed strategy in game theory to be expanded to a larger set of what Binmore refers to as "muddled" strategies. Written by one of the world's leading game theorists, Rational Decisions is the touchstone for anyone needing a concise, accessible, and expert view on Bayesian decision making.
Author: David Mueller
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 331961603X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 453
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Book Description
This book demonstrates what kind of problems, originating in a management accounting setting, may be solved with game theoretic models. Game theory has experienced growing interest and numerous applications in the field of management accounting. The main focus traditionally has been on the field of non-cooperative behaviour, but the area of cooperative game theory has developed rapidly and has received increasing attention. Intensive research, in combination with the changing culture of publishing, has produced a nearly unmanageable number of publications in the areas concerned. Therefore, one main purpose of this volume is providing an intensive analysis of the intersection of these areas. In addition, the book strengthens the relationship between the theory and the practical applications and it illustrates the two-sided relationship between game theory and management accounting: new game theoretic models offer new fields of applications and these applications raise new questions for the theory.
Author: K. G. Binmore
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 0195300572
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 652
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Book Description
Ken Binmore's previous game theory textbook, Fun and Games (D.C. Heath, 1991), carved out a significant niche in the advanced undergraduate market; it was intellectually serious and more up-to-date than its competitors, but also accessibly written. Its central thesis was that game theory allows us to understand many kinds of interactions between people, a point that Binmore amply demonstrated through a rich range of examples and applications. This replacement for the now out-of-date 1991 textbook retains the entertaining examples, but changes the organization to match how game theory courses are actually taught, making Playing for Real a more versatile text that almost all possible course designs will find easier to use, with less jumping about than before. In addition, the problem sections, already used as a reference by many teachers, have become even more clever and varied, without becoming too technical. Playing for Real will sell into advanced undergraduate courses in game theory, primarily those in economics, but also courses in the social sciences, and serve as a reference for economists.
Author: Bruce Bueno De Mesquita
Publisher: Random House Trade Paperbacks
ISBN: 081297977X
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 290
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Book Description
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a master of game theory, which is a fancy label for a simple idea: People compete, and they always do what they think is in their own best interest. Bueno de Mesquita uses game theory and its insights into human behavior to predict and even engineer political, financial, and personal events. His forecasts, which have been employed by everyone from the CIA to major business firms, have an amazing 90 percent accuracy rate, and in this dazzling and revelatory book he shares his startling methods and lets you play along in a range of high-stakes negotiations and conflicts. Revealing the origins of game theory and the advances made by John Nash, the Nobel Prize—winning scientist perhaps best known from A Beautiful Mind, Bueno de Mesquita details the controversial and cold-eyed system of calculation that he has since created, one that allows individuals to think strategically about what their opponents want, how much they want it, and how they might react to every move. From there, Bueno de Mesquita games such events as the North Korean disarmament talks and the Middle East peace process and recalls, among other cases, how he correctly predicted which corporate clients of the Arthur Andersen accounting firm were most likely engaged in fraudulent activity (hint: one of them started with an E). And looking as ever to the future, Bueno de Mesquita also demonstrates how game theory can provide successful strategies to combat both global warming (instead of relying on empty regulations, make nations compete in technology) and terror (figure out exactly how much U.S. aid will make Pakistan fight the Taliban). But as Bueno de Mesquita shows, game theory isn’t just for saving the world. It can help you in your own life, whether you want to succeed in a lawsuit (lawyers argue too much the merits of the case and question too little the motives of their opponents), elect the CEO of your company (change the system of voting on your board to be more advantageous to your candidate), or even buy a car (start by knowing exactly what you want, call every dealer in a fifty-mile radius, and negotiate only over the phone). Savvy, provocative, and shockingly effective, The Predictioneer’s Game will change how you understand the world and manage your future. Life’s a game, and how you play is whether you win or lose.
Author: Suresh Deman
Publisher: Cambridge Scholars Publishing
ISBN: 1527562379
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 140
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Book Description
Game theory is an obscure area of the economic sciences. In 1995, the Nobel Prize was conferred upon John Nash, John Harsanyi and Reinhart Selton for their contribution of game theory to economics, which generated a great deal of interest in other disciplines, including the physical and material sciences. However, the beauty of game theory is its application to real world problems. This book commemorates the marriage of the theory and practice, not in heaven, but in the real world.
